Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis
Abstract Using a gravity model approach, this study evaluates the trade potential between China and its partner countries under the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative. By comparing actual trade flows with simulated scenarios based on improved infrastructure and economic integration, the analysis id...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Springer
2025-07-01
|
| Series: | Discover Sustainability |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01634-7 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1849767114613719040 |
|---|---|
| author | Alshreef Abed Kazeem Babatunde Aza Azlina Osman Ghanem Saidat O. Onikosi-Alliyu |
| author_facet | Alshreef Abed Kazeem Babatunde Aza Azlina Osman Ghanem Saidat O. Onikosi-Alliyu |
| author_sort | Alshreef Abed |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Using a gravity model approach, this study evaluates the trade potential between China and its partner countries under the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative. By comparing actual trade flows with simulated scenarios based on improved infrastructure and economic integration, the analysis identifies countries and regions with the highest capacity for trade expansion. The results show that GDP size, trade openness, geographic distance, and transport infrastructure significantly influence bilateral trade flows. Countries with enhanced connectivity, particularly those situated along key OBOR corridors, are projected to benefit the most in relative and absolute terms. Beyond its economic implications, this research holds substantial value for sustainable development. It highlights how strategic infrastructure investment and trade facilitation can contribute to inclusive and sustainable growth. The study supports evidence-based policymaking that fosters regional integration, reduces trade-related inequalities, and promotes resilient, interconnected economies by identifying disparities and potential gains across regions. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-1d7a75c52abe463f820fc3d6a268464e |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2662-9984 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-07-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Discover Sustainability |
| spelling | doaj-art-1d7a75c52abe463f820fc3d6a268464e2025-08-20T03:04:21ZengSpringerDiscover Sustainability2662-99842025-07-016112610.1007/s43621-025-01634-7Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysisAlshreef Abed0Kazeem Babatunde1Aza Azlina2Osman Ghanem3Saidat O. Onikosi-Alliyu4Graduate School of Management, Postgraduate Centre, Management and Science UniversitySchool of Business, Monash University MalaysiaGraduate School of Management, Postgraduate Centre, Management and Science UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong UniversityEconomics Department, Al-Hikmah UniversityAbstract Using a gravity model approach, this study evaluates the trade potential between China and its partner countries under the One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative. By comparing actual trade flows with simulated scenarios based on improved infrastructure and economic integration, the analysis identifies countries and regions with the highest capacity for trade expansion. The results show that GDP size, trade openness, geographic distance, and transport infrastructure significantly influence bilateral trade flows. Countries with enhanced connectivity, particularly those situated along key OBOR corridors, are projected to benefit the most in relative and absolute terms. Beyond its economic implications, this research holds substantial value for sustainable development. It highlights how strategic infrastructure investment and trade facilitation can contribute to inclusive and sustainable growth. The study supports evidence-based policymaking that fosters regional integration, reduces trade-related inequalities, and promotes resilient, interconnected economies by identifying disparities and potential gains across regions.https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01634-7 |
| spellingShingle | Alshreef Abed Kazeem Babatunde Aza Azlina Osman Ghanem Saidat O. Onikosi-Alliyu Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis Discover Sustainability |
| title | Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis |
| title_full | Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis |
| title_fullStr | Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis |
| title_full_unstemmed | Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis |
| title_short | Assessing the impact of one belt and road (OBOR) initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis |
| title_sort | assessing the impact of one belt and road obor initiative on trade potential and transportation efficiency using a gravity model analysis |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1007/s43621-025-01634-7 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT alshreefabed assessingtheimpactofonebeltandroadoborinitiativeontradepotentialandtransportationefficiencyusingagravitymodelanalysis AT kazeembabatunde assessingtheimpactofonebeltandroadoborinitiativeontradepotentialandtransportationefficiencyusingagravitymodelanalysis AT azaazlina assessingtheimpactofonebeltandroadoborinitiativeontradepotentialandtransportationefficiencyusingagravitymodelanalysis AT osmanghanem assessingtheimpactofonebeltandroadoborinitiativeontradepotentialandtransportationefficiencyusingagravitymodelanalysis AT saidatoonikosialliyu assessingtheimpactofonebeltandroadoborinitiativeontradepotentialandtransportationefficiencyusingagravitymodelanalysis |