AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering

Rockbursts pose severe risks to underground engineering projects, including mining and tunnelling, where sudden rock failures can lead to substantial infrastructure damage and loss of human lives. An accurate assessment of rockburst damage is essential for safety and effective risk mitigation. This...

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Main Authors: Chukwuemeka Daniel, Shouye Cheng, Xin Yin, Zakaria Mohamed Barrie, Yucong Pan, Quansheng Liu, Feng Gao, Minsheng Li, Xing Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. 2025-08-01
Series:Underground Space
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2467967425000418
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author Chukwuemeka Daniel
Shouye Cheng
Xin Yin
Zakaria Mohamed Barrie
Yucong Pan
Quansheng Liu
Feng Gao
Minsheng Li
Xing Huang
author_facet Chukwuemeka Daniel
Shouye Cheng
Xin Yin
Zakaria Mohamed Barrie
Yucong Pan
Quansheng Liu
Feng Gao
Minsheng Li
Xing Huang
author_sort Chukwuemeka Daniel
collection DOAJ
description Rockbursts pose severe risks to underground engineering projects, including mining and tunnelling, where sudden rock failures can lead to substantial infrastructure damage and loss of human lives. An accurate assessment of rockburst damage is essential for safety and effective risk mitigation. This study investigates the effectiveness of ensemble machine learning models optimized through Bayesian optimization (BO) in predicting rockburst damage scales. Nine classifier algorithms, including random forest (RF), were evaluated using a dataset of 254 samples. The research considered factors such as stress conditions, support system capacity, excavation span, geological characteristics, seismic magnitude, peak particle velocity, and rock density as input variables. The rockburst damage scale, categorized into four severity levels based on displaced rock mass, served as the target variable. Among the models evaluated, BO-RF model demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy and generalization capability, achieving 92% testing accuracy. BO-RF model also ranked top in a multi-criteria evaluation framework. This devised ranking system underscores the importance of evaluating model performance on both training and unseen testing data to ensure robust generalization. The findings underscore the effectiveness of BO-RF in enhancing rockburst risk assessment and providing reliable predictive insights for underground engineering applications.
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institution DOAJ
issn 2467-9674
language English
publishDate 2025-08-01
publisher KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
record_format Article
series Underground Space
spelling doaj-art-0ab7e7d8b5de41258d117f824f37ed1b2025-08-20T02:47:32ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Underground Space2467-96742025-08-012336237810.1016/j.undsp.2025.02.005AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineeringChukwuemeka Daniel0Shouye Cheng1Xin Yin2Zakaria Mohamed Barrie3Yucong Pan4Quansheng Liu5Feng Gao6Minsheng Li7Xing Huang8School of Urban Construction, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China; Department of Civil Engineering, Pan African University Institute for Basic Sciences, Technology and Innovation, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Nairobi P.O. Box 62000-00200, KenyaResearch Institute of Mine Construction, Tiandi Science and Technology Company Limited, Beijing 100013, China; State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Coal Mining and Strata Control, Beijing 100013, ChinaSchool of Urban Construction, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China; School of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China; Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong 999077, China; Corresponding author at: School of Urban Construction, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430065, China.Department of Civil Engineering, Pan African University Institute for Basic Sciences, Technology and Innovation, Jomo Kenyatta University of Agriculture and Technology, Nairobi P.O. Box 62000-00200, KenyaSchool of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, ChinaSchool of Civil Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, ChinaResearch Institute of Mine Construction, Tiandi Science and Technology Company Limited, Beijing 100013, China; State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Coal Mining and Strata Control, Beijing 100013, ChinaResearch Institute of Mine Construction, Tiandi Science and Technology Company Limited, Beijing 100013, China; State Key Laboratory of Intelligent Coal Mining and Strata Control, Beijing 100013, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Geomechanics and Geotechnical Engineering, Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wuhan 430071, ChinaRockbursts pose severe risks to underground engineering projects, including mining and tunnelling, where sudden rock failures can lead to substantial infrastructure damage and loss of human lives. An accurate assessment of rockburst damage is essential for safety and effective risk mitigation. This study investigates the effectiveness of ensemble machine learning models optimized through Bayesian optimization (BO) in predicting rockburst damage scales. Nine classifier algorithms, including random forest (RF), were evaluated using a dataset of 254 samples. The research considered factors such as stress conditions, support system capacity, excavation span, geological characteristics, seismic magnitude, peak particle velocity, and rock density as input variables. The rockburst damage scale, categorized into four severity levels based on displaced rock mass, served as the target variable. Among the models evaluated, BO-RF model demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy and generalization capability, achieving 92% testing accuracy. BO-RF model also ranked top in a multi-criteria evaluation framework. This devised ranking system underscores the importance of evaluating model performance on both training and unseen testing data to ensure robust generalization. The findings underscore the effectiveness of BO-RF in enhancing rockburst risk assessment and providing reliable predictive insights for underground engineering applications.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2467967425000418Underground engineeringRockburst damage scaleShort-term decision makingEnsemble learningBayesian optimization
spellingShingle Chukwuemeka Daniel
Shouye Cheng
Xin Yin
Zakaria Mohamed Barrie
Yucong Pan
Quansheng Liu
Feng Gao
Minsheng Li
Xing Huang
AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
Underground Space
Underground engineering
Rockburst damage scale
Short-term decision making
Ensemble learning
Bayesian optimization
title AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
title_full AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
title_fullStr AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
title_full_unstemmed AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
title_short AI-aided short-term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
title_sort ai aided short term decision making of rockburst damage scale in underground engineering
topic Underground engineering
Rockburst damage scale
Short-term decision making
Ensemble learning
Bayesian optimization
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2467967425000418
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