Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China

Water and land resources (WLR) are the most important basic resources for social and economic development. The effective alignment of WLR is crucial for maximizing resource utilization and promoting sustainable regional development. This study focuses on Western Jilin Province (WJP), China, employin...

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Main Authors: Lujuan Zhang, Guzailinuer Aihemaitijiang, Zihao Wan, Mingtang Li, Jiquan Zhang, Feng Zhang, Chunli Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Agriculture
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/1/98
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author Lujuan Zhang
Guzailinuer Aihemaitijiang
Zihao Wan
Mingtang Li
Jiquan Zhang
Feng Zhang
Chunli Zhao
author_facet Lujuan Zhang
Guzailinuer Aihemaitijiang
Zihao Wan
Mingtang Li
Jiquan Zhang
Feng Zhang
Chunli Zhao
author_sort Lujuan Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Water and land resources (WLR) are the most important basic resources for social and economic development. The effective alignment of WLR is crucial for maximizing resource utilization and promoting sustainable regional development. This study focuses on Western Jilin Province (WJP), China, employing the degree of coupling coordination model, spatial autocorrelation, and the center of gravity transfer model to assess and characterize the spatio-temporal differentiation patterns of water and land resource matching from 2006 to 2020. Five indicators—annual average temperature (AAT), urbanization rate (UR), population density (PD), reclamation rate (RR), and water resource utilization rate (WRUR)—were selected as influencing factors. A Tobit model was constructed to elucidate the driving mechanisms behind the evolution of the WLR coupling coordination degree (CCD) in WJP. The results indicate the following: (1) From a temporal perspective, the coupling coordination degree of WLR in WJP has shown a year-on-year increase from 2006 to 2020, transitioning from a moderate imbalance to intermediate coordination, reflecting a trend of continuous improvement. (2) Regarding spatial distribution, the overall center of gravity of water and land resource coupling coordination remained relatively stable between 2006 and 2020; however, the direction of distribution gradually shifted from the northeast to the southwest and then from the northwest to the southeast. (3) The AAT, PD, and RR from 2006 to 2020 were all statistically significant at <i>p</i> < 0.01. Notably, the RR positively influences the CCD of WLR, whereas the AAT and PD exert a negative impact. In contrast, the UR and WRUR do not significantly affect the CCD of WLR.
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spelling doaj-art-1e495d239b37483ea2d095f0ef0f40492025-01-10T13:13:41ZengMDPI AGAgriculture2077-04722025-01-011519810.3390/agriculture15010098Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, ChinaLujuan Zhang0Guzailinuer Aihemaitijiang1Zihao Wan2Mingtang Li3Jiquan Zhang4Feng Zhang5Chunli Zhao6College of Resources and Environment, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118, ChinaInstitute of Natural Disaster Research, School of Environment, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118, ChinaCollege of Forestry and Grassland Science, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun 130118, ChinaWater and land resources (WLR) are the most important basic resources for social and economic development. The effective alignment of WLR is crucial for maximizing resource utilization and promoting sustainable regional development. This study focuses on Western Jilin Province (WJP), China, employing the degree of coupling coordination model, spatial autocorrelation, and the center of gravity transfer model to assess and characterize the spatio-temporal differentiation patterns of water and land resource matching from 2006 to 2020. Five indicators—annual average temperature (AAT), urbanization rate (UR), population density (PD), reclamation rate (RR), and water resource utilization rate (WRUR)—were selected as influencing factors. A Tobit model was constructed to elucidate the driving mechanisms behind the evolution of the WLR coupling coordination degree (CCD) in WJP. The results indicate the following: (1) From a temporal perspective, the coupling coordination degree of WLR in WJP has shown a year-on-year increase from 2006 to 2020, transitioning from a moderate imbalance to intermediate coordination, reflecting a trend of continuous improvement. (2) Regarding spatial distribution, the overall center of gravity of water and land resource coupling coordination remained relatively stable between 2006 and 2020; however, the direction of distribution gradually shifted from the northeast to the southwest and then from the northwest to the southeast. (3) The AAT, PD, and RR from 2006 to 2020 were all statistically significant at <i>p</i> < 0.01. Notably, the RR positively influences the CCD of WLR, whereas the AAT and PD exert a negative impact. In contrast, the UR and WRUR do not significantly affect the CCD of WLR.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/1/98water and land resourcesspatial autocorrelationcoupling coordination degreedriving mechanism
spellingShingle Lujuan Zhang
Guzailinuer Aihemaitijiang
Zihao Wan
Mingtang Li
Jiquan Zhang
Feng Zhang
Chunli Zhao
Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China
Agriculture
water and land resources
spatial autocorrelation
coupling coordination degree
driving mechanism
title Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China
title_full Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China
title_fullStr Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China
title_short Exploring Spatio-Temporal Variations in Water and Land Resources and Their Driving Mechanism Based on the Coupling Coordination Model: A Case Study in Western Jilin Province, China
title_sort exploring spatio temporal variations in water and land resources and their driving mechanism based on the coupling coordination model a case study in western jilin province china
topic water and land resources
spatial autocorrelation
coupling coordination degree
driving mechanism
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0472/15/1/98
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