An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania

This study explores and illustrates the potential of machine learning techniques—Random Forest, XGBoost, and neural networks (MLP)—in estimating the average net salary in Romania based on macroeconomic indicators. The dataset used covers the period 1991–2024 and is employed to train a model that int...

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Main Author: Adriana Aiftincăi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editura ASE Bucuresti 2025-06-01
Series:Romanian Economic Journal
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rejournal.eu/sites/rejournal.versatech.ro/files/articole/2025-06-24/3779/aiftincai.pdf
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author Adriana Aiftincăi
author_facet Adriana Aiftincăi
author_sort Adriana Aiftincăi
collection DOAJ
description This study explores and illustrates the potential of machine learning techniques—Random Forest, XGBoost, and neural networks (MLP)—in estimating the average net salary in Romania based on macroeconomic indicators. The dataset used covers the period 1991–2024 and is employed to train a model that integrates net salary in Romania, annual inflation, and the consumer price index (CPI), along with the year as a temporal variable. The results demonstrate a high prediction accuracy (MAE: 59.47 lei, RMSE: 97.60 lei – Random Forest model), providing realistic values for future salary scenarios. The paper contributes to the integration and use of artificial intelligence methods in macroeconomic forecasting and labor market analysis. Its practical utility lies in its potential to serve as a forecasting tool for wage policies, a support for employers in budget planning, and a foundation for extending the analysis to regional or sectoral levels. Moreover, the paper offers a concrete example of how AI methods can be applied in economics, highlighting the possibility of combining real economic data with modern algorithms to produce interpretable results.
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spelling doaj-art-1b75654234dc403181b51f31bc02027f2025-08-20T02:24:01ZengEditura ASE BucurestiRomanian Economic Journal1454-42962286-20562025-06-01XXVIII9018419310.24818/REJ/2025/90/07 An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in RomaniaAdriana Aiftincăi0Independent researcher, adriana.aiftincai93@gmail.comThis study explores and illustrates the potential of machine learning techniques—Random Forest, XGBoost, and neural networks (MLP)—in estimating the average net salary in Romania based on macroeconomic indicators. The dataset used covers the period 1991–2024 and is employed to train a model that integrates net salary in Romania, annual inflation, and the consumer price index (CPI), along with the year as a temporal variable. The results demonstrate a high prediction accuracy (MAE: 59.47 lei, RMSE: 97.60 lei – Random Forest model), providing realistic values for future salary scenarios. The paper contributes to the integration and use of artificial intelligence methods in macroeconomic forecasting and labor market analysis. Its practical utility lies in its potential to serve as a forecasting tool for wage policies, a support for employers in budget planning, and a foundation for extending the analysis to regional or sectoral levels. Moreover, the paper offers a concrete example of how AI methods can be applied in economics, highlighting the possibility of combining real economic data with modern algorithms to produce interpretable results. https://rejournal.eu/sites/rejournal.versatech.ro/files/articole/2025-06-24/3779/aiftincai.pdfnet salaryromaniainflationconsumer price indexmachine learningrandom forestxgboostmlpeconomic forecasting
spellingShingle Adriana Aiftincăi
An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania
Romanian Economic Journal
net salary
romania
inflation
consumer price index
machine learning
random forest
xgboost
mlp
economic forecasting
title An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania
title_full An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania
title_fullStr An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania
title_full_unstemmed An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania
title_short An Exploratory Application of Machine Learning Algorithms in Estimating Net Salaries in Romania
title_sort exploratory application of machine learning algorithms in estimating net salaries in romania
topic net salary
romania
inflation
consumer price index
machine learning
random forest
xgboost
mlp
economic forecasting
url https://rejournal.eu/sites/rejournal.versatech.ro/files/articole/2025-06-24/3779/aiftincai.pdf
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