Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative

Abstract Perturbations such as climate change, invasive species and pollution, impact the functioning and diversity of ecosystems. However diversity has many meanings, and ecosystems provide a plethora of functions. Thus, on top of the various perturbations that global change represents, there are a...

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Main Authors: James A. Orr, Jeremy J. Piggott, Andrew L. Jackson, Michelle C. Jackson, Jean-François Arnoldi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-11-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54540-3
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author James A. Orr
Jeremy J. Piggott
Andrew L. Jackson
Michelle C. Jackson
Jean-François Arnoldi
author_facet James A. Orr
Jeremy J. Piggott
Andrew L. Jackson
Michelle C. Jackson
Jean-François Arnoldi
author_sort James A. Orr
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Perturbations such as climate change, invasive species and pollution, impact the functioning and diversity of ecosystems. However diversity has many meanings, and ecosystems provide a plethora of functions. Thus, on top of the various perturbations that global change represents, there are also many ways to measure a perturbation’s ecological impact. This leads to an overwhelming response variability, which undermines hopes of prediction. Here, we show that this variability can instead provide insights into hidden features of functions and of species responses to perturbations. By analysing a dataset of global change experiments in microbial soil systems we first show that the variability of functional and diversity responses to perturbations is not random; functions that are mechanistically similar tend to respond coherently. Furthermore, diversity metrics and broad functions (e.g. total biomass) systematically respond in opposite ways. We then formalise these observations to demonstrate, using geometrical arguments, simulations, and a theory-driven analysis of the empirical data, that the response variability of ecosystems is not only predictable, but can also be used to access useful information about species contributions to functions and population-level responses to perturbations. Our research offers a powerful framework for understanding the complexity of ecological responses to global change.
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spelling doaj-art-1b7845aa4f6a404c99dc7286fa1eb0fd2025-08-20T02:49:09ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232024-11-0115111310.1038/s41467-024-54540-3Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informativeJames A. Orr0Jeremy J. Piggott1Andrew L. Jackson2Michelle C. Jackson3Jean-François Arnoldi4Department of Biology, University of OxfordZoology, School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College DublinZoology, School of Natural Sciences, Trinity College DublinDepartment of Biology, University of OxfordCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Experimental and Theoretical Ecology StationAbstract Perturbations such as climate change, invasive species and pollution, impact the functioning and diversity of ecosystems. However diversity has many meanings, and ecosystems provide a plethora of functions. Thus, on top of the various perturbations that global change represents, there are also many ways to measure a perturbation’s ecological impact. This leads to an overwhelming response variability, which undermines hopes of prediction. Here, we show that this variability can instead provide insights into hidden features of functions and of species responses to perturbations. By analysing a dataset of global change experiments in microbial soil systems we first show that the variability of functional and diversity responses to perturbations is not random; functions that are mechanistically similar tend to respond coherently. Furthermore, diversity metrics and broad functions (e.g. total biomass) systematically respond in opposite ways. We then formalise these observations to demonstrate, using geometrical arguments, simulations, and a theory-driven analysis of the empirical data, that the response variability of ecosystems is not only predictable, but can also be used to access useful information about species contributions to functions and population-level responses to perturbations. Our research offers a powerful framework for understanding the complexity of ecological responses to global change.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54540-3
spellingShingle James A. Orr
Jeremy J. Piggott
Andrew L. Jackson
Michelle C. Jackson
Jean-François Arnoldi
Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
Nature Communications
title Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
title_full Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
title_fullStr Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
title_full_unstemmed Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
title_short Variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
title_sort variability of functional and biodiversity responses to perturbations is predictable and informative
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-54540-3
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