Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province
IntroductionThis study predicts the development trends of the scale of preschool children in kindergartens and the demand for full-time teachers in Guangdong Province and Jilin Province under the context of three-child policy, while exploring inter-provincial differences and their underlying reasons...
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Frontiers Media S.A.
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Frontiers in Psychology |
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| Online Access: | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1536476/full |
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| author | Dongyuan Xu Zhichao Wang Jiwei Zhang |
| author_facet | Dongyuan Xu Zhichao Wang Jiwei Zhang |
| author_sort | Dongyuan Xu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | IntroductionThis study predicts the development trends of the scale of preschool children in kindergartens and the demand for full-time teachers in Guangdong Province and Jilin Province under the context of three-child policy, while exploring inter-provincial differences and their underlying reasons.MethodsBased on the statistical data released by the national and provincial regions, we constructed and trained two Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network models for prediction.ResultsFrom 2023-2035, the scale of preschool children in kindergartens and the demand for full-time teachers in Guangdong Province exhibit an overall upward trend, while in Jilin Province, both exhibit an overall downward trend. The opposite development directions of the two provinces are the result of the combined effects of factors such as the level of economic development, population structure, and culture.DiscussionOur findings provide data support for local governments to formulate education policies that are coordinated with the changes in the school-age population and the demand for teachers. It also has reference significance for foreign countries. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-0bb0d95c1c9b4c9e8b5acccfc5390bfb |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1664-1078 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | Frontiers Media S.A. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Frontiers in Psychology |
| spelling | doaj-art-0bb0d95c1c9b4c9e8b5acccfc5390bfb2025-08-20T02:28:20ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Psychology1664-10782025-05-011610.3389/fpsyg.2025.15364761536476Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin ProvinceDongyuan Xu0Zhichao Wang1Jiwei Zhang2Faculty of Education, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, Jilin, ChinaFaculty of Education, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, Jilin, ChinaFaculty of Education, Key Laboratory of Applied Statistics of MOE, Northeast Normal University, Changchun, Jilin, ChinaIntroductionThis study predicts the development trends of the scale of preschool children in kindergartens and the demand for full-time teachers in Guangdong Province and Jilin Province under the context of three-child policy, while exploring inter-provincial differences and their underlying reasons.MethodsBased on the statistical data released by the national and provincial regions, we constructed and trained two Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network models for prediction.ResultsFrom 2023-2035, the scale of preschool children in kindergartens and the demand for full-time teachers in Guangdong Province exhibit an overall upward trend, while in Jilin Province, both exhibit an overall downward trend. The opposite development directions of the two provinces are the result of the combined effects of factors such as the level of economic development, population structure, and culture.DiscussionOur findings provide data support for local governments to formulate education policies that are coordinated with the changes in the school-age population and the demand for teachers. It also has reference significance for foreign countries.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1536476/fullthree-child policypreschool educationteacher demandpopulation predictionLSTM neural network models |
| spellingShingle | Dongyuan Xu Zhichao Wang Jiwei Zhang Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province Frontiers in Psychology three-child policy preschool education teacher demand population prediction LSTM neural network models |
| title | Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province |
| title_full | Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province |
| title_fullStr | Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province |
| title_short | Predicting the demand for preschool teachers in China under the three-child policy: a comparative analysis between Guangdong Province and Jilin Province |
| title_sort | predicting the demand for preschool teachers in china under the three child policy a comparative analysis between guangdong province and jilin province |
| topic | three-child policy preschool education teacher demand population prediction LSTM neural network models |
| url | https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2025.1536476/full |
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