Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century

Global climate change poses unprecedented challenges to biodiversity, prompting urgent investigations into its effects on various species. This study focuses on Mus musculus, a small rodent species and a crucial indicator of ecosystem health. Spanning from the last glacial maximum to the end of the...

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Main Author: Yaser Amir Afzali
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Kansas Libraries 2025-07-01
Series:European Journal of Ecology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.ku.edu/EuroJEcol/article/view/21766
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author Yaser Amir Afzali
author_facet Yaser Amir Afzali
author_sort Yaser Amir Afzali
collection DOAJ
description Global climate change poses unprecedented challenges to biodiversity, prompting urgent investigations into its effects on various species. This study focuses on Mus musculus, a small rodent species and a crucial indicator of ecosystem health. Spanning from the last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century, employed Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to assess the impacts of climate change on Mus musculus and its four subspecies across Asia (M. m musculus, M. m domesticus, M. m castaneus, and M. m bactrianus). The SDMs reveal nuanced responses among subspecies, with M. m. domesticus, M. m. musculus, and M. m. castaneus facing potential habitat contractions, while M. m. bactrianus shows habitat expansion. Variable importance analysis highlights the significance of temperature-related variables, indicating the growing impact of rising temperatures on distribution patterns. Findings underscore the ecological implications of these shifts, emphasizing the need for tailored conservation strategies. The robustness of models, as indicated by high Area Under the Curve (AUC) values, enhances confidence in the reliability of predictions. Despite data limitations, this study contributes valuable insights into the complex dynamics between climate change and Mus musculus populations, guiding future conservation efforts in the face of ongoing global environmental transformations.  
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spelling doaj-art-18fa867246cc4a72b9b0fc4e316d2c4a2025-08-20T02:40:48ZengUniversity of Kansas LibrariesEuropean Journal of Ecology1339-84742025-07-0111110.17161/eurojecol.v11i1.21766Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st centuryYaser Amir Afzali0University of Tehran Global climate change poses unprecedented challenges to biodiversity, prompting urgent investigations into its effects on various species. This study focuses on Mus musculus, a small rodent species and a crucial indicator of ecosystem health. Spanning from the last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century, employed Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to assess the impacts of climate change on Mus musculus and its four subspecies across Asia (M. m musculus, M. m domesticus, M. m castaneus, and M. m bactrianus). The SDMs reveal nuanced responses among subspecies, with M. m. domesticus, M. m. musculus, and M. m. castaneus facing potential habitat contractions, while M. m. bactrianus shows habitat expansion. Variable importance analysis highlights the significance of temperature-related variables, indicating the growing impact of rising temperatures on distribution patterns. Findings underscore the ecological implications of these shifts, emphasizing the need for tailored conservation strategies. The robustness of models, as indicated by high Area Under the Curve (AUC) values, enhances confidence in the reliability of predictions. Despite data limitations, this study contributes valuable insights into the complex dynamics between climate change and Mus musculus populations, guiding future conservation efforts in the face of ongoing global environmental transformations.   https://journals.ku.edu/EuroJEcol/article/view/21766EurasiaGlobal warmingHouse mouseRodentsSmall mammals
spellingShingle Yaser Amir Afzali
Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
European Journal of Ecology
Eurasia
Global warming
House mouse
Rodents
Small mammals
title Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
title_full Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
title_fullStr Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
title_full_unstemmed Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
title_short Global climate change effect on Asian Mus musculus; Implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
title_sort global climate change effect on asian mus musculus implication from last glacial maximum to the end of the 21st century
topic Eurasia
Global warming
House mouse
Rodents
Small mammals
url https://journals.ku.edu/EuroJEcol/article/view/21766
work_keys_str_mv AT yaseramirafzali globalclimatechangeeffectonasianmusmusculusimplicationfromlastglacialmaximumtotheendofthe21stcentury