Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval

The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has markedly affected energy valuations and financial markets. As such, this article aims to scrutinize the dynamic interplay between stock market returns and crude oil prices, with a particular focus on China, factoring in the second-moment effect of volatility s...

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Main Authors: Zhuoqi Teng, Renhong Wu, Yugang He
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/6695727
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author Zhuoqi Teng
Renhong Wu
Yugang He
author_facet Zhuoqi Teng
Renhong Wu
Yugang He
author_sort Zhuoqi Teng
collection DOAJ
description The advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has markedly affected energy valuations and financial markets. As such, this article aims to scrutinize the dynamic interplay between stock market returns and crude oil prices, with a particular focus on China, factoring in the second-moment effect of volatility spillover. Employing an EGARCH process to model the leverage impact on returns’ volatility, the analysis utilizes daily data spanning from January 30, 2020, to August 30, 2022, and incorporates causality-in-mean and variance assessments. Empirical findings indicate that the QDII-LOF benchmark, representing oil prices, exerts a substantial influence on stock market returns. Nevertheless, the complete sample reveals no discernible spillover effects attributable to oil price fluctuations. These insights imply that the Chinese government’s actions should carefully weigh the ramifications of spillovers. Concurrently, investors are advised to attentively monitor the crude oil market when making portfolio allocation decisions.
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-16695680c90d468bbcbee6038fd80a032025-08-20T02:02:33ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1607-887X2023-01-01202310.1155/2023/6695727Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic UpheavalZhuoqi Teng0Renhong Wu1Yugang He2College of Business AdministrationSchool of ManagementCollege of Liberal ArtsThe advent of the COVID-19 pandemic has markedly affected energy valuations and financial markets. As such, this article aims to scrutinize the dynamic interplay between stock market returns and crude oil prices, with a particular focus on China, factoring in the second-moment effect of volatility spillover. Employing an EGARCH process to model the leverage impact on returns’ volatility, the analysis utilizes daily data spanning from January 30, 2020, to August 30, 2022, and incorporates causality-in-mean and variance assessments. Empirical findings indicate that the QDII-LOF benchmark, representing oil prices, exerts a substantial influence on stock market returns. Nevertheless, the complete sample reveals no discernible spillover effects attributable to oil price fluctuations. These insights imply that the Chinese government’s actions should carefully weigh the ramifications of spillovers. Concurrently, investors are advised to attentively monitor the crude oil market when making portfolio allocation decisions.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/6695727
spellingShingle Zhuoqi Teng
Renhong Wu
Yugang He
Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval
title_full Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval
title_fullStr Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval
title_full_unstemmed Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval
title_short Swings in Crude Oil Valuations: Analyzing Their Bearing on China’s Stock Market Returns amid the COVID-19 Pandemic Upheaval
title_sort swings in crude oil valuations analyzing their bearing on china s stock market returns amid the covid 19 pandemic upheaval
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/6695727
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AT renhongwu swingsincrudeoilvaluationsanalyzingtheirbearingonchinasstockmarketreturnsamidthecovid19pandemicupheaval
AT yuganghe swingsincrudeoilvaluationsanalyzingtheirbearingonchinasstockmarketreturnsamidthecovid19pandemicupheaval