Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia

General aviation flights operate at lower altitude with lighter aircraft weight, primarily relying on daytime visual flight. This operational mode imposes higher requirements on accuracy, refinement, and timeliness in meteorological elements forecasting compared to ordinary weather forecasts. Additi...

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Main Authors: Hang Yuehe, Jiang Xuegong, Yang Zehua, Xu Yanqin, Hasitamuga, Lin Hongjie, Zhen Linfeng, Ma Hongwei, Zhang Min, Shi Linshengjie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editorial Office of Journal of Applied Meteorological Science 2025-07-01
Series:应用气象学报
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Online Access:http://qikan.camscma.cn/en/article/doi/10.11898/1001-7313.20250410
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author Hang Yuehe
Jiang Xuegong
Yang Zehua
Xu Yanqin
Hasitamuga
Lin Hongjie
Zhen Linfeng
Ma Hongwei
Zhang Min
Shi Linshengjie
author_facet Hang Yuehe
Jiang Xuegong
Yang Zehua
Xu Yanqin
Hasitamuga
Lin Hongjie
Zhen Linfeng
Ma Hongwei
Zhang Min
Shi Linshengjie
author_sort Hang Yuehe
collection DOAJ
description General aviation flights operate at lower altitude with lighter aircraft weight, primarily relying on daytime visual flight. This operational mode imposes higher requirements on accuracy, refinement, and timeliness in meteorological elements forecasting compared to ordinary weather forecasts. Additionally, precise predictions of convective weather phenomena such as turbulence, convective clouds, thunderstorms are critical. Inner Mongolia Meteorological Bureau providing meteorological services for 5 general aviation airports, carries out service product research focusing on 3 key aviation meteorology domains: Airports, approach areas and flight routes. Based on the forecast service requirement, a system of aviation meteorological service products has been established, and the studies are applied to general aviation meteorological services. Forecast products and technical methods are systematically introduced, which mainly consist of airport refined elements forecasts including 1-h forecasts of wind, visibility, cloud cover, and temperature over a 72-h period, as well as estimations of visual obstacles such as precipitation and sand-dust. These are applicable to the routine terminal aerodrome forecast (TAF) for general aviation airports, runway crosswind and runway visual range (RVR) forecasts. Disastrous weather warnings for the approach area comprise several key components. Firstly, dust visibility forecasting utilizes multi-mode integration, machine learning and satellite data inversion techniques. Secondly, short-term warnings for strong convective weather are issued based on multi-source data merging, deep learning, optical flow method, and localized Radar Operational Software Engineering System. Finally, low-level wind field forecasts with a horizontal resolution of 500 m are achieved based on dynamic downscaling and intelligent downscaling technologies. A dangerous weather forecast for air routes is generated using numerical forecast statistical interpretation techniques. This forecast includes predictions for the turbulence index, icing index, and convective clouds. Products can fulfill the forecast service demand for 5 general aviation airports and 19 branch (main) airports in Inner Mongolia. Evaluation results indicate that the accuracy rates for precipitation, visibility, and wind forecasts are relatively high, and they can effectively predict changes in weather conditions. However, there are some limitations: The short-term heavy precipitation is relatively small, the wind field change forecast falls short of expectations, and the forecast ability for strong sandstorms is relatively weak. Although the convective cloud area along air routes can be predicted, there is also over-forecasting problem. Moreover, in light of the current status and deficiencies of aviation meteorological services in Inner Mongolia, the objective forecasting methods applicable to aviation meteorological services are explored.
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publisher Editorial Office of Journal of Applied Meteorological Science
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series 应用气象学报
spelling doaj-art-072d2c87ae5d4689abcdb5132fd37aad2025-08-20T03:16:29ZengEditorial Office of Journal of Applied Meteorological Science应用气象学报1001-73132025-07-0136450051210.11898/1001-7313.20250410yyqxxb-36-4-500Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner MongoliaHang Yuehe0Jiang Xuegong1Yang Zehua2Xu Yanqin3Hasitamuga4Lin Hongjie5Zhen Linfeng6Ma Hongwei7Zhang Min8Shi Linshengjie9Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Hohhot Meteorological Bureau of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010020Meteorological Data Center of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Xilingol Meteorological Bureau of Inner Mongolia, Xilinhot 026000Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051Meteorological Research Institute of Inner Mongolia, Hohhot 010051General aviation flights operate at lower altitude with lighter aircraft weight, primarily relying on daytime visual flight. This operational mode imposes higher requirements on accuracy, refinement, and timeliness in meteorological elements forecasting compared to ordinary weather forecasts. Additionally, precise predictions of convective weather phenomena such as turbulence, convective clouds, thunderstorms are critical. Inner Mongolia Meteorological Bureau providing meteorological services for 5 general aviation airports, carries out service product research focusing on 3 key aviation meteorology domains: Airports, approach areas and flight routes. Based on the forecast service requirement, a system of aviation meteorological service products has been established, and the studies are applied to general aviation meteorological services. Forecast products and technical methods are systematically introduced, which mainly consist of airport refined elements forecasts including 1-h forecasts of wind, visibility, cloud cover, and temperature over a 72-h period, as well as estimations of visual obstacles such as precipitation and sand-dust. These are applicable to the routine terminal aerodrome forecast (TAF) for general aviation airports, runway crosswind and runway visual range (RVR) forecasts. Disastrous weather warnings for the approach area comprise several key components. Firstly, dust visibility forecasting utilizes multi-mode integration, machine learning and satellite data inversion techniques. Secondly, short-term warnings for strong convective weather are issued based on multi-source data merging, deep learning, optical flow method, and localized Radar Operational Software Engineering System. Finally, low-level wind field forecasts with a horizontal resolution of 500 m are achieved based on dynamic downscaling and intelligent downscaling technologies. A dangerous weather forecast for air routes is generated using numerical forecast statistical interpretation techniques. This forecast includes predictions for the turbulence index, icing index, and convective clouds. Products can fulfill the forecast service demand for 5 general aviation airports and 19 branch (main) airports in Inner Mongolia. Evaluation results indicate that the accuracy rates for precipitation, visibility, and wind forecasts are relatively high, and they can effectively predict changes in weather conditions. However, there are some limitations: The short-term heavy precipitation is relatively small, the wind field change forecast falls short of expectations, and the forecast ability for strong sandstorms is relatively weak. Although the convective cloud area along air routes can be predicted, there is also over-forecasting problem. Moreover, in light of the current status and deficiencies of aviation meteorological services in Inner Mongolia, the objective forecasting methods applicable to aviation meteorological services are explored.http://qikan.camscma.cn/en/article/doi/10.11898/1001-7313.20250410aviation meteorologyairport refined forecastturbulence and icingconvective clouds
spellingShingle Hang Yuehe
Jiang Xuegong
Yang Zehua
Xu Yanqin
Hasitamuga
Lin Hongjie
Zhen Linfeng
Ma Hongwei
Zhang Min
Shi Linshengjie
Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia
应用气象学报
aviation meteorology
airport refined forecast
turbulence and icing
convective clouds
title Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia
title_full Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia
title_fullStr Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia
title_full_unstemmed Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia
title_short Architecture Design and Product Development of Meteorological Forecast for General Aviation Technology in Inner Mongolia
title_sort architecture design and product development of meteorological forecast for general aviation technology in inner mongolia
topic aviation meteorology
airport refined forecast
turbulence and icing
convective clouds
url http://qikan.camscma.cn/en/article/doi/10.11898/1001-7313.20250410
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