Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach

Predicting startup success is important because it helps investors, entrepreneurs, and stakeholders allocate resources more efficiently, minimize risks, and enhance decision-making in an uncertain and competitive environment. Therefore, investors need to predict whether a startup will succeed or fai...

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Main Authors: Icha Wahyu Kusuma Ningrum, Farid Ridho, Arie Wahyu Wijayanto
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Politeknik Negeri Batam 2024-10-01
Series:Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jurnal.polibatam.ac.id/index.php/JAIC/article/view/8338
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author Icha Wahyu Kusuma Ningrum
Farid Ridho
Arie Wahyu Wijayanto
author_facet Icha Wahyu Kusuma Ningrum
Farid Ridho
Arie Wahyu Wijayanto
author_sort Icha Wahyu Kusuma Ningrum
collection DOAJ
description Predicting startup success is important because it helps investors, entrepreneurs, and stakeholders allocate resources more efficiently, minimize risks, and enhance decision-making in an uncertain and competitive environment. Therefore, investors need to predict whether a startup will succeed or fail. Investors conduct this assessment to determine if a startup is worthy of funding. The company's founders mark success here by receiving a sum of money through the Initial Public Offering (IPO) or Merger and Acquisition (M&A) process. If the startup closes, we will consider it a failure. The data used consists of 923 startup companies in the United States. We carried out the classification using four methods: Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Gradient Boosting, and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN). We then compare the results from the four methods with and without feature selection. We determine the feature selection based on the relative importance of each method. The results of this study indicate that the Random Forest method with feature selection has the best accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score than the other methods, respectively 81.85%, 80.19%, 87.09%, and 83.44%.
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publisher Politeknik Negeri Batam
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series Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing
spelling doaj-art-1739b7b2ac29485aa18a1ab51e22ed802025-08-20T01:55:19ZengPoliteknik Negeri BatamJournal of Applied Informatics and Computing2548-68612024-10-018228029010.30871/jaic.v8i2.83388338Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning ApproachIcha Wahyu Kusuma Ningrum0Farid Ridho1Arie Wahyu Wijayanto2Politeknik Statistika STISPoliteknik Statistika STISPoliteknik Statistika STISPredicting startup success is important because it helps investors, entrepreneurs, and stakeholders allocate resources more efficiently, minimize risks, and enhance decision-making in an uncertain and competitive environment. Therefore, investors need to predict whether a startup will succeed or fail. Investors conduct this assessment to determine if a startup is worthy of funding. The company's founders mark success here by receiving a sum of money through the Initial Public Offering (IPO) or Merger and Acquisition (M&A) process. If the startup closes, we will consider it a failure. The data used consists of 923 startup companies in the United States. We carried out the classification using four methods: Random Forest, Support Vector Machines (SVM), Gradient Boosting, and K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN). We then compare the results from the four methods with and without feature selection. We determine the feature selection based on the relative importance of each method. The results of this study indicate that the Random Forest method with feature selection has the best accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score than the other methods, respectively 81.85%, 80.19%, 87.09%, and 83.44%.https://jurnal.polibatam.ac.id/index.php/JAIC/article/view/8338gradient boostingk-nearest neighborrandom foreststartupsupport vector machines
spellingShingle Icha Wahyu Kusuma Ningrum
Farid Ridho
Arie Wahyu Wijayanto
Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach
Journal of Applied Informatics and Computing
gradient boosting
k-nearest neighbor
random forest
startup
support vector machines
title Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach
title_full Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach
title_fullStr Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach
title_short Predicting Startup Success Using Machine Learning Approach
title_sort predicting startup success using machine learning approach
topic gradient boosting
k-nearest neighbor
random forest
startup
support vector machines
url https://jurnal.polibatam.ac.id/index.php/JAIC/article/view/8338
work_keys_str_mv AT ichawahyukusumaningrum predictingstartupsuccessusingmachinelearningapproach
AT faridridho predictingstartupsuccessusingmachinelearningapproach
AT ariewahyuwijayanto predictingstartupsuccessusingmachinelearningapproach