Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies

This study interrogates asymmetric effect of public debt on economic growth among selected emerging and frontier SADC economies. The study estimates a smooth transition regression (STAR) to analyse asymmetric relationship between public debt and economic growth using time series data from 2000 to 20...

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Main Authors: Bongumusa Prince Makhoba, Irrshad Kaseeram, Lorraine Greyling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-12-01
Series:Cogent Economics & Finance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2022.2046323
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author Bongumusa Prince Makhoba
Irrshad Kaseeram
Lorraine Greyling
author_facet Bongumusa Prince Makhoba
Irrshad Kaseeram
Lorraine Greyling
author_sort Bongumusa Prince Makhoba
collection DOAJ
description This study interrogates asymmetric effect of public debt on economic growth among selected emerging and frontier SADC economies. The study estimates a smooth transition regression (STAR) to analyse asymmetric relationship between public debt and economic growth using time series data from 2000 to 2018, extracted from the World Development Indicators. The findings indicate a strong evidence of a significant asymmetric relationship between public debt and growth among emerging and frontier SADC members under consideration. The results revealed the inverted U-Shape effect of public debt on growth in South Africa. While the results for Botswana, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe indicate that there is a U-Shape relationship between public debt and economic growth. The study suggest that policymakers ought to consider curbing public debt level within a sustainable threshold target in order to reduce accompanying debt serving costs, and efficiently use public finances consistent with sustainable economic expansion.
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issn 2332-2039
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series Cogent Economics & Finance
spelling doaj-art-16e4f70a98fc4c8790ce8b0ad80eaeae2025-08-20T03:12:47ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Economics & Finance2332-20392022-12-0110110.1080/23322039.2022.2046323Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economiesBongumusa Prince Makhoba0Irrshad Kaseeram1Lorraine Greyling2Faculty of Commerce, Administration and Law, Department of Economics, University of Zululand, KwaDlangezwa South AfricaFaculty of Commerce, Administration and Law, Department of Economics, University of Zululand, KwaDlangezwa South AfricaFaculty of Commerce, Administration and Law, Department of Economics, University of Zululand, KwaDlangezwa South AfricaThis study interrogates asymmetric effect of public debt on economic growth among selected emerging and frontier SADC economies. The study estimates a smooth transition regression (STAR) to analyse asymmetric relationship between public debt and economic growth using time series data from 2000 to 2018, extracted from the World Development Indicators. The findings indicate a strong evidence of a significant asymmetric relationship between public debt and growth among emerging and frontier SADC members under consideration. The results revealed the inverted U-Shape effect of public debt on growth in South Africa. While the results for Botswana, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe indicate that there is a U-Shape relationship between public debt and economic growth. The study suggest that policymakers ought to consider curbing public debt level within a sustainable threshold target in order to reduce accompanying debt serving costs, and efficiently use public finances consistent with sustainable economic expansion.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2022.2046323Public debtEconomic growthSmooth Transition RegressionSADC
spellingShingle Bongumusa Prince Makhoba
Irrshad Kaseeram
Lorraine Greyling
Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies
Cogent Economics & Finance
Public debt
Economic growth
Smooth Transition Regression
SADC
title Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies
title_full Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies
title_fullStr Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies
title_short Asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth: Evidence from emerging and frontier SADC economies
title_sort asymmetric effects of public debt on economic growth evidence from emerging and frontier sadc economies
topic Public debt
Economic growth
Smooth Transition Regression
SADC
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/23322039.2022.2046323
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AT irrshadkaseeram asymmetriceffectsofpublicdebtoneconomicgrowthevidencefromemergingandfrontiersadceconomies
AT lorrainegreyling asymmetriceffectsofpublicdebtoneconomicgrowthevidencefromemergingandfrontiersadceconomies