Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions

The reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, in order to effectively address the issue of climate change, has critical importance worldwide. To achieve this aim and implement the necessary strategies and policies, the projection of greenhouse gas emissions is essential. This paper presents a forecasti...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Seval Ene Yalçın
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/12/12/528
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850086780225716224
author Seval Ene Yalçın
author_facet Seval Ene Yalçın
author_sort Seval Ene Yalçın
collection DOAJ
description The reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, in order to effectively address the issue of climate change, has critical importance worldwide. To achieve this aim and implement the necessary strategies and policies, the projection of greenhouse gas emissions is essential. This paper presents a forecasting framework for greenhouse gas emissions based on advanced machine learning algorithms: multivariable linear regression, random forest, k-nearest neighbor, extreme gradient boosting, support vector, and multilayer perceptron regression algorithms. The algorithms employ several input variables associated with greenhouse gas emission outputs. In order to evaluate the applicability and performance of the developed framework, nationwide statistical data from Turkey are employed as a case study. The dataset of the case study includes six input variables and annual sectoral and total greenhouse gas emissions in CO<sub>2</sub> eq. as output variables. This paper provides a scenario-based approach for future forecasts of greenhouse gas emissions and a sector-based analysis of greenhouse gas emissions in the case country considering multiple input variables. The present study indicates that the stated machine learning algorithms can be successfully applied to the forecasting of greenhouse gas emissions.
format Article
id doaj-art-11ae053b5c8d497f898fb0bc52cf7f28
institution DOAJ
issn 2079-8954
language English
publishDate 2024-11-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Systems
spelling doaj-art-11ae053b5c8d497f898fb0bc52cf7f282025-08-20T02:43:21ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542024-11-01121252810.3390/systems12120528Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas EmissionsSeval Ene Yalçın0Department of Industrial Engineering, Bursa Uludağ University, Görükle Campus, 16059 Bursa, TürkiyeThe reduction of greenhouse gas emissions, in order to effectively address the issue of climate change, has critical importance worldwide. To achieve this aim and implement the necessary strategies and policies, the projection of greenhouse gas emissions is essential. This paper presents a forecasting framework for greenhouse gas emissions based on advanced machine learning algorithms: multivariable linear regression, random forest, k-nearest neighbor, extreme gradient boosting, support vector, and multilayer perceptron regression algorithms. The algorithms employ several input variables associated with greenhouse gas emission outputs. In order to evaluate the applicability and performance of the developed framework, nationwide statistical data from Turkey are employed as a case study. The dataset of the case study includes six input variables and annual sectoral and total greenhouse gas emissions in CO<sub>2</sub> eq. as output variables. This paper provides a scenario-based approach for future forecasts of greenhouse gas emissions and a sector-based analysis of greenhouse gas emissions in the case country considering multiple input variables. The present study indicates that the stated machine learning algorithms can be successfully applied to the forecasting of greenhouse gas emissions.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/12/12/528CO<sub>2</sub> emissionsforecastinggreenhouse gas emissionsmachine learning algorithms
spellingShingle Seval Ene Yalçın
Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Systems
CO<sub>2</sub> emissions
forecasting
greenhouse gas emissions
machine learning algorithms
title Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_full Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_fullStr Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_full_unstemmed Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_short Development of a Forecasting Framework Based on Advanced Machine Learning Algorithms for Greenhouse Gas Emissions
title_sort development of a forecasting framework based on advanced machine learning algorithms for greenhouse gas emissions
topic CO<sub>2</sub> emissions
forecasting
greenhouse gas emissions
machine learning algorithms
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/12/12/528
work_keys_str_mv AT sevaleneyalcın developmentofaforecastingframeworkbasedonadvancedmachinelearningalgorithmsforgreenhousegasemissions