Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska

Permafrost thaw and thermokarst development pose urgent challenges to Arctic communities, threatening infrastructure and essential services. This study examines the reciprocal impacts of permafrost degradation and infrastructure in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska, drawing on field data from ∼60 boreholes,...

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Main Authors: Benjamin M Jones, Mikhail Z Kanevskiy, Billy Connor, Jana Peirce, Bill Tracey Sr, Kuoiqsik Curtis, Frank E Urban, Serina Wesen, Yuri Shur, Christopher V Maio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research: Ecology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-664X/adf1ac
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author Benjamin M Jones
Mikhail Z Kanevskiy
Billy Connor
Jana Peirce
Bill Tracey Sr
Kuoiqsik Curtis
Frank E Urban
Serina Wesen
Yuri Shur
Christopher V Maio
author_facet Benjamin M Jones
Mikhail Z Kanevskiy
Billy Connor
Jana Peirce
Bill Tracey Sr
Kuoiqsik Curtis
Frank E Urban
Serina Wesen
Yuri Shur
Christopher V Maio
author_sort Benjamin M Jones
collection DOAJ
description Permafrost thaw and thermokarst development pose urgent challenges to Arctic communities, threatening infrastructure and essential services. This study examines the reciprocal impacts of permafrost degradation and infrastructure in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska, drawing on field data from ∼60 boreholes, measured and modeled ground temperature records, remote sensing analysis, and community interviews. Field campaigns from 2022–2024 reveal widespread thermokarst development and ground subsidence driven by the thaw of ice-rich permafrost. Borehole analysis confirms excess-ice contents averaging ∼40%, with syngenetic ice wedges extending over 12 m deep. Measured and modeled ground temperature data indicate a warming trend, with increasing mean annual ground temperatures and active layer thickness (ALT). Since 1949, modeled ALTs have generally deepened, with a marked shift toward consistently thicker ALTs in the 21st century. Remote sensing shows ice wedge thermokarst expanded from <5% in 1949 to >60% in developed areas by 2019, with thaw rates increasing tenfold between 1974 and 2019. In contrast, adjacent, undisturbed tundra exhibited more consistent thermokarst expansion (∼0.2% yr ^−1 ), underscoring the amplifying role of infrastructure, surface disturbance, and climate change. Community interviews reveal the lived consequences of permafrost degradation, including structural damage to homes, failing utilities, and growing dependence on alternative water and wastewater strategies. Engineering recommendations include deeper pile foundations, targeted ice wedge stabilization, aboveground utilities, enhanced snow management strategies, and improved drainage to mitigate ongoing infrastructure issues. As climate change accelerates permafrost thaw across the Arctic, this study highlights the need for integrated, community-driven adaptation strategies that blend geocryological research, engineering solutions, and local and Indigenous knowledge.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-01-01
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series Environmental Research: Ecology
spelling doaj-art-1a6e1f1187f84a58a6ca0071a261fc8a2025-08-20T03:57:09ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research: Ecology2752-664X2025-01-014303500310.1088/2752-664X/adf1acClimate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), AlaskaBenjamin M Jones0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1517-4711Mikhail Z Kanevskiy1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0565-0187Billy Connor2Jana Peirce3https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4906-0632Bill Tracey Sr4Kuoiqsik Curtis5Frank E Urban6https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1329-1703Serina Wesen7Yuri Shur8Christopher V Maio9Institute of Northern Engineering, University of Alaska Fairbanks , Fairbanks, AK, United States of AmericaInstitute of Northern Engineering, University of Alaska Fairbanks , Fairbanks, AK, United States of AmericaInstitute of Northern Engineering, University of Alaska Fairbanks , Fairbanks, AK, United States of AmericaInstitute of Arctic Biology, University of Alaska Fairbanks , Fairbanks, AK, United States of AmericaACTION Community Advisory Board Member, Native Village of Point Lay (Kali) , AK, United States of AmericaACTION Community Advisory Board Member, Native Village of Point Lay (Kali) , AK, United States of AmericaU.S. Geological Survey , Denver, CO, United States of AmericaUkpeaġvik Iñupiat Corporation Science (UICS) , Utqiaġvik, AK, United States of AmericaInstitute of Northern Engineering, University of Alaska Fairbanks , Fairbanks, AK, United States of AmericaGeophysical Institute, University of Alaska Fairbanks , Fairbanks, AK, United States of AmericaPermafrost thaw and thermokarst development pose urgent challenges to Arctic communities, threatening infrastructure and essential services. This study examines the reciprocal impacts of permafrost degradation and infrastructure in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska, drawing on field data from ∼60 boreholes, measured and modeled ground temperature records, remote sensing analysis, and community interviews. Field campaigns from 2022–2024 reveal widespread thermokarst development and ground subsidence driven by the thaw of ice-rich permafrost. Borehole analysis confirms excess-ice contents averaging ∼40%, with syngenetic ice wedges extending over 12 m deep. Measured and modeled ground temperature data indicate a warming trend, with increasing mean annual ground temperatures and active layer thickness (ALT). Since 1949, modeled ALTs have generally deepened, with a marked shift toward consistently thicker ALTs in the 21st century. Remote sensing shows ice wedge thermokarst expanded from <5% in 1949 to >60% in developed areas by 2019, with thaw rates increasing tenfold between 1974 and 2019. In contrast, adjacent, undisturbed tundra exhibited more consistent thermokarst expansion (∼0.2% yr ^−1 ), underscoring the amplifying role of infrastructure, surface disturbance, and climate change. Community interviews reveal the lived consequences of permafrost degradation, including structural damage to homes, failing utilities, and growing dependence on alternative water and wastewater strategies. Engineering recommendations include deeper pile foundations, targeted ice wedge stabilization, aboveground utilities, enhanced snow management strategies, and improved drainage to mitigate ongoing infrastructure issues. As climate change accelerates permafrost thaw across the Arctic, this study highlights the need for integrated, community-driven adaptation strategies that blend geocryological research, engineering solutions, and local and Indigenous knowledge.https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-664X/adf1acArcticclimate changecommunity-based observationsinfrastructurepermafrostthermokarst
spellingShingle Benjamin M Jones
Mikhail Z Kanevskiy
Billy Connor
Jana Peirce
Bill Tracey Sr
Kuoiqsik Curtis
Frank E Urban
Serina Wesen
Yuri Shur
Christopher V Maio
Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska
Environmental Research: Ecology
Arctic
climate change
community-based observations
infrastructure
permafrost
thermokarst
title Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska
title_full Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska
title_fullStr Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska
title_full_unstemmed Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska
title_short Climate change and infrastructure development drive ice-rich permafrost thaw in Point Lay (Kali), Alaska
title_sort climate change and infrastructure development drive ice rich permafrost thaw in point lay kali alaska
topic Arctic
climate change
community-based observations
infrastructure
permafrost
thermokarst
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-664X/adf1ac
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