A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model

This paper builds a new small-scale and regionalization DSGE model that focuses on the sustainable economic system, which was estimated by the Bayesian estimation method using Chinese annual data from 2004 to 2017 to analyze the effect of the fluctuation of fruit prices in Hainan. We find the fluctu...

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Main Authors: Hailing Fu, Yuantao Fang, Yi Qu, Yi Pan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6693709
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author Hailing Fu
Yuantao Fang
Yi Qu
Yi Pan
author_facet Hailing Fu
Yuantao Fang
Yi Qu
Yi Pan
author_sort Hailing Fu
collection DOAJ
description This paper builds a new small-scale and regionalization DSGE model that focuses on the sustainable economic system, which was estimated by the Bayesian estimation method using Chinese annual data from 2004 to 2017 to analyze the effect of the fluctuation of fruit prices in Hainan. We find the fluctuation of increasing prices has a negative effect on fruit output. This results in a preference to loosen monetary policy to reduce this influence and then results in price inflation, which will lead to the increase in output and prices simultaneously. Based on our findings, we provide suggestions for policy maker such as the optimization of industrial structures and increased investment in the fruit industry, extending the fruit industry chain and establishing a multifruit industry sustainable economic system.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
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language English
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-1908fc3f2bcc427db6953ab3afef39f72025-08-20T03:54:14ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2021-01-01202110.1155/2021/66937096693709A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE ModelHailing Fu0Yuantao Fang1Yi Qu2Yi Pan3College of Applied Science and Technology, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570228, ChinaCollege of Finance, Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, 995 Shangchuan Road, Shanghai 201209, ChinaNewcastle Business School, Northumbria University, Newcastle Upon Tyne, NE1 8ST, UKCollege of Applied Science and Technology, Hainan University, Haikou, Hainan 570228, ChinaThis paper builds a new small-scale and regionalization DSGE model that focuses on the sustainable economic system, which was estimated by the Bayesian estimation method using Chinese annual data from 2004 to 2017 to analyze the effect of the fluctuation of fruit prices in Hainan. We find the fluctuation of increasing prices has a negative effect on fruit output. This results in a preference to loosen monetary policy to reduce this influence and then results in price inflation, which will lead to the increase in output and prices simultaneously. Based on our findings, we provide suggestions for policy maker such as the optimization of industrial structures and increased investment in the fruit industry, extending the fruit industry chain and establishing a multifruit industry sustainable economic system.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6693709
spellingShingle Hailing Fu
Yuantao Fang
Yi Qu
Yi Pan
A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model
title_full A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model
title_fullStr A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model
title_full_unstemmed A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model
title_short A Sustainable Economic System to Face the Fluctuation of Fruit Prices: Based on a Small-Region DSGE Model
title_sort sustainable economic system to face the fluctuation of fruit prices based on a small region dsge model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/6693709
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