Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics

From an operational, economic and environmental point of view, it is crucial for public transport authorities and operators to be able to estimate fuel consumption in suburban bus transport. This is especially important when planning a new bus line or re-routing an existing one. This paper aims to i...

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Main Authors: Tomáš Skrúcaný, Bibiána Poliaková, Martin Kendra, Oľga Blažeková, Mária Vojteková
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/atr/2567720
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author Tomáš Skrúcaný
Bibiána Poliaková
Martin Kendra
Oľga Blažeková
Mária Vojteková
author_facet Tomáš Skrúcaný
Bibiána Poliaková
Martin Kendra
Oľga Blažeková
Mária Vojteková
author_sort Tomáš Skrúcaný
collection DOAJ
description From an operational, economic and environmental point of view, it is crucial for public transport authorities and operators to be able to estimate fuel consumption in suburban bus transport. This is especially important when planning a new bus line or re-routing an existing one. This paper aims to identify a simple model for predicting fuel consumption in suburban bus transport based on commonly available input data based on local conditions. The article deals with the issue of fuel consumption of a bus with a conventional compression ignition engine operating on suburban bus lines in a predetermined region in Slovakia. The selected indicators related to the operation of the studied bus are analysed, including the average speed of the bus, the average distance between stops, the road profile of the line and the ambient air temperature. The study was conducted using both long-term and short-term measurements, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of the data. Linear regression and polynomial regression were employed to determine the relationship between fuel consumption and the input data. The results of the long-term experimental measurements and regression analysis indicate that a second-degree polynomial regression is the most accurate method for predicting fuel consumption in suburban bus transport when considering the ambient air temperature. Short-term experimental measurements and regression analysis also demonstrate that a second-degree polynomial regression is the most effective approach for predicting fuel consumption in suburban bus transport, incorporating the average slope of the bus route and the average distance between bus stops. Average vehicle speed did not have a significant effect on predicting bus fuel consumption due to specific reasons that affect average velocity in very different ways.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher Wiley
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spelling doaj-art-1e669504a47e49d79dcac0bc615ae9172025-08-20T03:52:47ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952025-01-01202510.1155/atr/2567720Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line CharacteristicsTomáš Skrúcaný0Bibiána Poliaková1Martin Kendra2Oľga Blažeková3Mária Vojteková4University of ŽilinaUniversity of ŽilinaUniversity of ŽilinaUniversity of ŽilinaUniversity of ŽilinaFrom an operational, economic and environmental point of view, it is crucial for public transport authorities and operators to be able to estimate fuel consumption in suburban bus transport. This is especially important when planning a new bus line or re-routing an existing one. This paper aims to identify a simple model for predicting fuel consumption in suburban bus transport based on commonly available input data based on local conditions. The article deals with the issue of fuel consumption of a bus with a conventional compression ignition engine operating on suburban bus lines in a predetermined region in Slovakia. The selected indicators related to the operation of the studied bus are analysed, including the average speed of the bus, the average distance between stops, the road profile of the line and the ambient air temperature. The study was conducted using both long-term and short-term measurements, allowing for a comprehensive analysis of the data. Linear regression and polynomial regression were employed to determine the relationship between fuel consumption and the input data. The results of the long-term experimental measurements and regression analysis indicate that a second-degree polynomial regression is the most accurate method for predicting fuel consumption in suburban bus transport when considering the ambient air temperature. Short-term experimental measurements and regression analysis also demonstrate that a second-degree polynomial regression is the most effective approach for predicting fuel consumption in suburban bus transport, incorporating the average slope of the bus route and the average distance between bus stops. Average vehicle speed did not have a significant effect on predicting bus fuel consumption due to specific reasons that affect average velocity in very different ways.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/atr/2567720
spellingShingle Tomáš Skrúcaný
Bibiána Poliaková
Martin Kendra
Oľga Blažeková
Mária Vojteková
Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics
title_full Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics
title_fullStr Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics
title_full_unstemmed Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics
title_short Fuel Consumption Prediction in Regional Transport Based on Selected Bus Line Characteristics
title_sort fuel consumption prediction in regional transport based on selected bus line characteristics
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/atr/2567720
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AT bibianapoliakova fuelconsumptionpredictioninregionaltransportbasedonselectedbuslinecharacteristics
AT martinkendra fuelconsumptionpredictioninregionaltransportbasedonselectedbuslinecharacteristics
AT olgablazekova fuelconsumptionpredictioninregionaltransportbasedonselectedbuslinecharacteristics
AT mariavojtekova fuelconsumptionpredictioninregionaltransportbasedonselectedbuslinecharacteristics