Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions

The COVID-19 epidemic has affected every aspect of daily life since December 2019 and caused massive damage to the world. The coronavirus epidemic has affected more than 150 countries around the world. Many researchers have tried to develop a statistical model which can be utilized to analyze the be...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Arif, Dost Muhammad Khan, Muhammad Aamir, Umair Khalil, Rashad A. R. Bantan, Mohammed Elgarhy
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1908161
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author Muhammad Arif
Dost Muhammad Khan
Muhammad Aamir
Umair Khalil
Rashad A. R. Bantan
Mohammed Elgarhy
author_facet Muhammad Arif
Dost Muhammad Khan
Muhammad Aamir
Umair Khalil
Rashad A. R. Bantan
Mohammed Elgarhy
author_sort Muhammad Arif
collection DOAJ
description The COVID-19 epidemic has affected every aspect of daily life since December 2019 and caused massive damage to the world. The coronavirus epidemic has affected more than 150 countries around the world. Many researchers have tried to develop a statistical model which can be utilized to analyze the behavior of the COVID-19 data. This article contributes to the field of probability theory by introducing a novel family of distributions, named the novel extended exponentiated class of distributions. Explicit expressions for numerous mathematical characterizations of the proposed family have been obtained with special concentration on a three-parameter submodel of the new class of distributions, named the new extended exponentiated Weibull distribution. The unknown model parameter estimates are obtained via the maximum likelihood estimation method. To assess the performance of these estimates, a comprehensive simulation study is conducted. Three different sets of COVID-19 data are used to check the applicability of the submodel case. The submodel of the new family is compared with three well-known probability distributions. Using different analytical measures, the results demonstrate that the new extended exponentiated Weibull distribution gives promising results in terms of its flexibility and offers data modeling with increasing decreasing, unimodal, and modified unimodal shapes.
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spelling doaj-art-1bf4ed8d49ad44bfa11d99455d9708712025-08-20T02:01:51ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-47852022-01-01202210.1155/2022/1908161Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of DistributionsMuhammad Arif0Dost Muhammad Khan1Muhammad Aamir2Umair Khalil3Rashad A. R. Bantan4Mohammed Elgarhy5Department of StatisticsDepartment of StatisticsDepartment of StatisticsDepartment of StatisticsDepartment of Marine GeologyThe Higher Institute of Commercial SciencesThe COVID-19 epidemic has affected every aspect of daily life since December 2019 and caused massive damage to the world. The coronavirus epidemic has affected more than 150 countries around the world. Many researchers have tried to develop a statistical model which can be utilized to analyze the behavior of the COVID-19 data. This article contributes to the field of probability theory by introducing a novel family of distributions, named the novel extended exponentiated class of distributions. Explicit expressions for numerous mathematical characterizations of the proposed family have been obtained with special concentration on a three-parameter submodel of the new class of distributions, named the new extended exponentiated Weibull distribution. The unknown model parameter estimates are obtained via the maximum likelihood estimation method. To assess the performance of these estimates, a comprehensive simulation study is conducted. Three different sets of COVID-19 data are used to check the applicability of the submodel case. The submodel of the new family is compared with three well-known probability distributions. Using different analytical measures, the results demonstrate that the new extended exponentiated Weibull distribution gives promising results in terms of its flexibility and offers data modeling with increasing decreasing, unimodal, and modified unimodal shapes.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1908161
spellingShingle Muhammad Arif
Dost Muhammad Khan
Muhammad Aamir
Umair Khalil
Rashad A. R. Bantan
Mohammed Elgarhy
Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions
Journal of Mathematics
title Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions
title_full Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions
title_fullStr Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions
title_full_unstemmed Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions
title_short Modeling COVID-19 Data with a Novel Extended Exponentiated Class of Distributions
title_sort modeling covid 19 data with a novel extended exponentiated class of distributions
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1908161
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