Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector

Background: The post-conflict reconstruction of Ukraine, especially in the housing and construction sector, has become a strategic priority for the European Union and its member states. Despite declared support, the real participation of Central European businesses, including those from the Czech Re...

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Main Authors: Pavlák, Miroslav, Mentlík, Roman, Halouzka, Miroslav, Yurchenko, Svetlana
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Finance and Administration 2025-06-01
Series:ACTA VŠFS
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acta.vsfs.eu/pdf/acta-2025-1-05.pdf
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author Pavlák, Miroslav
Mentlík, Roman
Halouzka, Miroslav
Yurchenko, Svetlana
author_facet Pavlák, Miroslav
Mentlík, Roman
Halouzka, Miroslav
Yurchenko, Svetlana
author_sort Pavlák, Miroslav
collection DOAJ
description Background: The post-conflict reconstruction of Ukraine, especially in the housing and construction sector, has become a strategic priority for the European Union and its member states. Despite declared support, the real participation of Central European businesses, including those from the Czech Republic, remains limited due to multiple legal, security and financial barriers. Aim: The paper aims to identify the conditions, instruments and risks influencing the potential engagement of Czech enterprises in the reconstruction of Ukraine's housing and construction sector after 2022, with emphasis on investment frameworks, scenario modelling, and institutional capacities. Methods: The study combines a qualitative case study (cooperation between the University of Finance and Administration and V. N. Karazin University in Kharkiv), stakeholder analysis based on coded interviews with Czech entrepreneurs, and quantitative investment scenario modelling (2024–2033). Data triangulation was applied to ensure internal validity. Results: Findings confirm that while institutional and financial instruments (e.g., Ukraine Facility) are in place, their uptake is limited by high perceived risk and a lack of implementation facilitators. Investment scenarios range from 65 to 95 billion USD depending on security and absorption conditions. Czech SMEs face specific constraints such as insufficient legal safeguards and capacity limits yet remain strategically positioned to benefit from targeted support schemes. Recommendations: Policy actors should prioritise the development of national coordination platforms, risk insurance schemes (e.g., via EGAP), and pilot cooperation models with Ukrainian institutions. Stronger links between academia, public sector and private firms are essential to de-risk market entry and build long-term resilience. Practical relevance/social implications: The research provides applicable insights for government agencies, export organisations and business associations aiming to support Czech firms in entering high-risk post-conflict markets. Moreover, it demonstrates the role of academic institutions as platforms for international capacity building and post-war recovery. Originality/value: This is the first study focusing on the Czech context of post-war investment in Ukraine, combining scenario modelling with a grounded case study. The integration of qualitative and quantitative methods provides a comprehensive Framework for further research and policy development.
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spelling doaj-art-0dfd6c3e5b8d413cafc92903bf9942592025-08-20T02:46:05ZengUniversity of Finance and AdministrationACTA VŠFS1802-79462025-06-011917310010.37355/acta-2025/1-05Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing SectorPavlák, Miroslav0Mentlík, Roman1Halouzka, Miroslav2Yurchenko, Svetlana3University of Finance and AdministrationUniversity of Finance and AdministrationUniversity of Finance and AdministrationV. N. Karazin Kharkiv National UniversityBackground: The post-conflict reconstruction of Ukraine, especially in the housing and construction sector, has become a strategic priority for the European Union and its member states. Despite declared support, the real participation of Central European businesses, including those from the Czech Republic, remains limited due to multiple legal, security and financial barriers. Aim: The paper aims to identify the conditions, instruments and risks influencing the potential engagement of Czech enterprises in the reconstruction of Ukraine's housing and construction sector after 2022, with emphasis on investment frameworks, scenario modelling, and institutional capacities. Methods: The study combines a qualitative case study (cooperation between the University of Finance and Administration and V. N. Karazin University in Kharkiv), stakeholder analysis based on coded interviews with Czech entrepreneurs, and quantitative investment scenario modelling (2024–2033). Data triangulation was applied to ensure internal validity. Results: Findings confirm that while institutional and financial instruments (e.g., Ukraine Facility) are in place, their uptake is limited by high perceived risk and a lack of implementation facilitators. Investment scenarios range from 65 to 95 billion USD depending on security and absorption conditions. Czech SMEs face specific constraints such as insufficient legal safeguards and capacity limits yet remain strategically positioned to benefit from targeted support schemes. Recommendations: Policy actors should prioritise the development of national coordination platforms, risk insurance schemes (e.g., via EGAP), and pilot cooperation models with Ukrainian institutions. Stronger links between academia, public sector and private firms are essential to de-risk market entry and build long-term resilience. Practical relevance/social implications: The research provides applicable insights for government agencies, export organisations and business associations aiming to support Czech firms in entering high-risk post-conflict markets. Moreover, it demonstrates the role of academic institutions as platforms for international capacity building and post-war recovery. Originality/value: This is the first study focusing on the Czech context of post-war investment in Ukraine, combining scenario modelling with a grounded case study. The integration of qualitative and quantitative methods provides a comprehensive Framework for further research and policy development. https://acta.vsfs.eu/pdf/acta-2025-1-05.pdfpost-conflict reconstructionczech enterprisesukraine facilityhousing sectorrisk assessmentinvestment scenariosinternational cooperationpublic-private partnership
spellingShingle Pavlák, Miroslav
Mentlík, Roman
Halouzka, Miroslav
Yurchenko, Svetlana
Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector
ACTA VŠFS
post-conflict reconstruction
czech enterprises
ukraine facility
housing sector
risk assessment
investment scenarios
international cooperation
public-private partnership
title Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector
title_full Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector
title_fullStr Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector
title_full_unstemmed Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector
title_short Czech Participation in Ukraine’s Reconstruction: Risks, Scenarios and Opportunities in the Housing Sector
title_sort czech participation in ukraine s reconstruction risks scenarios and opportunities in the housing sector
topic post-conflict reconstruction
czech enterprises
ukraine facility
housing sector
risk assessment
investment scenarios
international cooperation
public-private partnership
url https://acta.vsfs.eu/pdf/acta-2025-1-05.pdf
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