Can the Coordinated Development of Land Urbanization and Population Urbanization Promote Carbon Emission Efficiency? A Multi-Scale Heterogeneity Analysis in China

Coordinating development of land urbanization and population urbanization (CDLUPU) to enhance carbon emission efficiency (<i>CEE</i>) is a critical challenge for developing countries experiencing accelerated urbanization. The coupled coordination model and super efficiency SBM are employ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hanlong Gu, Qi Liu, Ming Cheng, Chongyang Huan, Bingyi Wang, Jiaqian Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-06-01
Series:Land
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/7/1317
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Summary:Coordinating development of land urbanization and population urbanization (CDLUPU) to enhance carbon emission efficiency (<i>CEE</i>) is a critical challenge for developing countries experiencing accelerated urbanization. The coupled coordination model and super efficiency SBM are employed to estimate the levels of CDLUPU and <i>CEE</i> across 276 prefecture-level cities from 2010 to 2021. Furthermore, we utilize kernel density estimation and Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) to explore the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics and spatial effects. The results indicate that CDLUPU levels exhibited a sustained upward trend with diminishing regional disparities, whereas <i>CEE</i> displayed a pattern of initial growth followed by decline. Spatial analyses revealed a consistent gradient structure for both CDLUPU and <i>CEE</i>, characterized by radiation decay from southeastern coastal hubs toward interior hinterlands. CDLUPU exerts a significant positive direct impact and spatial spillover effect and indicates that the spillover effects on peripheral regions are substantially stronger than local effects. Regional heterogeneity analysis reveals that CDLUPU negatively affects <i>CEE</i> in eastern China, the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is more pronounced, but it positively impacts central and western China, as well as Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) and Chengdu–Chongqing (CY). Regarding indirect effects, eastern China shows significant positive impact on <i>CEE</i>, and similarly in the YRD. However, central China exhibits a negative effect, whereas BTH shows the opposite trend. Western China and CY show statistically insignificant results. This study offers policy insights for China to coordinate new urbanization strategy and achieve the “dual carbon goal”.
ISSN:2073-445X