Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels

This study explores the application of machine learning (ML) in steel design using a small dataset of various steel grades that include 13 key elements and three critical mechanical properties. Random forest (RF) models were systematically evaluated for their robustness and effectiveness in predicti...

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Main Authors: Movaffaq Kateb, Sahar Safarian
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:Machine Learning with Applications
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666827025000179
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author Movaffaq Kateb
Sahar Safarian
author_facet Movaffaq Kateb
Sahar Safarian
author_sort Movaffaq Kateb
collection DOAJ
description This study explores the application of machine learning (ML) in steel design using a small dataset of various steel grades that include 13 key elements and three critical mechanical properties. Random forest (RF) models were systematically evaluated for their robustness and effectiveness in predicting the stress-strain of steel properties. Moreover, other alternative approaches, such as support vector machines, extreme gradient boosting machines, and artificial neural networks, were also evaluated to ensure that the predictions made by the RF model are as accurate as possible. To assess the bias-variance trade-off, 1-seed and random 100-seeds with 80/20 train/test split, and leave-one-out cross-validation for all datasets were conducted. The results demonstrated that the RF models are accurate and reliable, achieving low bias and variance while delivering predictions comparable to, and in some cases better than, those obtained in studies with larger datasets. The analysis revealed a trade-off between strength and ductility, with elongation negatively correlated with yield strength and ultimate tensile strength. This study highlights the feasibility of using small, realistic datasets to develop effective ML models for predicting mechanical properties in steel design. The methodology can also be readily extended to investigate processing-property relationships in other systems, offering a versatile approach for advancing materials science through data-driven techniques.
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spelling doaj-art-1211bb22ba4c4b72bcd0f5d5bbb7b6992025-08-20T02:06:20ZengElsevierMachine Learning with Applications2666-82702025-06-012010063410.1016/j.mlwa.2025.100634Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steelsMovaffaq Kateb0Sahar Safarian1Structural Chemistry Division, Department of Chemistry-Ångström Laboratory, Uppsala University, Lägerhyddsvägen 1, P.O. Box 538, 75121, Uppsala, Sweden; Corresponding author.IVL Swedish Environmental Research Institute, Aschebergsgatan 44, 41133, Gothenburg, SwedenThis study explores the application of machine learning (ML) in steel design using a small dataset of various steel grades that include 13 key elements and three critical mechanical properties. Random forest (RF) models were systematically evaluated for their robustness and effectiveness in predicting the stress-strain of steel properties. Moreover, other alternative approaches, such as support vector machines, extreme gradient boosting machines, and artificial neural networks, were also evaluated to ensure that the predictions made by the RF model are as accurate as possible. To assess the bias-variance trade-off, 1-seed and random 100-seeds with 80/20 train/test split, and leave-one-out cross-validation for all datasets were conducted. The results demonstrated that the RF models are accurate and reliable, achieving low bias and variance while delivering predictions comparable to, and in some cases better than, those obtained in studies with larger datasets. The analysis revealed a trade-off between strength and ductility, with elongation negatively correlated with yield strength and ultimate tensile strength. This study highlights the feasibility of using small, realistic datasets to develop effective ML models for predicting mechanical properties in steel design. The methodology can also be readily extended to investigate processing-property relationships in other systems, offering a versatile approach for advancing materials science through data-driven techniques.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666827025000179Machine learningMechanical propertiesSmall datasetSteel compositionsMultiple grades
spellingShingle Movaffaq Kateb
Sahar Safarian
Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
Machine Learning with Applications
Machine learning
Mechanical properties
Small dataset
Steel compositions
Multiple grades
title Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
title_full Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
title_fullStr Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
title_full_unstemmed Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
title_short Machine learning-driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
title_sort machine learning driven predictive modeling of mechanical properties in diverse steels
topic Machine learning
Mechanical properties
Small dataset
Steel compositions
Multiple grades
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666827025000179
work_keys_str_mv AT movaffaqkateb machinelearningdrivenpredictivemodelingofmechanicalpropertiesindiversesteels
AT saharsafarian machinelearningdrivenpredictivemodelingofmechanicalpropertiesindiversesteels