Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt

Abstract Exploring the heterogeneous effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience is crucial for fostering high-quality development within the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone. By using panel data spanning from 2006 to 2022 for 27 cities within this region, the heterogeneity, m...

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Main Authors: Shuxuan Kong, Chengtang Zhang, Mengru Zhang, Weixue Lu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-05298-1
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author Shuxuan Kong
Chengtang Zhang
Mengru Zhang
Weixue Lu
author_facet Shuxuan Kong
Chengtang Zhang
Mengru Zhang
Weixue Lu
author_sort Shuxuan Kong
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Exploring the heterogeneous effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience is crucial for fostering high-quality development within the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone. By using panel data spanning from 2006 to 2022 for 27 cities within this region, the heterogeneity, moderating effect, and threshold effect of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience are systematically analysed through panel quantile regression, moderating effect models, and threshold regression models, respectively. The findings reveal the following. (1) New quality productive forces significantly enhance ecological resilience, particularly at the low ecological resilience quantile, where its impact is most pronounced; however, the effect gradually diminishes at higher quantiles, adhering to the “diminishing marginal effect” law. (2) The moderating effect of technological innovation varies considerably; cities with greater resilience benefit the most from technological innovation, whereas those with low resilience experience weaker benefits. (3) Technological innovation exhibits a notable threshold characteristic in enhancing the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience. Drawing from these conclusions, recommendations aimed at bolstering ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone and at accelerating the creation of new quality productive forces to foster harmonious symbiosis and sustainable development of the regional economy and the ecological environment are proposed.
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spelling doaj-art-0ed5086fe9ff4f4689943ac5529c3cff2025-08-20T03:45:28ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111710.1038/s41598-025-05298-1Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic BeltShuxuan Kong0Chengtang Zhang1Mengru Zhang2Weixue Lu3School of Economics and Management, Anhui Agricultural UniversitySchool of Information and Artificial Intelligence, Anhui Agricultural UniversitySchool of Economics and Management, Anhui Agricultural UniversitySchool of Information and Artificial Intelligence, Anhui Agricultural UniversityAbstract Exploring the heterogeneous effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience is crucial for fostering high-quality development within the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone. By using panel data spanning from 2006 to 2022 for 27 cities within this region, the heterogeneity, moderating effect, and threshold effect of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience are systematically analysed through panel quantile regression, moderating effect models, and threshold regression models, respectively. The findings reveal the following. (1) New quality productive forces significantly enhance ecological resilience, particularly at the low ecological resilience quantile, where its impact is most pronounced; however, the effect gradually diminishes at higher quantiles, adhering to the “diminishing marginal effect” law. (2) The moderating effect of technological innovation varies considerably; cities with greater resilience benefit the most from technological innovation, whereas those with low resilience experience weaker benefits. (3) Technological innovation exhibits a notable threshold characteristic in enhancing the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience. Drawing from these conclusions, recommendations aimed at bolstering ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Zone and at accelerating the creation of new quality productive forces to foster harmonious symbiosis and sustainable development of the regional economy and the ecological environment are proposed.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-05298-1New quality productive forcesEcological resilienceHeterogeneityModerating effectThreshold effect
spellingShingle Shuxuan Kong
Chengtang Zhang
Mengru Zhang
Weixue Lu
Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt
Scientific Reports
New quality productive forces
Ecological resilience
Heterogeneity
Moderating effect
Threshold effect
title Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt
title_full Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt
title_fullStr Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt
title_full_unstemmed Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt
title_short Heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the Yangtze River Delta Economic Belt
title_sort heterogeneity analysis of the effects of new quality productive forces on ecological resilience in the yangtze river delta economic belt
topic New quality productive forces
Ecological resilience
Heterogeneity
Moderating effect
Threshold effect
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-05298-1
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