Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh

In light of today's scenario of global food security, developing economies need to meticulously monitor both the immediate and future influence of climate change on agricultural operations, as well as the possibility of perpetual adaptation. Regarding this issue, this inquiry aims to identify t...

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Main Authors: Md. Mamun Miah, Md. Golam Kibria, Nazhat Nury Aspy, Kabir Hossain
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Energy Nexus
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772427125000701
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author Md. Mamun Miah
Md. Golam Kibria
Nazhat Nury Aspy
Kabir Hossain
author_facet Md. Mamun Miah
Md. Golam Kibria
Nazhat Nury Aspy
Kabir Hossain
author_sort Md. Mamun Miah
collection DOAJ
description In light of today's scenario of global food security, developing economies need to meticulously monitor both the immediate and future influence of climate change on agricultural operations, as well as the possibility of perpetual adaptation. Regarding this issue, this inquiry aims to identify the asymmetrical behaviors of average temperature and rainfall on Bangladesh's rice yield. After assessing data from 1985 to 2021, the NARDL affirms that, although changes in average temperature hurt long-term yields of rice, they stimulate short-term production. In the short term, rainfall shocks, whether positive or negative, significantly boost rice yield, but in the long run, they have no significant influence. Conversely, carbon dioxide emissions have negative effects on rice output in the long run. Using fertilizer for longer periods augments rice yield in the long and short term. As part of policy suggestions, the government should compensate organic fertilizer users and stimulate sustainable behaviors to control average temperature and carbon dioxide emissions in Bangladesh.
format Article
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institution OA Journals
issn 2772-4271
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publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Elsevier
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series Energy Nexus
spelling doaj-art-1997716bd2df4ac5b6b086affc6c19802025-08-20T02:07:13ZengElsevierEnergy Nexus2772-42712025-06-011810042910.1016/j.nexus.2025.100429Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in BangladeshMd. Mamun Miah0Md. Golam Kibria1Nazhat Nury Aspy2Kabir Hossain3Department of Statistics, Noakhali Science and Technology University, Noakhali-3814, BangladeshDepartment of Economics, Noakhali Science and Technology University, Noakhali-3814, Bangladesh; Corresponding author.Department of Economics, Noakhali Science and Technology University, Noakhali-3814, BangladeshDepartment of Statistics, Noakhali Science and Technology University, Noakhali-3814, BangladeshIn light of today's scenario of global food security, developing economies need to meticulously monitor both the immediate and future influence of climate change on agricultural operations, as well as the possibility of perpetual adaptation. Regarding this issue, this inquiry aims to identify the asymmetrical behaviors of average temperature and rainfall on Bangladesh's rice yield. After assessing data from 1985 to 2021, the NARDL affirms that, although changes in average temperature hurt long-term yields of rice, they stimulate short-term production. In the short term, rainfall shocks, whether positive or negative, significantly boost rice yield, but in the long run, they have no significant influence. Conversely, carbon dioxide emissions have negative effects on rice output in the long run. Using fertilizer for longer periods augments rice yield in the long and short term. As part of policy suggestions, the government should compensate organic fertilizer users and stimulate sustainable behaviors to control average temperature and carbon dioxide emissions in Bangladesh.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772427125000701Average temperatureRainfallCO2Rice productionNARDLBangladesh
spellingShingle Md. Mamun Miah
Md. Golam Kibria
Nazhat Nury Aspy
Kabir Hossain
Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh
Energy Nexus
Average temperature
Rainfall
CO2
Rice production
NARDL
Bangladesh
title Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh
title_full Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh
title_fullStr Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh
title_short Asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in Bangladesh
title_sort asymmetric behavior of average temperature and rainfall on rice production in bangladesh
topic Average temperature
Rainfall
CO2
Rice production
NARDL
Bangladesh
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772427125000701
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AT mdgolamkibria asymmetricbehaviorofaveragetemperatureandrainfallonriceproductioninbangladesh
AT nazhatnuryaspy asymmetricbehaviorofaveragetemperatureandrainfallonriceproductioninbangladesh
AT kabirhossain asymmetricbehaviorofaveragetemperatureandrainfallonriceproductioninbangladesh