Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022

Background: Knowledge of the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is important for its prevention. Methods: Data from a non-clinical test for the absolute risk of having a heart attack or stroke for the first time in the next ten years is available from 3,271 35- to 69-year-old participants in the G...

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Main Authors: Roma Thamm, Yong Du, Laura Neuperdt, Catarina Schiborn, Birga Maier, Anne Starker, Hannelore Neuhauser, Matthias B. Schulze, Christin Heidemann
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Robert Koch Institute 2025-05-01
Series:Journal of Health Monitoring
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Online Access:https://www.rki.de/EN/News/Publications/Journal-of-Health-Monitoring/GBEDownloadsJ/Focus_en/JHealthMonit_2025_02_risk_cardiovascular_disease.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=2
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author Roma Thamm
Yong Du
Laura Neuperdt
Catarina Schiborn
Birga Maier
Anne Starker
Hannelore Neuhauser
Matthias B. Schulze
Christin Heidemann
author_facet Roma Thamm
Yong Du
Laura Neuperdt
Catarina Schiborn
Birga Maier
Anne Starker
Hannelore Neuhauser
Matthias B. Schulze
Christin Heidemann
author_sort Roma Thamm
collection DOAJ
description Background: Knowledge of the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is important for its prevention. Methods: Data from a non-clinical test for the absolute risk of having a heart attack or stroke for the first time in the next ten years is available from 3,271 35- to 69-year-old participants in the GEDA 2022 study without a diagnosis of heart attack or stroke. This risk was categorised as low (< 5 %), still low (≥ 5 % – < 7.5 %), increased (≥ 7.5 % – < 10 %) and high (≥ 10 %). In addition, the self-perceived CVD risk was asked as almost no, low, moderate and high risk. Results: According to the CVD test, 73.5 % of adults were at low risk, 7.8 % were still at low risk, 6.0 % were at increased risk and 12.8 % were at high risk. In contrast, 28.7 % perceived themselves to be at almost no risk, 45.3 % at low risk, 20.4 % at moderate risk and 5.6 % at high risk of CVD. The higher the test-based risk, the lower the proportion of those who perceived themselves as having almost no or only a low risk. Nevertheless, half of the people with an increased to high risk according to the test result perceived themselves to be at almost no or only a low risk. The underestimation of risk was associated with lower education, better mental health and physical activity in both sexes. Conclusions: People who underestimate their risk of CVD despite an unfavourable risk factor profile are a key target group for cardiovascular prevention.
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spelling doaj-art-1a7654f5b83d48ce91389893227934cf2025-08-20T02:32:29ZdeuRobert Koch InstituteJournal of Health Monitoring2511-27082025-05-0110211210.25646/13126johm-10-2-02-e13126Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022Roma Thamm0Yong Du1Laura Neuperdt2Catarina Schiborn3Birga Maier4Anne Starker5Hannelore Neuhauser6Matthias B. Schulze7Christin Heidemann8Robert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringRobert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringRobert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringGerman Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbrücke (DIfE), Department of Molecular EpidemiologyRobert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringRobert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringRobert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringGerman Institute of Human Nutrition Potsdam-Rehbrücke (DIfE), Department of Molecular EpidemiologyRobert Koch Institute Berlin, Department of Epidemiology and Health MonitoringBackground: Knowledge of the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is important for its prevention. Methods: Data from a non-clinical test for the absolute risk of having a heart attack or stroke for the first time in the next ten years is available from 3,271 35- to 69-year-old participants in the GEDA 2022 study without a diagnosis of heart attack or stroke. This risk was categorised as low (< 5 %), still low (≥ 5 % – < 7.5 %), increased (≥ 7.5 % – < 10 %) and high (≥ 10 %). In addition, the self-perceived CVD risk was asked as almost no, low, moderate and high risk. Results: According to the CVD test, 73.5 % of adults were at low risk, 7.8 % were still at low risk, 6.0 % were at increased risk and 12.8 % were at high risk. In contrast, 28.7 % perceived themselves to be at almost no risk, 45.3 % at low risk, 20.4 % at moderate risk and 5.6 % at high risk of CVD. The higher the test-based risk, the lower the proportion of those who perceived themselves as having almost no or only a low risk. Nevertheless, half of the people with an increased to high risk according to the test result perceived themselves to be at almost no or only a low risk. The underestimation of risk was associated with lower education, better mental health and physical activity in both sexes. Conclusions: People who underestimate their risk of CVD despite an unfavourable risk factor profile are a key target group for cardiovascular prevention.https://www.rki.de/EN/News/Publications/Journal-of-Health-Monitoring/GBEDownloadsJ/Focus_en/JHealthMonit_2025_02_risk_cardiovascular_disease.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=2adultscardiovascular diseasesheart attackrisk factorsstrokehealth status
spellingShingle Roma Thamm
Yong Du
Laura Neuperdt
Catarina Schiborn
Birga Maier
Anne Starker
Hannelore Neuhauser
Matthias B. Schulze
Christin Heidemann
Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022
Journal of Health Monitoring
adults
cardiovascular diseases
heart attack
risk factors
stroke
health status
title Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022
title_full Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022
title_fullStr Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022
title_full_unstemmed Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022
title_short Risk of cardiovascular disease in Germany: results from GEDA 2022
title_sort risk of cardiovascular disease in germany results from geda 2022
topic adults
cardiovascular diseases
heart attack
risk factors
stroke
health status
url https://www.rki.de/EN/News/Publications/Journal-of-Health-Monitoring/GBEDownloadsJ/Focus_en/JHealthMonit_2025_02_risk_cardiovascular_disease.pdf?__blob=publicationFile&v=2
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