Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions

We discuss how the posterior probability distributions produced by machine learning models for analyzed objects can be transformed into evidence-theoretical mass functions that model uncertainties associated with operating those distributions. We investigate the mathematical properties of the introd...

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Main Authors: Kałuża Daniel, Janusz Andrzej, Ślęzak Dominik
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2025-03-01
Series:International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.61822/amcs-2025-0003
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author Kałuża Daniel
Janusz Andrzej
Ślęzak Dominik
author_facet Kałuża Daniel
Janusz Andrzej
Ślęzak Dominik
author_sort Kałuża Daniel
collection DOAJ
description We discuss how the posterior probability distributions produced by machine learning models for analyzed objects can be transformed into evidence-theoretical mass functions that model uncertainties associated with operating those distributions. We investigate the mathematical properties of the introduced mass functions and their corresponding belief functions. We also construct some uncertainty measures based on the functions considered and compare them with several classical uncertainty measures, both theoretically and practically, in the active learning scenarios.
format Article
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institution OA Journals
issn 2083-8492
language English
publishDate 2025-03-01
publisher Sciendo
record_format Article
series International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
spelling doaj-art-0967b3ecbbe04ba0ba96211ee77fca632025-08-20T02:08:12ZengSciendoInternational Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science2083-84922025-03-01351334310.61822/amcs-2025-0003Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability DistributionsKałuża Daniel0Janusz Andrzej1Ślęzak Dominik21Institute of InformaticsUniversity of Warsawul. Banacha 2, 02-097Warsaw, Poland1Institute of InformaticsUniversity of Warsawul. Banacha 2, 02-097Warsaw, Poland1Institute of InformaticsUniversity of Warsawul. Banacha 2, 02-097Warsaw, PolandWe discuss how the posterior probability distributions produced by machine learning models for analyzed objects can be transformed into evidence-theoretical mass functions that model uncertainties associated with operating those distributions. We investigate the mathematical properties of the introduced mass functions and their corresponding belief functions. We also construct some uncertainty measures based on the functions considered and compare them with several classical uncertainty measures, both theoretically and practically, in the active learning scenarios.https://doi.org/10.61822/amcs-2025-0003theory of evidenceposterior probabilitiesmeasures of uncertaintyactive learning
spellingShingle Kałuża Daniel
Janusz Andrzej
Ślęzak Dominik
Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions
International Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computer Science
theory of evidence
posterior probabilities
measures of uncertainty
active learning
title Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions
title_full Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions
title_fullStr Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions
title_full_unstemmed Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions
title_short Evidence–Theoretical Modeling of Uncertainty Induced by Posterior Probability Distributions
title_sort evidence theoretical modeling of uncertainty induced by posterior probability distributions
topic theory of evidence
posterior probabilities
measures of uncertainty
active learning
url https://doi.org/10.61822/amcs-2025-0003
work_keys_str_mv AT kałuzadaniel evidencetheoreticalmodelingofuncertaintyinducedbyposteriorprobabilitydistributions
AT januszandrzej evidencetheoreticalmodelingofuncertaintyinducedbyposteriorprobabilitydistributions
AT slezakdominik evidencetheoreticalmodelingofuncertaintyinducedbyposteriorprobabilitydistributions