Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults

BackgroundMultiple studies have indicated that the minimal model of hip structure can enhance hip fracture risk assessment. This study aimed to investigate the independent association between minimal model variables and hip fracture risk in Han Chinese individuals.MethodsThis cross-sectional study i...

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Main Authors: Dan Zhao, Yawen Bo, Huiling Bai, Cuiping Zhao, Xinhua Ye
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-03-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1558622/full
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author Dan Zhao
Yawen Bo
Huiling Bai
Cuiping Zhao
Xinhua Ye
author_facet Dan Zhao
Yawen Bo
Huiling Bai
Cuiping Zhao
Xinhua Ye
author_sort Dan Zhao
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundMultiple studies have indicated that the minimal model of hip structure can enhance hip fracture risk assessment. This study aimed to investigate the independent association between minimal model variables and hip fracture risk in Han Chinese individuals.MethodsThis cross-sectional study included 937 Han Chinese patients (248 with hip fractures). Minimal model variables were calculated from the hip structural analysis, including bone mineral density (BMD), femoral neck width (FNW), and Delta and Sigma values.ResultsThis study included 937 patients (293 men; mean age = 68.3 years). In logistic regression analyses, BMD increase (per 0.1 g/cm2) correlated with a 45% reduction in the hip fracture risk (odds ratio [OR] = 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45–0.68) after adjusting for all covariates. However, FNW (per 0.1 cm) and Sigma (per 0.01 cm) and Delta values (per 0.01 cm) were associated with increased risks (OR = 1.28; 95% CI: 1.18–1.37; OR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03–1.09; OR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03–1.09, respectively). When the Delta was >0.17 cm, the risk of hip fracture rose considerably by 13% (OR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.08–1.18) for every 0.01 cm that the Delta value increased. The area under the curve (AUC) for hip fracture prediction from BMD alone was significantl lower than those of minimal model (0.781 vs 0.838, p <0.05).ConclusionLarge increases in FNW, Sigma and Delta values and notable declines in BMD were individually and significantly linked to a high hip fracture risk in Han Chinese adults. Our findings suggest that the minimal model of hip structure may improve hip fracture risk assessments.
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spelling doaj-art-0a74ba217b6643149571bdda4f0f2ed22025-08-20T03:01:58ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922025-03-011610.3389/fendo.2025.15586221558622Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adultsDan Zhao0Yawen Bo1Huiling Bai2Cuiping Zhao3Xinhua Ye4Department of Endocrinology, The Second People’s Hospital of Changzhou, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second People’s Hospital of Changzhou, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second People’s Hospital of Changzhou, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaDepartment of Geriatrics, The Second People’s Hospital of Changzhou, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaDepartment of Endocrinology, The Second People’s Hospital of Changzhou, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Changzhou, Jiangsu, ChinaBackgroundMultiple studies have indicated that the minimal model of hip structure can enhance hip fracture risk assessment. This study aimed to investigate the independent association between minimal model variables and hip fracture risk in Han Chinese individuals.MethodsThis cross-sectional study included 937 Han Chinese patients (248 with hip fractures). Minimal model variables were calculated from the hip structural analysis, including bone mineral density (BMD), femoral neck width (FNW), and Delta and Sigma values.ResultsThis study included 937 patients (293 men; mean age = 68.3 years). In logistic regression analyses, BMD increase (per 0.1 g/cm2) correlated with a 45% reduction in the hip fracture risk (odds ratio [OR] = 0.55; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45–0.68) after adjusting for all covariates. However, FNW (per 0.1 cm) and Sigma (per 0.01 cm) and Delta values (per 0.01 cm) were associated with increased risks (OR = 1.28; 95% CI: 1.18–1.37; OR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03–1.09; OR = 1.06; 95% CI: 1.03–1.09, respectively). When the Delta was >0.17 cm, the risk of hip fracture rose considerably by 13% (OR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.08–1.18) for every 0.01 cm that the Delta value increased. The area under the curve (AUC) for hip fracture prediction from BMD alone was significantl lower than those of minimal model (0.781 vs 0.838, p <0.05).ConclusionLarge increases in FNW, Sigma and Delta values and notable declines in BMD were individually and significantly linked to a high hip fracture risk in Han Chinese adults. Our findings suggest that the minimal model of hip structure may improve hip fracture risk assessments.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1558622/fullhip structureminimal modeldeltasigmahip fracture
spellingShingle Dan Zhao
Yawen Bo
Huiling Bai
Cuiping Zhao
Xinhua Ye
Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults
Frontiers in Endocrinology
hip structure
minimal model
delta
sigma
hip fracture
title Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults
title_full Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults
title_fullStr Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults
title_full_unstemmed Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults
title_short Association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in Chinese adults
title_sort association between the minimal model of hip structure and risk of hip fracture in chinese adults
topic hip structure
minimal model
delta
sigma
hip fracture
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1558622/full
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