Labour Market Restrictions and Migrations in the EU: a Case of Ukrainian Migration
The thesis aims to estimate the future migration flows from Ukraine to the European Union. Based on the experience of previous EU enlargements and econometric modelling using the method of Ordinary Least Squares with fixed effects, multiple forecasts are created. The forecasts capture the likely de...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
European Institute of Romania
2015-03-01
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| Series: | Romanian Journal of European Affairs |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://rjea.ier.gov.ro/wp-content/uploads/articole/RJEA_2014_vol15_no1_art.2.pdf |
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| Summary: | The thesis aims to estimate the future migration flows from Ukraine to the
European Union. Based on the experience of previous EU enlargements and econometric modelling using the method of Ordinary Least Squares with fixed effects, multiple forecasts are created. The forecasts capture the likely development of migration flows in the event of abolishment of labour market restrictions as well as the case with pending restrictions. Our results show that migration flows are expected to be moderate, posing no threats to the stability of the labour markets of EU member states. The increase of migration due to accession to the EU is likely to be short-term, without substantial impacts in the longrun. Ukraine has large migration potential and is likely to supply the highest amount of labour migration amongst all former USSR countries. |
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| ISSN: | 1582-8271 1841-4273 |