Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method

The small probability method for typical monitoring effect quantities is a common methodfor establishing early warning index based on monitoring data, but this method has someshortcomings. If the dam has not encountered the most unfavorable load or the data time series isshort, the effect quantity s...

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Main Authors: ZHOU Wenzhong, GU Yanchang, HUANG Haibing, WU Yunxing
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2020-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.06.007
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author ZHOU Wenzhong
GU Yanchang
HUANG Haibing
WU Yunxing
author_facet ZHOU Wenzhong
GU Yanchang
HUANG Haibing
WU Yunxing
author_sort ZHOU Wenzhong
collection DOAJ
description The small probability method for typical monitoring effect quantities is a common methodfor establishing early warning index based on monitoring data, but this method has someshortcomings. If the dam has not encountered the most unfavorable load or the data time series isshort, the effect quantity samples will not cover the monitoring effect quantity for the mostunfavorable load combination.This paper describes the theoretical method of determining damdeformation safety monitoring index by using the typical small probability method, proposes animproved typical small probability method by transforming the normal distribution calculation todecompose different load components with query for the standard normal distribution table, andcombined with an example of prototype observation data of a reservoir, determines the safetymonitoring index for radial displacement of section 11 of the dam. The analysis of the results ofdeformation safety monitoring index shows that the improved typical small probability method notonly is convenient for calculation but also fully considers the most unfavorable loadcombination,which increases the reliability of monitoring indexes.
format Article
id doaj-art-0d071a270d5f4a62912e20207f096380
institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-0d071a270d5f4a62912e20207f0963802025-01-15T02:31:51ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352020-01-014147652543Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability MethodZHOU WenzhongGU YanchangHUANG HaibingWU YunxingThe small probability method for typical monitoring effect quantities is a common methodfor establishing early warning index based on monitoring data, but this method has someshortcomings. If the dam has not encountered the most unfavorable load or the data time series isshort, the effect quantity samples will not cover the monitoring effect quantity for the mostunfavorable load combination.This paper describes the theoretical method of determining damdeformation safety monitoring index by using the typical small probability method, proposes animproved typical small probability method by transforming the normal distribution calculation todecompose different load components with query for the standard normal distribution table, andcombined with an example of prototype observation data of a reservoir, determines the safetymonitoring index for radial displacement of section 11 of the dam. The analysis of the results ofdeformation safety monitoring index shows that the improved typical small probability method notonly is convenient for calculation but also fully considers the most unfavorable loadcombination,which increases the reliability of monitoring indexes.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.06.007dam deformation safetymonitoring indextypical small probability methodimprovementexamples
spellingShingle ZHOU Wenzhong
GU Yanchang
HUANG Haibing
WU Yunxing
Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method
Renmin Zhujiang
dam deformation safety
monitoring index
typical small probability method
improvement
examples
title Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method
title_full Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method
title_fullStr Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method
title_full_unstemmed Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method
title_short Determination of Dam Deformation Safety Monitoring Index Based on Improved Typical Small Probability Method
title_sort determination of dam deformation safety monitoring index based on improved typical small probability method
topic dam deformation safety
monitoring index
typical small probability method
improvement
examples
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2020.06.007
work_keys_str_mv AT zhouwenzhong determinationofdamdeformationsafetymonitoringindexbasedonimprovedtypicalsmallprobabilitymethod
AT guyanchang determinationofdamdeformationsafetymonitoringindexbasedonimprovedtypicalsmallprobabilitymethod
AT huanghaibing determinationofdamdeformationsafetymonitoringindexbasedonimprovedtypicalsmallprobabilitymethod
AT wuyunxing determinationofdamdeformationsafetymonitoringindexbasedonimprovedtypicalsmallprobabilitymethod