Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes

Objective Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) typically require multiple regimens and become harder to treat with each line of treatment. Furthermore, there is a lack of direct comparative clinical trial data to guide effective treatment sequencing. A novel model is described comparing alternative M...

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Main Authors: Maria Teresa Petrucci, Sara Bringhen, Cristina Entrala Cerezo, João Mendes, Patrizio Armeni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2024-12-01
Series:Hematology
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Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/16078454.2024.2432815
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author Maria Teresa Petrucci
Sara Bringhen
Cristina Entrala Cerezo
João Mendes
Patrizio Armeni
author_facet Maria Teresa Petrucci
Sara Bringhen
Cristina Entrala Cerezo
João Mendes
Patrizio Armeni
author_sort Maria Teresa Petrucci
collection DOAJ
description Objective Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) typically require multiple regimens and become harder to treat with each line of treatment. Furthermore, there is a lack of direct comparative clinical trial data to guide effective treatment sequencing. A novel model is described comparing alternative MM treatment sequences to optimize patient outcomes.Methods The model compares treatment sequences and outcomes for adults with newly diagnosed transplant-eligible (TE) or transplant-ineligible (TIE) MM across four treatment lines (first-line [FL] to fourth-line [4L]). Inputs are derived from patient-level data from clinical trials and indirect treatment comparisons. We report a base case prediction using data representing clinical practice in Italy.Results For FL TE, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were greatest for FL regimens containing daratumumab; OS ranged from 11.80–18.10 years. PFS ranged from 4.82–13.42 years (FL) to 0.66–6.03 years (second-line [2L]), 0.81–1.76 years (third-line [3L]), and 0.69–0.72 years (4L). For FL TIE, OS rates were greater for treatment sequences with FL daratumumab vs. sequences with either 2L or no daratumumab (OS ranging from 5.95–10.61 years). PFS was greatest for FL daratumumab regimens in the TIE group, with PFS ranging from 2.12–7.48 years (FL), 0.53–4.73 years (2L), 0.63–1.17 years (3L), and 0.42 years (4L).Discussion This novel model demonstrates that using the most effective treatment in FL optimizes treatment sequencing and clinical outcomes for patients.Conclusion The optimal MM treatment sequences begin with daratumumab-containing regimens in FL and improve outcomes compared with alternative sequences.
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spelling doaj-art-0b787c51bc9b4c1e8e6316ce67bd4c322024-12-12T15:08:53ZengTaylor & Francis GroupHematology1607-84542024-12-0129110.1080/16078454.2024.2432815Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomesMaria Teresa Petrucci0Sara Bringhen1Cristina Entrala Cerezo2João Mendes3Patrizio Armeni4Department of Translational and Precision Medicine, Azienda Ospedaliera Policlinico Umberto I, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, ItalySSD Clinical Trials in Oncohematology and Multiple Myeloma, City of Health and Science University Hospital of Turin, Turin, ItalyJanssen-Cilag SA, Madrid, SpainJanssen Global Services LLC, Raritan, USACentre for Research on Health and Social Care Management, SDA Bocconi School of Management, Milan, ItalyObjective Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) typically require multiple regimens and become harder to treat with each line of treatment. Furthermore, there is a lack of direct comparative clinical trial data to guide effective treatment sequencing. A novel model is described comparing alternative MM treatment sequences to optimize patient outcomes.Methods The model compares treatment sequences and outcomes for adults with newly diagnosed transplant-eligible (TE) or transplant-ineligible (TIE) MM across four treatment lines (first-line [FL] to fourth-line [4L]). Inputs are derived from patient-level data from clinical trials and indirect treatment comparisons. We report a base case prediction using data representing clinical practice in Italy.Results For FL TE, overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were greatest for FL regimens containing daratumumab; OS ranged from 11.80–18.10 years. PFS ranged from 4.82–13.42 years (FL) to 0.66–6.03 years (second-line [2L]), 0.81–1.76 years (third-line [3L]), and 0.69–0.72 years (4L). For FL TIE, OS rates were greater for treatment sequences with FL daratumumab vs. sequences with either 2L or no daratumumab (OS ranging from 5.95–10.61 years). PFS was greatest for FL daratumumab regimens in the TIE group, with PFS ranging from 2.12–7.48 years (FL), 0.53–4.73 years (2L), 0.63–1.17 years (3L), and 0.42 years (4L).Discussion This novel model demonstrates that using the most effective treatment in FL optimizes treatment sequencing and clinical outcomes for patients.Conclusion The optimal MM treatment sequences begin with daratumumab-containing regimens in FL and improve outcomes compared with alternative sequences.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/16078454.2024.2432815Multiple myelomadrug therapyprogression-free survivaltreatment sequencingimproved outcomestreatment lines
spellingShingle Maria Teresa Petrucci
Sara Bringhen
Cristina Entrala Cerezo
João Mendes
Patrizio Armeni
Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes
Hematology
Multiple myeloma
drug therapy
progression-free survival
treatment sequencing
improved outcomes
treatment lines
title Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes
title_full Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes
title_fullStr Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes
title_full_unstemmed Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes
title_short Optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma: a novel model to predict survival outcomes
title_sort optimizing treatment sequencing in multiple myeloma a novel model to predict survival outcomes
topic Multiple myeloma
drug therapy
progression-free survival
treatment sequencing
improved outcomes
treatment lines
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/16078454.2024.2432815
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