The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach

Purpose – The study attempts to examine the impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the United States, which has consistently served as a key market for Vietnamese goods and services in recent decades. The heterogeneous effects of the trade war on different export sectors are also...

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Main Authors: Binh Thi Thanh Dang, Wang Yawei, Abdul Jabbar Abdullah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Emerald Publishing 2024-11-01
Series:Journal of Trade Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JTS-02-2024-0007/full/pdf
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author Binh Thi Thanh Dang
Wang Yawei
Abdul Jabbar Abdullah
author_facet Binh Thi Thanh Dang
Wang Yawei
Abdul Jabbar Abdullah
author_sort Binh Thi Thanh Dang
collection DOAJ
description Purpose – The study attempts to examine the impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the United States, which has consistently served as a key market for Vietnamese goods and services in recent decades. The heterogeneous effects of the trade war on different export sectors are also evaluated. Design/methodology/approach – The secondary data on Vietnamese exports to the US at a 6-digit level is collected from UN Comtrade. Besides, the difference-in-differences (DiD) method is employed to analyze the impact of the trade war on exports from Vietnam to the United States. Findings – The findings revealed a 14% increase in total Vietnamese exports to the United States due to the trade war. Examining heterogeneous effects, certain industries, such as plastics, iron or steel articles, textiles and garments, and machinery and mechanical appliances, experience significant benefits. However, the study did not identify statistically significant effects on other sectors, such as electrical machinery products, agricultural and forestry, and furniture. Originality/value – The paper is one among limited studies considering the causal effects of the trade war on a developing country, accounting for the heterogeneous effects on different export sectors.
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spelling doaj-art-12d3687e14ea4c0eb99378e01ec261902025-08-20T02:45:45ZengEmerald PublishingJournal of Trade Science2815-57932755-39572024-11-0112430431810.1108/JTS-02-2024-0007The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approachBinh Thi Thanh Dang0Wang Yawei1Abdul Jabbar Abdullah2Economics Department, Thuongmai University, Hanoi, VietnamGraduate School of International Social Science, Yokohama National University, Yokohama, JapanUniversiti Teknologi MARA Sarawak Branch, Sarawak, MalaysiaPurpose – The study attempts to examine the impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the United States, which has consistently served as a key market for Vietnamese goods and services in recent decades. The heterogeneous effects of the trade war on different export sectors are also evaluated. Design/methodology/approach – The secondary data on Vietnamese exports to the US at a 6-digit level is collected from UN Comtrade. Besides, the difference-in-differences (DiD) method is employed to analyze the impact of the trade war on exports from Vietnam to the United States. Findings – The findings revealed a 14% increase in total Vietnamese exports to the United States due to the trade war. Examining heterogeneous effects, certain industries, such as plastics, iron or steel articles, textiles and garments, and machinery and mechanical appliances, experience significant benefits. However, the study did not identify statistically significant effects on other sectors, such as electrical machinery products, agricultural and forestry, and furniture. Originality/value – The paper is one among limited studies considering the causal effects of the trade war on a developing country, accounting for the heterogeneous effects on different export sectors.https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JTS-02-2024-0007/full/pdfThe US-China trade warImpact evaluationBystandersVietnamese exports to the United StatesDiD
spellingShingle Binh Thi Thanh Dang
Wang Yawei
Abdul Jabbar Abdullah
The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach
Journal of Trade Science
The US-China trade war
Impact evaluation
Bystanders
Vietnamese exports to the United States
DiD
title The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach
title_full The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach
title_fullStr The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach
title_full_unstemmed The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach
title_short The impact of the US-China trade war on Vietnamese exports to the US: a quantitative study using DiD approach
title_sort impact of the us china trade war on vietnamese exports to the us a quantitative study using did approach
topic The US-China trade war
Impact evaluation
Bystanders
Vietnamese exports to the United States
DiD
url https://www.emerald.com/insight/content/doi/10.1108/JTS-02-2024-0007/full/pdf
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