Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event

Aerosols are important modulators of the precipitation-generating process, with their concentrations potentially affecting the precipitation process in extreme events. Existing literature suggests that, through microphysical processes, additional aerosols lead to a larger number of smaller cloud dro...

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Main Authors: Wenjia Cao, Robert V Rohli, Paul W Miller
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Communications
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/adbeb8
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author Wenjia Cao
Robert V Rohli
Paul W Miller
author_facet Wenjia Cao
Robert V Rohli
Paul W Miller
author_sort Wenjia Cao
collection DOAJ
description Aerosols are important modulators of the precipitation-generating process, with their concentrations potentially affecting the precipitation process in extreme events. Existing literature suggests that, through microphysical processes, additional aerosols lead to a larger number of smaller cloud droplets, which eventually redistributes the latent heat and the precipitation process. This research addresses the question of how sensitive the spatial and temporal patterns of heavy precipitation events are to aerosol concentration. National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) final (FNL) data were used as input to the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, to simulate the case study of the catastrophic 2016 flood in Louisiana, USA, for three aerosol loading scenarios: virtually clean, average, and very dirty, corresponding to 0.1×, 1×, and 10× the climatological aerosol concentration. Overall, for the extreme precipitation event in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, in August 2016, increasing aerosol concentrations were associated with 1) a shifted peak precipitation period; 2) a more intense and extreme precipitation event in a more confined area; 3) greater maximum precipitation. Results are important in improving forecast models of extreme precipitation events, thereby further protecting life and property, and more comprehensively understanding the role of aerosols in heavy precipitation events.
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spelling doaj-art-12e725a421514faea7efb3e660fc4f8d2025-08-20T02:56:28ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Communications2515-76202025-01-017303100610.1088/2515-7620/adbeb8Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation eventWenjia Cao0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4765-3271Robert V Rohli1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2198-5606Paul W Miller2https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0512-8295Department of Oceanography & Coastal Sciences, College of the Coast & Environment, Louisiana State University , Baton Rouge, 70803, United States of AmericaDepartment of Oceanography & Coastal Sciences, College of the Coast & Environment, Louisiana State University , Baton Rouge, 70803, United States of AmericaDepartment of Oceanography & Coastal Sciences, College of the Coast & Environment, Louisiana State University , Baton Rouge, 70803, United States of AmericaAerosols are important modulators of the precipitation-generating process, with their concentrations potentially affecting the precipitation process in extreme events. Existing literature suggests that, through microphysical processes, additional aerosols lead to a larger number of smaller cloud droplets, which eventually redistributes the latent heat and the precipitation process. This research addresses the question of how sensitive the spatial and temporal patterns of heavy precipitation events are to aerosol concentration. National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Data Assimilation System (GDAS) final (FNL) data were used as input to the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, to simulate the case study of the catastrophic 2016 flood in Louisiana, USA, for three aerosol loading scenarios: virtually clean, average, and very dirty, corresponding to 0.1×, 1×, and 10× the climatological aerosol concentration. Overall, for the extreme precipitation event in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, in August 2016, increasing aerosol concentrations were associated with 1) a shifted peak precipitation period; 2) a more intense and extreme precipitation event in a more confined area; 3) greater maximum precipitation. Results are important in improving forecast models of extreme precipitation events, thereby further protecting life and property, and more comprehensively understanding the role of aerosols in heavy precipitation events.https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/adbeb8weather research and forecasting modellouisianafloodthompson aerosol-aware schemecloud condensation nuclei
spellingShingle Wenjia Cao
Robert V Rohli
Paul W Miller
Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
Environmental Research Communications
weather research and forecasting model
louisiana
flood
thompson aerosol-aware scheme
cloud condensation nuclei
title Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
title_full Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
title_fullStr Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
title_short Sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
title_sort sensitivity of spatial and temporal precipitation patterns to aerosol loadings during an extreme precipitation event
topic weather research and forecasting model
louisiana
flood
thompson aerosol-aware scheme
cloud condensation nuclei
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/adbeb8
work_keys_str_mv AT wenjiacao sensitivityofspatialandtemporalprecipitationpatternstoaerosolloadingsduringanextremeprecipitationevent
AT robertvrohli sensitivityofspatialandtemporalprecipitationpatternstoaerosolloadingsduringanextremeprecipitationevent
AT paulwmiller sensitivityofspatialandtemporalprecipitationpatternstoaerosolloadingsduringanextremeprecipitationevent