The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

ObjectivesThe incidence of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in China is increasing. We aim to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the burden of PAD.MethodsWe collected information from 1990 to 2019 in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD 2019) study. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate...

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Main Authors: Ye Hu, Jiyue Gao, Qiping Zhuo, Huixin Liu, Meiling Wang, Nina Jiang, Xueqing Wang, Kainan Wang, Zuowei Zhao, Man Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2024-12-01
Series:International Journal of Public Health
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Online Access:https://www.ssph-journal.org/articles/10.3389/ijph.2024.1607352/full
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author Ye Hu
Ye Hu
Jiyue Gao
Jiyue Gao
Qiping Zhuo
Qiping Zhuo
Huixin Liu
Meiling Wang
Meiling Wang
Nina Jiang
Nina Jiang
Xueqing Wang
Xueqing Wang
Kainan Wang
Kainan Wang
Zuowei Zhao
Zuowei Zhao
Man Li
Man Li
author_facet Ye Hu
Ye Hu
Jiyue Gao
Jiyue Gao
Qiping Zhuo
Qiping Zhuo
Huixin Liu
Meiling Wang
Meiling Wang
Nina Jiang
Nina Jiang
Xueqing Wang
Xueqing Wang
Kainan Wang
Kainan Wang
Zuowei Zhao
Zuowei Zhao
Man Li
Man Li
author_sort Ye Hu
collection DOAJ
description ObjectivesThe incidence of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in China is increasing. We aim to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the burden of PAD.MethodsWe collected information from 1990 to 2019 in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD 2019) study. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC). Trends in incidence, mortality and DALYs were forecasted by Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis.ResultsIn 2019, the number of new cases and prevalence of PAD in China accounted for nearly a quarter of the global proportion. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) declined after rising until 2005. The age-standardized death rate (ASDR) maintained an upward trend. The DALYs was 0.16 million. Incidence, prevalence and DALYs are predominantly female, except for mortality, which is predominantly male. Smoking predominantly affected males, while hypertension and diabetes had a greater impact on females. By 2030, ASDR is elevated, predominantly in males. ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate decline, predominantly in females.ConclusionIt is urgent for China to develop strategies based on the specific distribution characteristics of the PAD burden.
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spelling doaj-art-0e7d355eb84e4c7d89e66152f378fd552025-08-20T02:49:26ZengFrontiers Media S.A.International Journal of Public Health1661-85642024-12-016910.3389/ijph.2024.16073521607352The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019Ye Hu0Ye Hu1Jiyue Gao2Jiyue Gao3Qiping Zhuo4Qiping Zhuo5Huixin Liu6Meiling Wang7Meiling Wang8Nina Jiang9Nina Jiang10Xueqing Wang11Xueqing Wang12Kainan Wang13Kainan Wang14Zuowei Zhao15Zuowei Zhao16Man Li17Man Li18Department of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Science and Education, Dalian Municipal Central Hospital, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Oncology, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Second Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning, ChinaObjectivesThe incidence of peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in China is increasing. We aim to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the burden of PAD.MethodsWe collected information from 1990 to 2019 in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD 2019) study. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to calculate the annual percentage change (APC). Trends in incidence, mortality and DALYs were forecasted by Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) analysis.ResultsIn 2019, the number of new cases and prevalence of PAD in China accounted for nearly a quarter of the global proportion. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) declined after rising until 2005. The age-standardized death rate (ASDR) maintained an upward trend. The DALYs was 0.16 million. Incidence, prevalence and DALYs are predominantly female, except for mortality, which is predominantly male. Smoking predominantly affected males, while hypertension and diabetes had a greater impact on females. By 2030, ASDR is elevated, predominantly in males. ASIR and age-standardized DALY rate decline, predominantly in females.ConclusionIt is urgent for China to develop strategies based on the specific distribution characteristics of the PAD burden.https://www.ssph-journal.org/articles/10.3389/ijph.2024.1607352/fulldeath rateincidencedisability-adjusted life yearsChinaperipheral artery disease
spellingShingle Ye Hu
Ye Hu
Jiyue Gao
Jiyue Gao
Qiping Zhuo
Qiping Zhuo
Huixin Liu
Meiling Wang
Meiling Wang
Nina Jiang
Nina Jiang
Xueqing Wang
Xueqing Wang
Kainan Wang
Kainan Wang
Zuowei Zhao
Zuowei Zhao
Man Li
Man Li
The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
International Journal of Public Health
death rate
incidence
disability-adjusted life years
China
peripheral artery disease
title The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
title_full The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
title_fullStr The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
title_full_unstemmed The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
title_short The Burden of Peripheral Artery Disease in China From 1990 to 2019 and Forecasts for 2030: Findings From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
title_sort burden of peripheral artery disease in china from 1990 to 2019 and forecasts for 2030 findings from the global burden of disease study 2019
topic death rate
incidence
disability-adjusted life years
China
peripheral artery disease
url https://www.ssph-journal.org/articles/10.3389/ijph.2024.1607352/full
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