Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction

Accurate retail sales prediction is crucial for supporting the intelligent operations and management of a retail sales organization. For example, intelligent inventory replenishment based on forecasted sales can help reduce inventory backlog and turnover periods, improving operational efficiency. Th...

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Main Authors: Fuyu Li, Lei Wang, Bo Jin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2024-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
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Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10758624/
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author Fuyu Li
Lei Wang
Bo Jin
author_facet Fuyu Li
Lei Wang
Bo Jin
author_sort Fuyu Li
collection DOAJ
description Accurate retail sales prediction is crucial for supporting the intelligent operations and management of a retail sales organization. For example, intelligent inventory replenishment based on forecasted sales can help reduce inventory backlog and turnover periods, improving operational efficiency. This paper presents a variational autoencoder (VAE)-based framework for retail sales prediction, with three unique contributions. First, the framework leverages the clustering properties of the VAE in latent space to enhance feature learning. The data clustering module integrates correlation information across different samples to effectively extract both local and global features.Second, we design a restructured VAE to capture high-level local and global features essential for sales prediction. The use of multiple self-adaptive priors and corresponding posteriors diversifies the posterior space, facilitating effective learning of characteristic distributions across samples. This approach enhances the extraction of useful features from the original data. Finally, to mitigate abnormal prediction outcomes, we incorporate prior knowledge to adjust predictions that may be affected by the model’s limited fitting capacity or insufficient training data in certain cases. Extensive experiments conducted in collaboration with a national retail chain in China demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art baseline methods and is practical for various operational and management tasks.
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spelling doaj-art-19f44838a59d4737abab7aad2f79adca2025-01-15T00:01:20ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362024-01-011219639119640210.1109/ACCESS.2024.350265710758624Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales PredictionFuyu Li0Lei Wang1https://orcid.org/0009-0004-0639-8870Bo Jin2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4094-7499Dalian University of Foreign Languages, Dalian, ChinaDalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaDalian University of Technology, Dalian, ChinaAccurate retail sales prediction is crucial for supporting the intelligent operations and management of a retail sales organization. For example, intelligent inventory replenishment based on forecasted sales can help reduce inventory backlog and turnover periods, improving operational efficiency. This paper presents a variational autoencoder (VAE)-based framework for retail sales prediction, with three unique contributions. First, the framework leverages the clustering properties of the VAE in latent space to enhance feature learning. The data clustering module integrates correlation information across different samples to effectively extract both local and global features.Second, we design a restructured VAE to capture high-level local and global features essential for sales prediction. The use of multiple self-adaptive priors and corresponding posteriors diversifies the posterior space, facilitating effective learning of characteristic distributions across samples. This approach enhances the extraction of useful features from the original data. Finally, to mitigate abnormal prediction outcomes, we incorporate prior knowledge to adjust predictions that may be affected by the model’s limited fitting capacity or insufficient training data in certain cases. Extensive experiments conducted in collaboration with a national retail chain in China demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art baseline methods and is practical for various operational and management tasks.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10758624/Abnormal predictions calibratingregression taskretail sales predictionvariational autoencoder
spellingShingle Fuyu Li
Lei Wang
Bo Jin
Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction
IEEE Access
Abnormal predictions calibrating
regression task
retail sales prediction
variational autoencoder
title Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction
title_full Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction
title_fullStr Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction
title_short Variational Autoencoder-Based Framework for Retail Sales Prediction
title_sort variational autoencoder based framework for retail sales prediction
topic Abnormal predictions calibrating
regression task
retail sales prediction
variational autoencoder
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10758624/
work_keys_str_mv AT fuyuli variationalautoencoderbasedframeworkforretailsalesprediction
AT leiwang variationalautoencoderbasedframeworkforretailsalesprediction
AT bojin variationalautoencoderbasedframeworkforretailsalesprediction