Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales

Abstract Identification of factors contributing to tuberculosis (TB) transmission can guide targeted measures to reduce morbidity. Varying findings for factors associated with TB genomic clustering exist. We describe Mycobacterium tuberculosis strain diversity, drug-resistance, and ongoing transmiss...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nicole Pacchiarini, Felicity Simkin, Mark Postans, George Ahern, Jiao Song, Clare Brown, Josie Smith, Catie Williams, Matthijs Backx, Daniel Thomas, Thomas R. Connor, Christopher Williams
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-08-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-15076-8
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1849226402493104128
author Nicole Pacchiarini
Felicity Simkin
Mark Postans
George Ahern
Jiao Song
Clare Brown
Josie Smith
Catie Williams
Matthijs Backx
Daniel Thomas
Thomas R. Connor
Christopher Williams
author_facet Nicole Pacchiarini
Felicity Simkin
Mark Postans
George Ahern
Jiao Song
Clare Brown
Josie Smith
Catie Williams
Matthijs Backx
Daniel Thomas
Thomas R. Connor
Christopher Williams
author_sort Nicole Pacchiarini
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Identification of factors contributing to tuberculosis (TB) transmission can guide targeted measures to reduce morbidity. Varying findings for factors associated with TB genomic clustering exist. We describe Mycobacterium tuberculosis strain diversity, drug-resistance, and ongoing transmission in Wales using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP)-based typing to infer lineage and clusters. TB cohort data on isolates from Welsh residents from 2012 to 2022, patient level data from the National TB Surveillance System and SNP-based data, were merged. Descriptive epidemiology and logistic regression modelling were used to identify factors associated with genotypic clustering. 215 cases were included in the cluster analysis (66% male and 46% born outside of the UK); 115/215 belonged to 30 genomic clusters belonging to lineages 2–4. Most clusters corresponded to Lineage 4 and were distributed within South Wales. There were significant differences in the distribution of ethnicity, age group, and deprivation (Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation, WIMD) in our sample compared to the Welsh population. Resistance to rifampicin and isoniazid and predicted resistance to ethambutol, aminoglycosides, pyrazinamide, and quinolone was low. Factors associated with increased odds of clustering included being UK-born and having pulmonary disease. Due to the identification of the above factors associated with TB genomic clustering, as well as the differences in ethnicity, age group, and WIMD quintile, prevention strategies for TB screening targeted towards these groups may be considered. Future work may evaluate the utility of additional control measures within these populations when the onset case in a genomic cluster has any of these characteristics.
format Article
id doaj-art-0f9bdc4a22a442af959bb404f97737f7
institution Kabale University
issn 2045-2322
language English
publishDate 2025-08-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj-art-0f9bdc4a22a442af959bb404f97737f72025-08-24T11:18:01ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-08-0115111110.1038/s41598-025-15076-8Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in WalesNicole Pacchiarini0Felicity Simkin1Mark Postans2George Ahern3Jiao Song4Clare Brown5Josie Smith6Catie Williams7Matthijs Backx8Daniel Thomas9Thomas R. Connor10Christopher Williams11Communicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesPathogen Genomics Unit, Public Health WalesPublic Health Wales Microbiology Cardiff, University Hospital of WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesPublic Health Genomics, Public Health WalesCommunicable Disease Surveillance Centre (CDSC), Public Health WalesAbstract Identification of factors contributing to tuberculosis (TB) transmission can guide targeted measures to reduce morbidity. Varying findings for factors associated with TB genomic clustering exist. We describe Mycobacterium tuberculosis strain diversity, drug-resistance, and ongoing transmission in Wales using single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP)-based typing to infer lineage and clusters. TB cohort data on isolates from Welsh residents from 2012 to 2022, patient level data from the National TB Surveillance System and SNP-based data, were merged. Descriptive epidemiology and logistic regression modelling were used to identify factors associated with genotypic clustering. 215 cases were included in the cluster analysis (66% male and 46% born outside of the UK); 115/215 belonged to 30 genomic clusters belonging to lineages 2–4. Most clusters corresponded to Lineage 4 and were distributed within South Wales. There were significant differences in the distribution of ethnicity, age group, and deprivation (Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation, WIMD) in our sample compared to the Welsh population. Resistance to rifampicin and isoniazid and predicted resistance to ethambutol, aminoglycosides, pyrazinamide, and quinolone was low. Factors associated with increased odds of clustering included being UK-born and having pulmonary disease. Due to the identification of the above factors associated with TB genomic clustering, as well as the differences in ethnicity, age group, and WIMD quintile, prevention strategies for TB screening targeted towards these groups may be considered. Future work may evaluate the utility of additional control measures within these populations when the onset case in a genomic cluster has any of these characteristics.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-15076-8TuberculosisWhole genome sequencingGenomic clusterUnited KingdomWales
spellingShingle Nicole Pacchiarini
Felicity Simkin
Mark Postans
George Ahern
Jiao Song
Clare Brown
Josie Smith
Catie Williams
Matthijs Backx
Daniel Thomas
Thomas R. Connor
Christopher Williams
Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales
Scientific Reports
Tuberculosis
Whole genome sequencing
Genomic cluster
United Kingdom
Wales
title Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales
title_full Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales
title_fullStr Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales
title_full_unstemmed Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales
title_short Genomic epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Wales
title_sort genomic epidemiology of mycobacterium tuberculosis in wales
topic Tuberculosis
Whole genome sequencing
Genomic cluster
United Kingdom
Wales
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-15076-8
work_keys_str_mv AT nicolepacchiarini genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT felicitysimkin genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT markpostans genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT georgeahern genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT jiaosong genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT clarebrown genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT josiesmith genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT catiewilliams genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT matthijsbackx genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT danielthomas genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT thomasrconnor genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales
AT christopherwilliams genomicepidemiologyofmycobacteriumtuberculosisinwales