Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.

<h4>Introduction</h4>Following the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, a record number of people became economically inactive in the UK. We investigated the association between coronavirus infection and subsequent economic inactivity among people employed pre-pandemic, and whether this...

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Main Authors: Richard J Shaw, Olivia K L Hamilton, Rebecca Rhead, Richard J Silverwood, Jacques Wels, Jingmin Zhu, Giorgio Di Gessa, Ruth C E Bowyer, Bettina Moltrecht, Michael J Green, Evangelia Demou, Serena Pattaro, Paola Zaninotto, Andy Boyd, Felix Greaves, Nishi Chaturvedi, George B Ploubidis, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0321201
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author Richard J Shaw
Olivia K L Hamilton
Rebecca Rhead
Richard J Silverwood
Jacques Wels
Jingmin Zhu
Giorgio Di Gessa
Ruth C E Bowyer
Bettina Moltrecht
Michael J Green
Evangelia Demou
Serena Pattaro
Paola Zaninotto
Andy Boyd
Felix Greaves
Nishi Chaturvedi
George B Ploubidis
Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
author_facet Richard J Shaw
Olivia K L Hamilton
Rebecca Rhead
Richard J Silverwood
Jacques Wels
Jingmin Zhu
Giorgio Di Gessa
Ruth C E Bowyer
Bettina Moltrecht
Michael J Green
Evangelia Demou
Serena Pattaro
Paola Zaninotto
Andy Boyd
Felix Greaves
Nishi Chaturvedi
George B Ploubidis
Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
author_sort Richard J Shaw
collection DOAJ
description <h4>Introduction</h4>Following the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, a record number of people became economically inactive in the UK. We investigated the association between coronavirus infection and subsequent economic inactivity among people employed pre-pandemic, and whether this association varied between self-report versus healthcare recorded infection status.<h4>Methods</h4>We pooled data from five longitudinal studies (1970 British Cohort Study, English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, 1958 National Child Development Study, Next Steps, and Understanding Society), in two databases: the UK Longitudinal Linkage Collaboration (UKLLC), which links study data to NHS England records, and the UK Data Service (UKDS), which does not. The study population were aged 25-65 years between April 2020 to March 2021. The outcome was economic inactivity measured at the time of the last survey (November 2020 to March 2021). The exposures were COVID-19 status, indicated by a positive SARS-CoV-2 test in NHS records (UKLLC sample only), or by self-reported measures of coronavirus infection (both samples). Logistic regression models estimated odds ratios (ORs) adjusting for potential confounders including sociodemographic variables and pre-pandemic health.<h4>Results</h4>Within the UKLLC sample (N = 8,174), both a positive SARS-CoV-2 test in NHS records (5.9% of the sample; OR 1.08, 95%CI 0.68-1.73) and self-reported positive tests (6.5% of the sample; OR 1.07, 95%CI 0.68-1.69), were marginally and non-significantly associated with economic inactivity (5.3% of the sample) in adjusted analyses. Within the larger UKDS sample (n = 13,881) reliant on self-reported ascertainment of infection (6.4% of the sample), the coefficient indicated a null relationship (OR 0.98, 95%CI 0.68-1.40) with economic inactivity (5.0% of sample).<h4>Conclusions</h4>Among people employed pre-pandemic, testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 was not associated with increased economic inactivity, although we could not exclude small effects. Ascertaining infection through healthcare records or self-report made little difference to results. However, processes related to record linkage may introduce small biases.
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spelling doaj-art-06e0e9cbd63145fcafc6aa87ae5d37762025-08-20T02:25:03ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01204e032120110.1371/journal.pone.0321201Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.Richard J ShawOlivia K L HamiltonRebecca RheadRichard J SilverwoodJacques WelsJingmin ZhuGiorgio Di GessaRuth C E BowyerBettina MoltrechtMichael J GreenEvangelia DemouSerena PattaroPaola ZaninottoAndy BoydFelix GreavesNishi ChaturvediGeorge B PloubidisSrinivasa Vittal Katikireddi<h4>Introduction</h4>Following the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, a record number of people became economically inactive in the UK. We investigated the association between coronavirus infection and subsequent economic inactivity among people employed pre-pandemic, and whether this association varied between self-report versus healthcare recorded infection status.<h4>Methods</h4>We pooled data from five longitudinal studies (1970 British Cohort Study, English Longitudinal Study of Ageing, 1958 National Child Development Study, Next Steps, and Understanding Society), in two databases: the UK Longitudinal Linkage Collaboration (UKLLC), which links study data to NHS England records, and the UK Data Service (UKDS), which does not. The study population were aged 25-65 years between April 2020 to March 2021. The outcome was economic inactivity measured at the time of the last survey (November 2020 to March 2021). The exposures were COVID-19 status, indicated by a positive SARS-CoV-2 test in NHS records (UKLLC sample only), or by self-reported measures of coronavirus infection (both samples). Logistic regression models estimated odds ratios (ORs) adjusting for potential confounders including sociodemographic variables and pre-pandemic health.<h4>Results</h4>Within the UKLLC sample (N = 8,174), both a positive SARS-CoV-2 test in NHS records (5.9% of the sample; OR 1.08, 95%CI 0.68-1.73) and self-reported positive tests (6.5% of the sample; OR 1.07, 95%CI 0.68-1.69), were marginally and non-significantly associated with economic inactivity (5.3% of the sample) in adjusted analyses. Within the larger UKDS sample (n = 13,881) reliant on self-reported ascertainment of infection (6.4% of the sample), the coefficient indicated a null relationship (OR 0.98, 95%CI 0.68-1.40) with economic inactivity (5.0% of sample).<h4>Conclusions</h4>Among people employed pre-pandemic, testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 was not associated with increased economic inactivity, although we could not exclude small effects. Ascertaining infection through healthcare records or self-report made little difference to results. However, processes related to record linkage may introduce small biases.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0321201
spellingShingle Richard J Shaw
Olivia K L Hamilton
Rebecca Rhead
Richard J Silverwood
Jacques Wels
Jingmin Zhu
Giorgio Di Gessa
Ruth C E Bowyer
Bettina Moltrecht
Michael J Green
Evangelia Demou
Serena Pattaro
Paola Zaninotto
Andy Boyd
Felix Greaves
Nishi Chaturvedi
George B Ploubidis
Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi
Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.
PLoS ONE
title Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.
title_full Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.
title_fullStr Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.
title_full_unstemmed Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.
title_short Associations between different measures of SARS-CoV-2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity: A pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records.
title_sort associations between different measures of sars cov 2 infection status and subsequent economic inactivity a pooled analysis of five longitudinal surveys linked to healthcare records
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0321201
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