Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California

Abstract The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) prescribes flood control operations for reservoirs it regulates in watershed‐specific water control manuals (WCMs), which can be decades‐old and may not capture changed conditions in the watersheds or include the benefit of state‐of‐the‐science weather...

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Main Authors: Joe Forbis, Cuong Ly
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-03-01
Series:Journal of Flood Risk Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.13051
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author Joe Forbis
Cuong Ly
author_facet Joe Forbis
Cuong Ly
author_sort Joe Forbis
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) prescribes flood control operations for reservoirs it regulates in watershed‐specific water control manuals (WCMs), which can be decades‐old and may not capture changed conditions in the watersheds or include the benefit of state‐of‐the‐science weather and streamflow prediction. Considering the specific characteristics of a reservoir, forecast‐informed reservoir operations (FIRO) may be used to enhance flood risk reduction, improve water availability, and achieve other benefits. The first FIRO pilot project at Lake Mendocino in California focused on determining if water supply reliability could be improved using FIRO without increasing flood risk. The final report concluded that FIRO concepts could indeed improve water supply reliability while enhancing flood risk reduction. Subsequently, USACE chose additional reservoir systems in California with different characteristics as additional pilot study locations to further investigate FIRO concepts. These successful FIRO efforts have provided justification to continue its expansion beyond the initial pilot sites. The lessons learned from the FIRO pilot projects are being used to inform the development of the FIRO Screening Process, a screening level framework intended to scale up the implementation of FIRO. The lessons learned could support FIRO implementation at suitable USACE reservoirs by updating WCMs.
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spelling doaj-art-0721a398707941daa820144295da0e8e2025-08-20T01:49:58ZengWileyJournal of Flood Risk Management1753-318X2025-03-01181n/an/a10.1111/jfr3.13051Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in CaliforniaJoe Forbis0Cuong Ly1US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory Sacramento California USAUS Army Corps of Engineers, South Pacific Division Los Angeles California USAAbstract The US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) prescribes flood control operations for reservoirs it regulates in watershed‐specific water control manuals (WCMs), which can be decades‐old and may not capture changed conditions in the watersheds or include the benefit of state‐of‐the‐science weather and streamflow prediction. Considering the specific characteristics of a reservoir, forecast‐informed reservoir operations (FIRO) may be used to enhance flood risk reduction, improve water availability, and achieve other benefits. The first FIRO pilot project at Lake Mendocino in California focused on determining if water supply reliability could be improved using FIRO without increasing flood risk. The final report concluded that FIRO concepts could indeed improve water supply reliability while enhancing flood risk reduction. Subsequently, USACE chose additional reservoir systems in California with different characteristics as additional pilot study locations to further investigate FIRO concepts. These successful FIRO efforts have provided justification to continue its expansion beyond the initial pilot sites. The lessons learned from the FIRO pilot projects are being used to inform the development of the FIRO Screening Process, a screening level framework intended to scale up the implementation of FIRO. The lessons learned could support FIRO implementation at suitable USACE reservoirs by updating WCMs.https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.13051CaliforniadamFIROforecastoperationsreservoir
spellingShingle Joe Forbis
Cuong Ly
Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California
Journal of Flood Risk Management
California
dam
FIRO
forecast
operations
reservoir
title Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California
title_full Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California
title_fullStr Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California
title_full_unstemmed Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California
title_short Application of forecast‐informed reservoir operations at US Army Corps of Engineers dams in California
title_sort application of forecast informed reservoir operations at us army corps of engineers dams in california
topic California
dam
FIRO
forecast
operations
reservoir
url https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.13051
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AT cuongly applicationofforecastinformedreservoiroperationsatusarmycorpsofengineersdamsincalifornia