High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change

Abstract Ocean eddy activity in the high-latitude Southern Ocean is linked to critical drivers of the global climate, yet it is missing from effectively all projections of climate change due to computational costs. Using a high-resolution ocean model and cost-reducing simulation design, eddy activit...

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Main Authors: Nathan Beech, Thomas Rackow, Tido Semmler, Thomas Jung
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-03-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02221-4
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author Nathan Beech
Thomas Rackow
Tido Semmler
Thomas Jung
author_facet Nathan Beech
Thomas Rackow
Tido Semmler
Thomas Jung
author_sort Nathan Beech
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Ocean eddy activity in the high-latitude Southern Ocean is linked to critical drivers of the global climate, yet it is missing from effectively all projections of climate change due to computational costs. Using a high-resolution ocean model and cost-reducing simulation design, eddy activity in the high southern latitudes is revealed in detail, including three-dimensional spatial distribution and characteristics, unobstructed information beneath sea ice, and projections of future conditions after prolonged anthropogenic warming. The detected eddy activity is closely linked to large-scale circulation features like gyres and the Antarctic Slope Current. Eddy activity exhibits a strong seasonal cycle in which the presence of sea ice decreases the eddy population and increases the proportion of anticyclones. Anthropogenic warming is projected to shift eddy activity from the Antarctic Circumpolar Current poleward, intensify eddy activity along the Antarctic Slope Current, and reduce the seasonal cycle affecting eddy population and rotational direction.
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issn 2662-4435
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spelling doaj-art-1bb3703dd3824335a7b60e35cc1730ef2025-08-20T02:49:01ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352025-03-016111310.1038/s43247-025-02221-4High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate changeNathan Beech0Thomas Rackow1Tido Semmler2Thomas Jung3Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz center for polar and marine researchEuropean Center for Medium-range Weather ForecastsMet Éireann, the Irish Meteorological ServiceAlfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz center for polar and marine researchAbstract Ocean eddy activity in the high-latitude Southern Ocean is linked to critical drivers of the global climate, yet it is missing from effectively all projections of climate change due to computational costs. Using a high-resolution ocean model and cost-reducing simulation design, eddy activity in the high southern latitudes is revealed in detail, including three-dimensional spatial distribution and characteristics, unobstructed information beneath sea ice, and projections of future conditions after prolonged anthropogenic warming. The detected eddy activity is closely linked to large-scale circulation features like gyres and the Antarctic Slope Current. Eddy activity exhibits a strong seasonal cycle in which the presence of sea ice decreases the eddy population and increases the proportion of anticyclones. Anthropogenic warming is projected to shift eddy activity from the Antarctic Circumpolar Current poleward, intensify eddy activity along the Antarctic Slope Current, and reduce the seasonal cycle affecting eddy population and rotational direction.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02221-4
spellingShingle Nathan Beech
Thomas Rackow
Tido Semmler
Thomas Jung
High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
Communications Earth & Environment
title High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
title_full High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
title_fullStr High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
title_full_unstemmed High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
title_short High-latitude Southern Ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
title_sort high latitude southern ocean eddy activity projected to evolve with anthropogenic climate change
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02221-4
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AT thomasrackow highlatitudesouthernoceaneddyactivityprojectedtoevolvewithanthropogenicclimatechange
AT tidosemmler highlatitudesouthernoceaneddyactivityprojectedtoevolvewithanthropogenicclimatechange
AT thomasjung highlatitudesouthernoceaneddyactivityprojectedtoevolvewithanthropogenicclimatechange