An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power

A competitive electricity market model is used to analyze the effects of replacing conventional base load power with an intermittent power supply. The model is a conceptual one and uses linear demand curves with a triangular probability distribution. In a base reference case, there are two types of...

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Main Author: Rögnvaldur Hannesson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-03-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/6/1435
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author Rögnvaldur Hannesson
author_facet Rögnvaldur Hannesson
author_sort Rögnvaldur Hannesson
collection DOAJ
description A competitive electricity market model is used to analyze the effects of replacing conventional base load power with an intermittent power supply. The model is a conceptual one and uses linear demand curves with a triangular probability distribution. In a base reference case, there are two types of providers of electricity, base load providers and peak load providers, each with a constant marginal cost. Prices are determined by the highest marginal cost of the active providers or by what the market can bear. The production capacity of each type of provider is determined by rents being equal to fixed costs. This reference case is compared to a case where base load providers have been replaced by intermittent solar and wind energy, with peak load providers still active. Despite lower costs, intermittent power is likely to result in higher and more volatile prices of electricity. Lower electricity prices could result if conventional baseload power is sufficiently expensive. The implications of changes in the availability of intermittent power are also analyzed.
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spelling doaj-art-1db4b5944ba04be394f9570bbb13cd0a2025-08-20T03:43:30ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732025-03-01186143510.3390/en18061435An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent PowerRögnvaldur Hannesson0Norwegian School of Economics, Helleveien 30, N-5045 Bergen, NorwayA competitive electricity market model is used to analyze the effects of replacing conventional base load power with an intermittent power supply. The model is a conceptual one and uses linear demand curves with a triangular probability distribution. In a base reference case, there are two types of providers of electricity, base load providers and peak load providers, each with a constant marginal cost. Prices are determined by the highest marginal cost of the active providers or by what the market can bear. The production capacity of each type of provider is determined by rents being equal to fixed costs. This reference case is compared to a case where base load providers have been replaced by intermittent solar and wind energy, with peak load providers still active. Despite lower costs, intermittent power is likely to result in higher and more volatile prices of electricity. Lower electricity prices could result if conventional baseload power is sufficiently expensive. The implications of changes in the availability of intermittent power are also analyzed.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/6/1435electricitygreen energypower marketsintermittent power
spellingShingle Rögnvaldur Hannesson
An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power
Energies
electricity
green energy
power markets
intermittent power
title An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power
title_full An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power
title_fullStr An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power
title_full_unstemmed An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power
title_short An Electricity Market Model with Intermittent Power
title_sort electricity market model with intermittent power
topic electricity
green energy
power markets
intermittent power
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/18/6/1435
work_keys_str_mv AT rognvaldurhannesson anelectricitymarketmodelwithintermittentpower
AT rognvaldurhannesson electricitymarketmodelwithintermittentpower