State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry

In the structure of thermal generation of the Russian Federation, the share of modern combined-cycle plants, characterized by low specific fuel consumption (CCGT), is only 16 % and is based on the use of Western-made gas turbines. To stimulate import substitution, as measures of state support, speci...

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Main Authors: E. A. Tregubova, A. I. Tregubov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Publishing House of the State University of Management 2023-06-01
Series:Вестник университета
Subjects:
Online Access:https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4441
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author E. A. Tregubova
A. I. Tregubov
author_facet E. A. Tregubova
A. I. Tregubov
author_sort E. A. Tregubova
collection DOAJ
description In the structure of thermal generation of the Russian Federation, the share of modern combined-cycle plants, characterized by low specific fuel consumption (CCGT), is only 16 % and is based on the use of Western-made gas turbines. To stimulate import substitution, as measures of state support, special prices for capacity produced by new generation are used, and tax incentives are provided to investor enterprises. The paper assesses the impact of existing state support measures on the commercial efficiency of the investment project for the construction of a CCGT-120 on Russian equipment in the city of Saki (Republic of Crimea). The indicators of net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and payback period for three scenarios (basic and two alternative, differing in the composition of state support measures) are considered. It is shown that the use of a special capacity tariff for new generation (competitive capacity extraction of new generating facilities – KOM NG) and tax incentives ensures the project’s profitability at the level of 18.7 % and the payback period is 7 years. Refusal to provide special tariffs for the capacity will cause the project to become unprofitable. The abolition of tax incentives will lead to a reduction in NPV by 40 %, a decrease in the project’s profitability to a critical level of 14.7 % and an increase in the payback period by 2 years. In order to rise the commercial efficiency of investment projects for the installation of CCGT units on Russian equipment and reduce the scale of their state support, it is necessary to increase the volume of heat supply and optimize investment costs.
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spelling doaj-art-123c01a2b1b14d7d8ef15ba8f41122f42025-02-04T08:28:16ZengPublishing House of the State University of ManagementВестник университета1816-42772686-84152023-06-010414915810.26425/1816-4277-2023-4-149-1582767State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industryE. A. Tregubova0A. I. Tregubov1State University of ManagementNational research university Higher School of EconomicsIn the structure of thermal generation of the Russian Federation, the share of modern combined-cycle plants, characterized by low specific fuel consumption (CCGT), is only 16 % and is based on the use of Western-made gas turbines. To stimulate import substitution, as measures of state support, special prices for capacity produced by new generation are used, and tax incentives are provided to investor enterprises. The paper assesses the impact of existing state support measures on the commercial efficiency of the investment project for the construction of a CCGT-120 on Russian equipment in the city of Saki (Republic of Crimea). The indicators of net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR) and payback period for three scenarios (basic and two alternative, differing in the composition of state support measures) are considered. It is shown that the use of a special capacity tariff for new generation (competitive capacity extraction of new generating facilities – KOM NG) and tax incentives ensures the project’s profitability at the level of 18.7 % and the payback period is 7 years. Refusal to provide special tariffs for the capacity will cause the project to become unprofitable. The abolition of tax incentives will lead to a reduction in NPV by 40 %, a decrease in the project’s profitability to a critical level of 14.7 % and an increase in the payback period by 2 years. In order to rise the commercial efficiency of investment projects for the installation of CCGT units on Russian equipment and reduce the scale of their state support, it is necessary to increase the volume of heat supply and optimize investment costs.https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4441electric power industrystate support for investmentsimport substitutioncombined-cycle plantsnew generationefficiencyprofitabilitypayback period
spellingShingle E. A. Tregubova
A. I. Tregubov
State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
Вестник университета
electric power industry
state support for investments
import substitution
combined-cycle plants
new generation
efficiency
profitability
payback period
title State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
title_full State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
title_fullStr State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
title_full_unstemmed State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
title_short State support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
title_sort state support measures for import substitution impact on the investment projects efficiency in the power industry
topic electric power industry
state support for investments
import substitution
combined-cycle plants
new generation
efficiency
profitability
payback period
url https://vestnik.guu.ru/jour/article/view/4441
work_keys_str_mv AT eatregubova statesupportmeasuresforimportsubstitutionimpactontheinvestmentprojectsefficiencyinthepowerindustry
AT aitregubov statesupportmeasuresforimportsubstitutionimpactontheinvestmentprojectsefficiencyinthepowerindustry