Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method

Automatic Identification System (AIS) operates within a very high frequency (VHF) maritime mobile band, which could be impacted by surface duct seriously. Utilizing AIS signals for atmospheric duct inversion is a relatively new technique in passive remote sensing. This study employs the Bayesian met...

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Main Authors: Hong-Guang Wang, Li-Jun Zhang, Jie Han, Li-Feng Huang, Qing-Lin Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1639777/full
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author Hong-Guang Wang
Li-Jun Zhang
Jie Han
Li-Feng Huang
Qing-Lin Zhu
author_facet Hong-Guang Wang
Li-Jun Zhang
Jie Han
Li-Feng Huang
Qing-Lin Zhu
author_sort Hong-Guang Wang
collection DOAJ
description Automatic Identification System (AIS) operates within a very high frequency (VHF) maritime mobile band, which could be impacted by surface duct seriously. Utilizing AIS signals for atmospheric duct inversion is a relatively new technique in passive remote sensing. This study employs the Bayesian method to conduct inversion of maritime surface ducts based on AIS signals, categorizing surface ducts into surface-based and elevated-surface ducts. Initially, preliminary data on surface-based duct and elevated-surface duct parameters are acquired from historical sounding data, followed by correlation analysis and probability density distribution fitting of these surface duct parameters. Subsequently, the inversion method steps are provided, and using the same measured AIS data, the likelihood function and posterior probability are calculated by directly employing historical samples and samples generated using Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), to accomplish the estimation of surface duct parameters. Directly utilizing historical samples and LHS-generated samples for Bayesian inversion can consistently and accurately yield results with an elevated-surface duct, with the latter being slightly more accurate than the former. The root mean square errors for the AIS path loss, calculated using the inverted elevated-surface duct parameters, are 5.9 dB and 4.4 dB when compared with the measured data. In contrast, the error calculated from the inverted surface-based duct parameters is 21.9 dB.
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publishDate 2025-08-01
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
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series Frontiers in Marine Science
spelling doaj-art-11f37c1e7d3642e6a00a96a48ecc7be72025-08-20T03:07:12ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452025-08-011210.3389/fmars.2025.16397771639777Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion methodHong-Guang WangLi-Jun ZhangJie HanLi-Feng HuangQing-Lin ZhuAutomatic Identification System (AIS) operates within a very high frequency (VHF) maritime mobile band, which could be impacted by surface duct seriously. Utilizing AIS signals for atmospheric duct inversion is a relatively new technique in passive remote sensing. This study employs the Bayesian method to conduct inversion of maritime surface ducts based on AIS signals, categorizing surface ducts into surface-based and elevated-surface ducts. Initially, preliminary data on surface-based duct and elevated-surface duct parameters are acquired from historical sounding data, followed by correlation analysis and probability density distribution fitting of these surface duct parameters. Subsequently, the inversion method steps are provided, and using the same measured AIS data, the likelihood function and posterior probability are calculated by directly employing historical samples and samples generated using Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS), to accomplish the estimation of surface duct parameters. Directly utilizing historical samples and LHS-generated samples for Bayesian inversion can consistently and accurately yield results with an elevated-surface duct, with the latter being slightly more accurate than the former. The root mean square errors for the AIS path loss, calculated using the inverted elevated-surface duct parameters, are 5.9 dB and 4.4 dB when compared with the measured data. In contrast, the error calculated from the inverted surface-based duct parameters is 21.9 dB.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1639777/fullautomatic identification systemsurface ductpath lossLatin hypercube samplingBayesian inversion
spellingShingle Hong-Guang Wang
Li-Jun Zhang
Jie Han
Li-Feng Huang
Qing-Lin Zhu
Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method
Frontiers in Marine Science
automatic identification system
surface duct
path loss
Latin hypercube sampling
Bayesian inversion
title Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method
title_full Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method
title_fullStr Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method
title_short Estimation of surface duct parameters using AIS data based on Bayesian inversion method
title_sort estimation of surface duct parameters using ais data based on bayesian inversion method
topic automatic identification system
surface duct
path loss
Latin hypercube sampling
Bayesian inversion
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2025.1639777/full
work_keys_str_mv AT hongguangwang estimationofsurfaceductparametersusingaisdatabasedonbayesianinversionmethod
AT lijunzhang estimationofsurfaceductparametersusingaisdatabasedonbayesianinversionmethod
AT jiehan estimationofsurfaceductparametersusingaisdatabasedonbayesianinversionmethod
AT lifenghuang estimationofsurfaceductparametersusingaisdatabasedonbayesianinversionmethod
AT qinglinzhu estimationofsurfaceductparametersusingaisdatabasedonbayesianinversionmethod