Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests

Satellite remote sensing is essential for monitoring the boreal forest, the largest land biome on Earth. With the growing volume of Earth observation (EO) data and increasing demand for actionable information, more efficient and robust monitoring methods are needed. Machine learning-based approaches...

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Main Authors: Eelis Halme, Matti Mõttus
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2025-12-01
Series:European Journal of Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/22797254.2025.2462032
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author Eelis Halme
Matti Mõttus
author_facet Eelis Halme
Matti Mõttus
author_sort Eelis Halme
collection DOAJ
description Satellite remote sensing is essential for monitoring the boreal forest, the largest land biome on Earth. With the growing volume of Earth observation (EO) data and increasing demand for actionable information, more efficient and robust monitoring methods are needed. Machine learning-based approaches offer flexibility but rely on extensive training data, which can be generated with reflectance models. This study introduces a hybrid regression method, integrating the forest reflectance and transmittance model FRT with a random forest regressor. Using a representative dataset from Finland (24 081 plots), the method was trained to predict structural boreal forest variables: mean height, mean diameter at breast height (DBH) and basal area from EO data. The prediction performance was evaluated using three independent test areas, two from Finland and one from Sweden. In Finland, the most accurate predictions had root-mean-square errors of 3.6 m (19.1%) for height, 6.3 cm (27.3%) for DBH and 9.9 m2 ha−1 (31.6%) for basal area. In Sweden, low R2 values (< 0.1) indicated limitations in transferability. The results suggest that combining reflectance modelling with machine learning can advance environmental monitoring methodologies in the boreal forest but also demonstrate the challenges of applying these methods across different geographical regions.
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spelling doaj-art-0877f2f882f44db9ba830b09067e20c72025-08-20T03:22:18ZengTaylor & Francis GroupEuropean Journal of Remote Sensing2279-72542025-12-0158110.1080/22797254.2025.2462032Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forestsEelis Halme0Matti Mõttus1VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, Espoo, FinlandVTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, Espoo, FinlandSatellite remote sensing is essential for monitoring the boreal forest, the largest land biome on Earth. With the growing volume of Earth observation (EO) data and increasing demand for actionable information, more efficient and robust monitoring methods are needed. Machine learning-based approaches offer flexibility but rely on extensive training data, which can be generated with reflectance models. This study introduces a hybrid regression method, integrating the forest reflectance and transmittance model FRT with a random forest regressor. Using a representative dataset from Finland (24 081 plots), the method was trained to predict structural boreal forest variables: mean height, mean diameter at breast height (DBH) and basal area from EO data. The prediction performance was evaluated using three independent test areas, two from Finland and one from Sweden. In Finland, the most accurate predictions had root-mean-square errors of 3.6 m (19.1%) for height, 6.3 cm (27.3%) for DBH and 9.9 m2 ha−1 (31.6%) for basal area. In Sweden, low R2 values (< 0.1) indicated limitations in transferability. The results suggest that combining reflectance modelling with machine learning can advance environmental monitoring methodologies in the boreal forest but also demonstrate the challenges of applying these methods across different geographical regions.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/22797254.2025.2462032Sentinel-2boreal foresthybrid inversionmachine learningreflectance modelSwedish NFI
spellingShingle Eelis Halme
Matti Mõttus
Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests
European Journal of Remote Sensing
Sentinel-2
boreal forest
hybrid inversion
machine learning
reflectance model
Swedish NFI
title Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests
title_full Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests
title_fullStr Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests
title_full_unstemmed Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests
title_short Hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from Earth observation data in boreal forests
title_sort hybrid regression method to predict forest variables from earth observation data in boreal forests
topic Sentinel-2
boreal forest
hybrid inversion
machine learning
reflectance model
Swedish NFI
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/22797254.2025.2462032
work_keys_str_mv AT eelishalme hybridregressionmethodtopredictforestvariablesfromearthobservationdatainborealforests
AT mattimottus hybridregressionmethodtopredictforestvariablesfromearthobservationdatainborealforests