The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations

This paper investigates trade cooperation dynamics across the expansive Eurasian region, with a specific focus on the theoretical underpinnings of the democratic peace concept. It delves into the evolving trade and political relationships between 26 Eurasian countries and two prominent global actors...

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Main Authors: Stekić Nenad, Nikolić Jovana
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Institute for Political Studies, Belgrade 2024-01-01
Series:Srpska Politička Misao
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0354-5989/2024/0354-59892402061S.pdf
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author Stekić Nenad
Nikolić Jovana
author_facet Stekić Nenad
Nikolić Jovana
author_sort Stekić Nenad
collection DOAJ
description This paper investigates trade cooperation dynamics across the expansive Eurasian region, with a specific focus on the theoretical underpinnings of the democratic peace concept. It delves into the evolving trade and political relationships between 26 Eurasian countries and two prominent global actors - China and the European Union, spanning the period from 2007 to the Ukrainian crisis in 2022. Through an examination of statistical correlations between trade variables - namely, export and import - and factors such as free trade agreements, shifts in political regime types, institutional stability of Eurasian nations, and their membership within economic alliances, this research provides a nuanced perspective on the evolution of interactions between EU/China and Eurasia. The findings underscore a notable expansion in trade cooperation among the analysed cases since 2007, despite occasional tensions and divergent geopolitical interests involving China and the EU. Statistical analyses further reveal that the dynamics of export and import between the EU and Eurasian countries align with the stability of political regimes in Eurasia. Conversely, in the case of China, moderately negative correlations emerge. Importantly, trade patterns exhibit variations among individual countries, irrespective of their political regime dynamics, institutional stability, or membership in economic alliances - a phenomenon warranting in-depth exploration within the confines of this paper. The paper concludes by discussing how the findings challenge the postulates of commercial liberalism as part of democratic peace theory in the Eurasian context. The analysis clearly demonstrates that, with the EU and China as the two main global economic actors, these ideas need to be theoretically redefined to accurately capture the dynamics at play in the region in future.
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spelling doaj-art-178c6c20fb784e6387ebcede273cd4422025-01-14T11:09:29ZdeuInstitute for Political Studies, BelgradeSrpska Politička Misao0354-59892024-01-01842618610.5937/spm84-491950354-59892402061SThe interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relationsStekić Nenad0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9066-0480Nikolić Jovana1Institute of International Politics and Economics, Belgrade, SerbiaInstitute of International Politics and Economics, Belgrade, SerbiaThis paper investigates trade cooperation dynamics across the expansive Eurasian region, with a specific focus on the theoretical underpinnings of the democratic peace concept. It delves into the evolving trade and political relationships between 26 Eurasian countries and two prominent global actors - China and the European Union, spanning the period from 2007 to the Ukrainian crisis in 2022. Through an examination of statistical correlations between trade variables - namely, export and import - and factors such as free trade agreements, shifts in political regime types, institutional stability of Eurasian nations, and their membership within economic alliances, this research provides a nuanced perspective on the evolution of interactions between EU/China and Eurasia. The findings underscore a notable expansion in trade cooperation among the analysed cases since 2007, despite occasional tensions and divergent geopolitical interests involving China and the EU. Statistical analyses further reveal that the dynamics of export and import between the EU and Eurasian countries align with the stability of political regimes in Eurasia. Conversely, in the case of China, moderately negative correlations emerge. Importantly, trade patterns exhibit variations among individual countries, irrespective of their political regime dynamics, institutional stability, or membership in economic alliances - a phenomenon warranting in-depth exploration within the confines of this paper. The paper concludes by discussing how the findings challenge the postulates of commercial liberalism as part of democratic peace theory in the Eurasian context. The analysis clearly demonstrates that, with the EU and China as the two main global economic actors, these ideas need to be theoretically redefined to accurately capture the dynamics at play in the region in future.https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0354-5989/2024/0354-59892402061S.pdfdemocratic peace theorychinaeutradeeurasiapolitical regime
spellingShingle Stekić Nenad
Nikolić Jovana
The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations
Srpska Politička Misao
democratic peace theory
china
eu
trade
eurasia
political regime
title The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations
title_full The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations
title_fullStr The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations
title_full_unstemmed The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations
title_short The interplay of democracy and trade: A comparative study of China and the EU in Eurasian relations
title_sort interplay of democracy and trade a comparative study of china and the eu in eurasian relations
topic democratic peace theory
china
eu
trade
eurasia
political regime
url https://scindeks-clanci.ceon.rs/data/pdf/0354-5989/2024/0354-59892402061S.pdf
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