Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries

The concept of the crowding-out effect, which is used to describe how an expansionary fiscal policy would reduce private investments, has become one of the major areas of research in the economy. This study aims to investigate whether or not the crowding-out effect is applicable in OECD countries. F...

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Main Author: Mehmet Emre Ünsal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2020-06-01
Series:İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
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Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/3FB7BC8EEF5D41D5B84725159DD4F42B
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author Mehmet Emre Ünsal
author_facet Mehmet Emre Ünsal
author_sort Mehmet Emre Ünsal
collection DOAJ
description The concept of the crowding-out effect, which is used to describe how an expansionary fiscal policy would reduce private investments, has become one of the major areas of research in the economy. This study aims to investigate whether or not the crowding-out effect is applicable in OECD countries. For this purpose, Panel Data Analysis was performed for the period 1995-2017. This analysis uses private investments of countries as dependent variables and, in addition to GDP and total government expenditures, it uses education, health, general public services, social protection, economic affairs, defence, public order and safety expenditures of the government as independent variables. Panel Data Analysis was performed using Huber-Eicker-White Estimator in line with the results of econometric tests required for this analysis such as stationarity, model determination, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. As a result, in OECD countries, while economic growth and defence expenditures of the government positively affect private investments, total government expenditures and social protection expenditures of the government have a crowding-out effect on private investments.
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spelling doaj-art-16ea62b74e484d74beeceaf96df463ca2025-08-20T03:52:52ZengIstanbul University Pressİstanbul İktisat Dergisi2602-39542020-06-0170111610.26650/ISTJECON2020-0001123456Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD CountriesMehmet Emre Ünsal0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0777-1399İstanbul Üniversitesi, İstanbul, TürkiyeThe concept of the crowding-out effect, which is used to describe how an expansionary fiscal policy would reduce private investments, has become one of the major areas of research in the economy. This study aims to investigate whether or not the crowding-out effect is applicable in OECD countries. For this purpose, Panel Data Analysis was performed for the period 1995-2017. This analysis uses private investments of countries as dependent variables and, in addition to GDP and total government expenditures, it uses education, health, general public services, social protection, economic affairs, defence, public order and safety expenditures of the government as independent variables. Panel Data Analysis was performed using Huber-Eicker-White Estimator in line with the results of econometric tests required for this analysis such as stationarity, model determination, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation. As a result, in OECD countries, while economic growth and defence expenditures of the government positively affect private investments, total government expenditures and social protection expenditures of the government have a crowding-out effect on private investments.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/3FB7BC8EEF5D41D5B84725159DD4F42Bcrowding-out effectgovernment expenditurespanel data analysis
spellingShingle Mehmet Emre Ünsal
Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries
İstanbul İktisat Dergisi
crowding-out effect
government expenditures
panel data analysis
title Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries
title_full Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries
title_fullStr Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries
title_full_unstemmed Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries
title_short Crowding-Out Effect: Evidence from OECD Countries
title_sort crowding out effect evidence from oecd countries
topic crowding-out effect
government expenditures
panel data analysis
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/3FB7BC8EEF5D41D5B84725159DD4F42B
work_keys_str_mv AT mehmetemreunsal crowdingouteffectevidencefromoecdcountries