Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole

Abstract The Indian Ocean Dipole exhibits large variations in its evolution depending on the presence of El Niño, with notable changes in intensity, duration, and peak phase. Here, using a simple Indian Ocean Dipole model and observational-reanalysis datasets, we revealed that Indian Ocean Dipole ev...

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Main Authors: Hyo-Jin Park, Soon-Il An, Jae-Heung Park, Young-Min Yang, Soong-Ki Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-05-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02302-4
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author Hyo-Jin Park
Soon-Il An
Jae-Heung Park
Young-Min Yang
Soong-Ki Kim
author_facet Hyo-Jin Park
Soon-Il An
Jae-Heung Park
Young-Min Yang
Soong-Ki Kim
author_sort Hyo-Jin Park
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The Indian Ocean Dipole exhibits large variations in its evolution depending on the presence of El Niño, with notable changes in intensity, duration, and peak phase. Here, using a simple Indian Ocean Dipole model and observational-reanalysis datasets, we revealed that Indian Ocean Dipole events co-evolving with El Niño exhibit an early-summer growth-disruption, which results from a sudden decrease in Indian Ocean Dipole sensitivity to El Niño in May and June, despite the steadily increasing El Niño’s amplitude. In May and June, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone migrates northward with the onset of South Asian monsoon, El Niño-induced low-level cyclonic circulation causes Ekman upwelling over the western Indian Ocean, which stalls Indian Ocean Dipole development. Moist linear baroclinic model experiments verified that the Intertropical Convergence Zone modulates El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s impact on Indian Ocean Dipole seasonally. This study underscores the importance of understanding sub-seasonal dynamics of Indian Ocean Dipole evolution.
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spelling doaj-art-0e95afccaacd4ceb855bd590f89a65992025-08-20T03:48:06ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352025-05-016111210.1038/s43247-025-02302-4Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean DipoleHyo-Jin Park0Soon-Il An1Jae-Heung Park2Young-Min Yang3Soong-Ki Kim4Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seodaemun-guDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seodaemun-guSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National UniversityDepartment of Environmental Engineering, Jeonbuk National UniversityDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Yale UniversityAbstract The Indian Ocean Dipole exhibits large variations in its evolution depending on the presence of El Niño, with notable changes in intensity, duration, and peak phase. Here, using a simple Indian Ocean Dipole model and observational-reanalysis datasets, we revealed that Indian Ocean Dipole events co-evolving with El Niño exhibit an early-summer growth-disruption, which results from a sudden decrease in Indian Ocean Dipole sensitivity to El Niño in May and June, despite the steadily increasing El Niño’s amplitude. In May and June, as the Intertropical Convergence Zone migrates northward with the onset of South Asian monsoon, El Niño-induced low-level cyclonic circulation causes Ekman upwelling over the western Indian Ocean, which stalls Indian Ocean Dipole development. Moist linear baroclinic model experiments verified that the Intertropical Convergence Zone modulates El Niño–Southern Oscillation’s impact on Indian Ocean Dipole seasonally. This study underscores the importance of understanding sub-seasonal dynamics of Indian Ocean Dipole evolution.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02302-4
spellingShingle Hyo-Jin Park
Soon-Il An
Jae-Heung Park
Young-Min Yang
Soong-Ki Kim
Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole
Communications Earth & Environment
title Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole
title_full Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole
title_fullStr Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole
title_full_unstemmed Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole
title_short Sub-seasonal impact of El Niño–Southern Oscillation on development of the Indian Ocean Dipole
title_sort sub seasonal impact of el nino southern oscillation on development of the indian ocean dipole
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02302-4
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