Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?

The aim of this article is to test, from an empirical standpoint, the existence of sustainable public finances in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) area as a whole, over the most recent period of the world economy, 1973-2016. The research methods include not only stan...

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Main Author: Ferraz Ricardo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Riga Technical University Press 2018-03-01
Series:Economics and Business
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/eb-2018-0003
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author Ferraz Ricardo
author_facet Ferraz Ricardo
author_sort Ferraz Ricardo
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this article is to test, from an empirical standpoint, the existence of sustainable public finances in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) area as a whole, over the most recent period of the world economy, 1973-2016. The research methods include not only standard stationarity tests, but also tests, which allow for a structural break. The relevant results of this research are a stationary public budget balance expressed as a percentage of GDP and a debt to GDP ratio that is stationary in first differences. According to the literature, this means that a “necessary and sufficient” condition is fulfilled for proving the existence of a strong sustainability. We hope this research can make a valuable contribution to the debate regarding public finances in the world economy. To obtain other relevant conclusions, additional tests will need to be performed in the future in order to assess which members are contributing to the fiscal sustainability of the OECD aggregate.
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publishDate 2018-03-01
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record_format Article
series Economics and Business
spelling doaj-art-0a2cff9cbdd049df9da8853bbd287f7b2024-12-02T08:47:39ZengRiga Technical University PressEconomics and Business1407-73372256-03942018-03-01321365010.1515/eb-2018-0003eb-2018-0003Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?Ferraz Ricardo0Lisbon School of Economics & Management, University of Lisbon (ISEG), Lisbon, PortugalThe aim of this article is to test, from an empirical standpoint, the existence of sustainable public finances in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) area as a whole, over the most recent period of the world economy, 1973-2016. The research methods include not only standard stationarity tests, but also tests, which allow for a structural break. The relevant results of this research are a stationary public budget balance expressed as a percentage of GDP and a debt to GDP ratio that is stationary in first differences. According to the literature, this means that a “necessary and sufficient” condition is fulfilled for proving the existence of a strong sustainability. We hope this research can make a valuable contribution to the debate regarding public finances in the world economy. To obtain other relevant conclusions, additional tests will need to be performed in the future in order to assess which members are contributing to the fiscal sustainability of the OECD aggregate.https://doi.org/10.1515/eb-2018-0003organisation for economic co-operation and development (oecd) areapublic debtpublic budgetsustainable public finances
spellingShingle Ferraz Ricardo
Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?
Economics and Business
organisation for economic co-operation and development (oecd) area
public debt
public budget
sustainable public finances
title Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?
title_full Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?
title_fullStr Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?
title_full_unstemmed Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?
title_short Have Public Finances in the OECD Area Been Sustainable?
title_sort have public finances in the oecd area been sustainable
topic organisation for economic co-operation and development (oecd) area
public debt
public budget
sustainable public finances
url https://doi.org/10.1515/eb-2018-0003
work_keys_str_mv AT ferrazricardo havepublicfinancesintheoecdareabeensustainable