Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?

We are constantly making choices about how to invest our time and resources. From a moral perspective, we must ask which moral concerns are most deserving of our attention. Longtermism, as e.g. defined by Greaves and MacAskill, holds that our moral focus should be on the long-term future, and that...

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Main Author: Marina Moreno
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tübingen University 2023-03-01
Series:Intergenerational Justice Review
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Online Access:https://igjr.org/ojs/index.php/igjr/article/view/996
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author Marina Moreno
author_facet Marina Moreno
author_sort Marina Moreno
collection DOAJ
description We are constantly making choices about how to invest our time and resources. From a moral perspective, we must ask which moral concerns are most deserving of our attention. Longtermism, as e.g. defined by Greaves and MacAskill, holds that our moral focus should be on the long-term future, and that current and medium-term moral problems are comparatively insignificant. This theory is centrally based on the assumption that the moral importance of individuals can be aggregated. Since the number of individuals of future generations far exceeds the number of current individuals and those closer in time, future generations are to be morally prioritised, according to longtermism. This paper explores the implications of rejecting the premise of moral aggregation of individuals and adopting a strongly non-aggregationist position instead. It is argued that, according to strong non-aggregationism, the magnitude of the probability with which our intervention actually make a difference, as well as whether we look at the available interventions from an ex ante or ex post perspective, are relevant factors in their moral assessment. Ultimately, the conclusion is reached that strong non-aggregationism does likely not support strongly longtermist conclusions.
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spelling doaj-art-0b70428aa11346ad9a387cafe27f7e5c2025-02-10T05:00:15ZengTübingen UniversityIntergenerational Justice Review2190-63352023-03-0181 Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?Marina Moreno We are constantly making choices about how to invest our time and resources. From a moral perspective, we must ask which moral concerns are most deserving of our attention. Longtermism, as e.g. defined by Greaves and MacAskill, holds that our moral focus should be on the long-term future, and that current and medium-term moral problems are comparatively insignificant. This theory is centrally based on the assumption that the moral importance of individuals can be aggregated. Since the number of individuals of future generations far exceeds the number of current individuals and those closer in time, future generations are to be morally prioritised, according to longtermism. This paper explores the implications of rejecting the premise of moral aggregation of individuals and adopting a strongly non-aggregationist position instead. It is argued that, according to strong non-aggregationism, the magnitude of the probability with which our intervention actually make a difference, as well as whether we look at the available interventions from an ex ante or ex post perspective, are relevant factors in their moral assessment. Ultimately, the conclusion is reached that strong non-aggregationism does likely not support strongly longtermist conclusions. https://igjr.org/ojs/index.php/igjr/article/view/996longtermism;aggregation;extinction risks;unaligned AI
spellingShingle Marina Moreno
Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?
Intergenerational Justice Review
longtermism;
aggregation;
extinction risks;
unaligned AI
title Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?
title_full Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?
title_fullStr Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?
title_full_unstemmed Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?
title_short Does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation?
title_sort does longtermism depend on questionable forms of aggregation
topic longtermism;
aggregation;
extinction risks;
unaligned AI
url https://igjr.org/ojs/index.php/igjr/article/view/996
work_keys_str_mv AT marinamoreno doeslongtermismdependonquestionableformsofaggregation