FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS

The failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) method, which estimates the risk levels of systems or components solely based on the multiplication of simple risk rating indices, faces several limitations. These include the risk of inaccurate risk level judgment and the potential for misjudgments due to...

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Main Authors: Zicheng Xiao, Zhibo Shi, Jie Bai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Aerospace
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2226-4310/12/6/548
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author Zicheng Xiao
Zhibo Shi
Jie Bai
author_facet Zicheng Xiao
Zhibo Shi
Jie Bai
author_sort Zicheng Xiao
collection DOAJ
description The failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) method, which estimates the risk levels of systems or components solely based on the multiplication of simple risk rating indices, faces several limitations. These include the risk of inaccurate risk level judgment and the potential for misjudgments due to human factors, both of which pose significant threats to the safe operation of aircraft. Therefore, a Probabilistic Language based on a cumulative prospect theory (Probabilistic Language, PL) risk assessment strategy was proposed, combining the technique for order preference with similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS). The probabilistic language term value and probability value were fused in the method through the cumulative prospect theory, and a new PL measure function was introduced. The comprehensive weights of evaluation strategies were determined by calculating the relevant weights of various indicators through the subjective expert weight and objective entropy weight synthesis. So, a weighted decision matrix was constructed to determine the ranking order close to the ideal scheme. Finally, the risk level of each failure mode was ranked according to its close degree to the ideal situation. Through case validation, the consistency of risk ranking was improved by 23.95% compared to the traditional FMEA method. The rationality of weight allocation was increased by 18.2%. Robustness was also enhanced to some extent. Compared with the traditional FMEA method, the proposed method has better rationality, application, and effectiveness. It can provide technical support for formulating a new generation of airworthiness documents for the risk level assessment of civil aircraft and its subsystem components.
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spelling doaj-art-1c81c364c1ed48919f7e441fa8a9c7c42025-08-20T03:30:24ZengMDPI AGAerospace2226-43102025-06-0112654810.3390/aerospace12060548FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSISZicheng Xiao0Zhibo Shi1Jie Bai2College of Electronic Information and Automation, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, ChinaCollege of Electronic Information and Automation, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, ChinaThe Key Laboratory of Civil Aircraft Airworthiness Certification, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, ChinaThe failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) method, which estimates the risk levels of systems or components solely based on the multiplication of simple risk rating indices, faces several limitations. These include the risk of inaccurate risk level judgment and the potential for misjudgments due to human factors, both of which pose significant threats to the safe operation of aircraft. Therefore, a Probabilistic Language based on a cumulative prospect theory (Probabilistic Language, PL) risk assessment strategy was proposed, combining the technique for order preference with similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS). The probabilistic language term value and probability value were fused in the method through the cumulative prospect theory, and a new PL measure function was introduced. The comprehensive weights of evaluation strategies were determined by calculating the relevant weights of various indicators through the subjective expert weight and objective entropy weight synthesis. So, a weighted decision matrix was constructed to determine the ranking order close to the ideal scheme. Finally, the risk level of each failure mode was ranked according to its close degree to the ideal situation. Through case validation, the consistency of risk ranking was improved by 23.95% compared to the traditional FMEA method. The rationality of weight allocation was increased by 18.2%. Robustness was also enhanced to some extent. Compared with the traditional FMEA method, the proposed method has better rationality, application, and effectiveness. It can provide technical support for formulating a new generation of airworthiness documents for the risk level assessment of civil aircraft and its subsystem components.https://www.mdpi.com/2226-4310/12/6/548FMEAPLTSTOPSISrisk assessmentcomprehensive weights
spellingShingle Zicheng Xiao
Zhibo Shi
Jie Bai
FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS
Aerospace
FMEA
PLTS
TOPSIS
risk assessment
comprehensive weights
title FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS
title_full FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS
title_fullStr FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS
title_full_unstemmed FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS
title_short FMEA Risk Assessment Method for Aircraft Power Supply System Based on Probabilistic Language-TOPSIS
title_sort fmea risk assessment method for aircraft power supply system based on probabilistic language topsis
topic FMEA
PLTS
TOPSIS
risk assessment
comprehensive weights
url https://www.mdpi.com/2226-4310/12/6/548
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AT zhiboshi fmeariskassessmentmethodforaircraftpowersupplysystembasedonprobabilisticlanguagetopsis
AT jiebai fmeariskassessmentmethodforaircraftpowersupplysystembasedonprobabilisticlanguagetopsis