Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes

Abstract Although the cold wake of tropical cyclones (TCs) is recognized to be typically rightward biased relative to TC track (in the North Hemisphere), it remains unclear to what extent the rightward bias should be for specified TCs. Based on numerical simulations and observational statistics, thi...

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Main Authors: Zhanhong Ma, Xinyue Yan, Jianfang Fei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-09-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104578
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author Zhanhong Ma
Xinyue Yan
Jianfang Fei
author_facet Zhanhong Ma
Xinyue Yan
Jianfang Fei
author_sort Zhanhong Ma
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Although the cold wake of tropical cyclones (TCs) is recognized to be typically rightward biased relative to TC track (in the North Hemisphere), it remains unclear to what extent the rightward bias should be for specified TCs. Based on numerical simulations and observational statistics, this study shows that the distance of cold wake rightward bias is closely related to latitude, translation speed and radius of maximum wind (RMW) of a TC, but is independent from maximum surface wind and radial wind profile outside the RMW, namely TC intensity and size. A semi‐empirical equation is derived to represent the rightward bias extent of cold wakes. For TCs with slower translation speed, smaller RMW, or at higher latitudes, the cold wakes are less asymmetric relative to the TC track. Atmospheric simulations also show that the TC tends to be weaker and more asymmetric as the cold wake is closer to TC center.
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-1312e0b01c154feebce90f05c0a0988e2025-08-20T03:02:10ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072023-09-015017n/an/a10.1029/2023GL104578Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold WakesZhanhong Ma0Xinyue Yan1Jianfang Fei2College of Meteorology and Oceanography National University of Defense Technology Changsha ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography National University of Defense Technology Changsha ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography National University of Defense Technology Changsha ChinaAbstract Although the cold wake of tropical cyclones (TCs) is recognized to be typically rightward biased relative to TC track (in the North Hemisphere), it remains unclear to what extent the rightward bias should be for specified TCs. Based on numerical simulations and observational statistics, this study shows that the distance of cold wake rightward bias is closely related to latitude, translation speed and radius of maximum wind (RMW) of a TC, but is independent from maximum surface wind and radial wind profile outside the RMW, namely TC intensity and size. A semi‐empirical equation is derived to represent the rightward bias extent of cold wakes. For TCs with slower translation speed, smaller RMW, or at higher latitudes, the cold wakes are less asymmetric relative to the TC track. Atmospheric simulations also show that the TC tends to be weaker and more asymmetric as the cold wake is closer to TC center.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104578tropical cyclonecold wake
spellingShingle Zhanhong Ma
Xinyue Yan
Jianfang Fei
Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes
Geophysical Research Letters
tropical cyclone
cold wake
title Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes
title_full Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes
title_fullStr Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes
title_full_unstemmed Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes
title_short Quantifying the Rightward Bias Extent of Tropical Cyclones' Cold Wakes
title_sort quantifying the rightward bias extent of tropical cyclones cold wakes
topic tropical cyclone
cold wake
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104578
work_keys_str_mv AT zhanhongma quantifyingtherightwardbiasextentoftropicalcyclonescoldwakes
AT xinyueyan quantifyingtherightwardbiasextentoftropicalcyclonescoldwakes
AT jianfangfei quantifyingtherightwardbiasextentoftropicalcyclonescoldwakes