Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, whereas cancer remains the second leading cause of death in the United States. Both conditions share several risk factors and may compound mortality risk. However, national trends in AF and cancer-related mortality remain un...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Saad, MBBS, Reyan Hussain Shaikh, MBBS, Muhammad Umer Sohail, MBBS, Saad Ahmed Waqas, MBBS, Mian Muinuddin Jamshed, MBBS, Syed Ibad Ahsan, MBBS, Muhammad Sameer Arshad, MBBS, Azeem Hassan, MBBS, Sebastian Mactaggart, MBBS, Raheel Ahmed, MBBS, MRCP, PhD
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-08-01
Series:Heart Rhythm O2
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666501825001564
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author Muhammad Saad, MBBS
Reyan Hussain Shaikh, MBBS
Muhammad Umer Sohail, MBBS
Saad Ahmed Waqas, MBBS
Mian Muinuddin Jamshed, MBBS
Syed Ibad Ahsan, MBBS
Muhammad Sameer Arshad, MBBS
Azeem Hassan, MBBS
Sebastian Mactaggart, MBBS
Raheel Ahmed, MBBS, MRCP, PhD
author_facet Muhammad Saad, MBBS
Reyan Hussain Shaikh, MBBS
Muhammad Umer Sohail, MBBS
Saad Ahmed Waqas, MBBS
Mian Muinuddin Jamshed, MBBS
Syed Ibad Ahsan, MBBS
Muhammad Sameer Arshad, MBBS
Azeem Hassan, MBBS
Sebastian Mactaggart, MBBS
Raheel Ahmed, MBBS, MRCP, PhD
author_sort Muhammad Saad, MBBS
collection DOAJ
description Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, whereas cancer remains the second leading cause of death in the United States. Both conditions share several risk factors and may compound mortality risk. However, national trends in AF and cancer-related mortality remain underexplored. Objective: To assess trends in mortality related to AF and cancer among US adults from 1999 to 2019, using demographic and geographic stratifications. Methods: Data were obtained from the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death data set. We identified individuals aged 25 years and older with AF (I48) and cancer (C00-C97) as an underlying or contributing cause of death. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population, average annual percentage change, and annual percentage change were calculated. Results: The AAMR for cancer and AF-related deaths increased from 4.95 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.84, 5.05) in 1999 to 10.01 (95% CI: 9.88, 10.13) in 2019 (average annual percentage change: 3.49 [95% CI: 3.39, 3.60]). Males had higher AAMRs than females (10.24 vs 5.13). Non-Hispanic Whites had the highest AAMRs (7.89), followed by non-Hispanic Blacks (4.53) and Hispanics (3.11). The Western region had the highest AAMR, and nonmetropolitan areas exhibited greater mortality rates than metropolitan areas. Individuals with lung cancer exhibited the highest AAMRs (1.65), followed by gastrointestinal cancer (1.52) and hematologic cancer (1.00). The lowest AAMRs were observed in prostate cancer (0.90) and breast cancer (0.65). Conclusion: Mortality from cancer and AF has increased over time, with significant disparities across sex, race, and geography. Targeted interventions are required to mitigate these disparities.
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spelling doaj-art-0f3d09d67ae145d0bcab0dad40cfcd342025-08-24T05:14:42ZengElsevierHeart Rhythm O22666-50182025-08-01681130113810.1016/j.hroo.2025.05.006Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019Muhammad Saad, MBBS0Reyan Hussain Shaikh, MBBS1Muhammad Umer Sohail, MBBS2Saad Ahmed Waqas, MBBS3Mian Muinuddin Jamshed, MBBS4Syed Ibad Ahsan, MBBS5Muhammad Sameer Arshad, MBBS6Azeem Hassan, MBBS7Sebastian Mactaggart, MBBS8Raheel Ahmed, MBBS, MRCP, PhD9Department of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, PakistanMedical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, PakistanDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, PakistanDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, PakistanMedical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, PakistanDepartment of Medicine, Dow University of Health Sciences, Karachi, PakistanBaylor Scott and White Research Institute, Dallas, TexasNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United KingdomNorthumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust, North Shields, United KingdomNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Address reprint requests and correspondence: Dr Raheel Ahmed, National Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, whereas cancer remains the second leading cause of death in the United States. Both conditions share several risk factors and may compound mortality risk. However, national trends in AF and cancer-related mortality remain underexplored. Objective: To assess trends in mortality related to AF and cancer among US adults from 1999 to 2019, using demographic and geographic stratifications. Methods: Data were obtained from the CDC WONDER Multiple Cause of Death data set. We identified individuals aged 25 years and older with AF (I48) and cancer (C00-C97) as an underlying or contributing cause of death. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population, average annual percentage change, and annual percentage change were calculated. Results: The AAMR for cancer and AF-related deaths increased from 4.95 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.84, 5.05) in 1999 to 10.01 (95% CI: 9.88, 10.13) in 2019 (average annual percentage change: 3.49 [95% CI: 3.39, 3.60]). Males had higher AAMRs than females (10.24 vs 5.13). Non-Hispanic Whites had the highest AAMRs (7.89), followed by non-Hispanic Blacks (4.53) and Hispanics (3.11). The Western region had the highest AAMR, and nonmetropolitan areas exhibited greater mortality rates than metropolitan areas. Individuals with lung cancer exhibited the highest AAMRs (1.65), followed by gastrointestinal cancer (1.52) and hematologic cancer (1.00). The lowest AAMRs were observed in prostate cancer (0.90) and breast cancer (0.65). Conclusion: Mortality from cancer and AF has increased over time, with significant disparities across sex, race, and geography. Targeted interventions are required to mitigate these disparities.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666501825001564CancerAtrial fibrillationCDC WONDERMortality trendsDisparities
spellingShingle Muhammad Saad, MBBS
Reyan Hussain Shaikh, MBBS
Muhammad Umer Sohail, MBBS
Saad Ahmed Waqas, MBBS
Mian Muinuddin Jamshed, MBBS
Syed Ibad Ahsan, MBBS
Muhammad Sameer Arshad, MBBS
Azeem Hassan, MBBS
Sebastian Mactaggart, MBBS
Raheel Ahmed, MBBS, MRCP, PhD
Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019
Heart Rhythm O2
Cancer
Atrial fibrillation
CDC WONDER
Mortality trends
Disparities
title Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019
title_full Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019
title_fullStr Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019
title_full_unstemmed Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019
title_short Rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation–related mortality among adults in the United States, 1999–2019
title_sort rising burden of cancer and atrial fibrillation related mortality among adults in the united states 1999 2019
topic Cancer
Atrial fibrillation
CDC WONDER
Mortality trends
Disparities
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666501825001564
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