Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit

IntroductionPneumonia is globally recognized as a significant disease burden, particularly among pediatric patients in intensive care units (ICU), where its etiology is complex and prognosis often poor.MethodsData were extracted from a pediatric-specific intensive care (PIC) database, selecting 795...

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Main Authors: Mingxuan Jia, Xiyan Hu, Lin Ji, Jiawen Lin, Jialin Liu, Yong Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-06-01
Series:Frontiers in Pediatrics
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2025.1583573/full
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author Mingxuan Jia
Xiyan Hu
Lin Ji
Jiawen Lin
Jialin Liu
Yong Wang
author_facet Mingxuan Jia
Xiyan Hu
Lin Ji
Jiawen Lin
Jialin Liu
Yong Wang
author_sort Mingxuan Jia
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionPneumonia is globally recognized as a significant disease burden, particularly among pediatric patients in intensive care units (ICU), where its etiology is complex and prognosis often poor.MethodsData were extracted from a pediatric-specific intensive care (PIC) database, selecting 795 pediatric pneumonia patients in ICUs (2010–2018). After applying rigorous inclusion/exclusion criteria, 543 cases formed the study cohort. We analyzed patient baseline information and 70 laboratory indicators to identify 25 prognosis-associated biomarkers. For prognostic model construction, we used stepwise regression to filter 28 variables, then Spearman and Pearson correlation analyses to identify an intersection of 14 key indicators from the top 20 features. Twelve machine learning algorithms underwent parameter tuning and combination, forming 113 model combinations for survival outcome prediction.ResultsThe “Stepglm [both] + GBM” combination achieved the highest average accuracy (79.4%) in both training and testing sets. Twelve prognostic variables were identified: WBC Count, Glucose, Neutrophils Count, Cystatin C, Temperature (body), Sodium (Whole Blood), Cholesterol (Total), Absolute Lymphocyte Count, Urea, Lactate, and Bilirubin (Total).DiscussionThese 12 variables provide a dependable basis and novel insights for prognostic evaluation, supporting clinical diagnosis, treatment, and early intervention.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2025-06-01
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series Frontiers in Pediatrics
spelling doaj-art-134e9b1b35ac4b428c74c4097fd4bc5d2025-08-20T03:26:09ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Pediatrics2296-23602025-06-011310.3389/fped.2025.15835731583573Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unitMingxuan Jia0Xiyan Hu1Lin Ji2Jiawen Lin3Jialin Liu4Yong Wang5Middlebury College, Middlebury, VT, United StatesStanford University, Stanford, CA, United StatesShanghai Literature Institute of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaYangpu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaChengZheng Wisdom (Shanghai) Health Sciences and Technology Co., Ltd., Shanghai, ChinaShanghai Literature Institute of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai, ChinaIntroductionPneumonia is globally recognized as a significant disease burden, particularly among pediatric patients in intensive care units (ICU), where its etiology is complex and prognosis often poor.MethodsData were extracted from a pediatric-specific intensive care (PIC) database, selecting 795 pediatric pneumonia patients in ICUs (2010–2018). After applying rigorous inclusion/exclusion criteria, 543 cases formed the study cohort. We analyzed patient baseline information and 70 laboratory indicators to identify 25 prognosis-associated biomarkers. For prognostic model construction, we used stepwise regression to filter 28 variables, then Spearman and Pearson correlation analyses to identify an intersection of 14 key indicators from the top 20 features. Twelve machine learning algorithms underwent parameter tuning and combination, forming 113 model combinations for survival outcome prediction.ResultsThe “Stepglm [both] + GBM” combination achieved the highest average accuracy (79.4%) in both training and testing sets. Twelve prognostic variables were identified: WBC Count, Glucose, Neutrophils Count, Cystatin C, Temperature (body), Sodium (Whole Blood), Cholesterol (Total), Absolute Lymphocyte Count, Urea, Lactate, and Bilirubin (Total).DiscussionThese 12 variables provide a dependable basis and novel insights for prognostic evaluation, supporting clinical diagnosis, treatment, and early intervention.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2025.1583573/fullpneumoniaintensive care unitmachine learning algorithmspaediatricspredictive models
spellingShingle Mingxuan Jia
Xiyan Hu
Lin Ji
Jiawen Lin
Jialin Liu
Yong Wang
Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
Frontiers in Pediatrics
pneumonia
intensive care unit
machine learning algorithms
paediatrics
predictive models
title Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
title_full Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
title_fullStr Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
title_full_unstemmed Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
title_short Predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
title_sort predictive for patients with pneumonia in pediatric intensive care unit
topic pneumonia
intensive care unit
machine learning algorithms
paediatrics
predictive models
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fped.2025.1583573/full
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AT xiyanhu predictiveforpatientswithpneumoniainpediatricintensivecareunit
AT linji predictiveforpatientswithpneumoniainpediatricintensivecareunit
AT jiawenlin predictiveforpatientswithpneumoniainpediatricintensivecareunit
AT jialinliu predictiveforpatientswithpneumoniainpediatricintensivecareunit
AT yongwang predictiveforpatientswithpneumoniainpediatricintensivecareunit