The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective

Abstract While snowpack is the main influence on Rio Grande water year streamflow, spring hydroclimate can play a role in moderating this influence in a subset of years. Through an investigation of the relationship between winter snowpack and spring hydroclimate conditions and Rio Grande streamflow,...

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Main Authors: C. A. Woodhouse, W. L. Tintor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-08-01
Series:Water Resources Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036909
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author C. A. Woodhouse
W. L. Tintor
author_facet C. A. Woodhouse
W. L. Tintor
author_sort C. A. Woodhouse
collection DOAJ
description Abstract While snowpack is the main influence on Rio Grande water year streamflow, spring hydroclimate can play a role in moderating this influence in a subset of years. Through an investigation of the relationship between winter snowpack and spring hydroclimate conditions and Rio Grande streamflow, we find low snowpack years with relatively cool, wet springs coincide with slightly above median streamflow in 18% of the years in the instrumental record (1936–2018), while the opposite conditions occur during 24% of years. Over this period, an increase in years with low snowpack/cool wet springs is evident, likely due to a significant decreasing trend in snowpack. We analyze two 15‐century tree‐ring reconstructions to provide long‐term context for the variable relationship between snowpack and spring hydroclimate. Results suggests irregular but quasi‐multidecadal periods when spring conditions may have moderated the effect of a relatively dry winter or reduced the effect of a relatively wet winter. The reconstructions also provide context for the observed trend in the increasing importance of spring conditions over the instrumental period, which appears to be related to both natural climate variability and climate change. In the Rio Grande basin, as mountain snowpack declines due to warming temperatures, spring conditions may be playing an increasingly important role for water resources, at least in the near term.
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spelling doaj-art-06ded1a688eb4832b2ab6ba2982031cc2025-08-20T04:00:32ZengWileyWater Resources Research0043-13971944-79732024-08-01608n/an/a10.1029/2023WR036909The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo PerspectiveC. A. Woodhouse0W. L. Tintor1School of Geography, Development and Environment University of Arizona Tucson AZ USASchool of Geography, Development and Environment University of Arizona Tucson AZ USAAbstract While snowpack is the main influence on Rio Grande water year streamflow, spring hydroclimate can play a role in moderating this influence in a subset of years. Through an investigation of the relationship between winter snowpack and spring hydroclimate conditions and Rio Grande streamflow, we find low snowpack years with relatively cool, wet springs coincide with slightly above median streamflow in 18% of the years in the instrumental record (1936–2018), while the opposite conditions occur during 24% of years. Over this period, an increase in years with low snowpack/cool wet springs is evident, likely due to a significant decreasing trend in snowpack. We analyze two 15‐century tree‐ring reconstructions to provide long‐term context for the variable relationship between snowpack and spring hydroclimate. Results suggests irregular but quasi‐multidecadal periods when spring conditions may have moderated the effect of a relatively dry winter or reduced the effect of a relatively wet winter. The reconstructions also provide context for the observed trend in the increasing importance of spring conditions over the instrumental period, which appears to be related to both natural climate variability and climate change. In the Rio Grande basin, as mountain snowpack declines due to warming temperatures, spring conditions may be playing an increasingly important role for water resources, at least in the near term.https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036909climate variabilityhydroclimatologydendrochronology
spellingShingle C. A. Woodhouse
W. L. Tintor
The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective
Water Resources Research
climate variability
hydroclimatology
dendrochronology
title The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective
title_full The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective
title_fullStr The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective
title_full_unstemmed The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective
title_short The Moderating Influence of Spring Climate on the Rio Grande Headwaters: A Paleo Perspective
title_sort moderating influence of spring climate on the rio grande headwaters a paleo perspective
topic climate variability
hydroclimatology
dendrochronology
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2023WR036909
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