Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling

Vulnerability assessment of agricultural drought system is of great significance to agricultural drought risk management and risk control practice.In order to quantitatively evaluate the vulnerability of agricultural drought in Bengbu City,an evaluation model of agricultural drought vulnerability is...

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Main Authors: GUO Fang, CUI Yi, CHEN Menglu
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2021-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.06.011
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author GUO Fang
CUI Yi
CHEN Menglu
author_facet GUO Fang
CUI Yi
CHEN Menglu
author_sort GUO Fang
collection DOAJ
description Vulnerability assessment of agricultural drought system is of great significance to agricultural drought risk management and risk control practice.In order to quantitatively evaluate the vulnerability of agricultural drought in Bengbu City,an evaluation model of agricultural drought vulnerability is established based on the coupling method of triangular fuzzy number and connection number.Firstly,connection number of single index is calculated by set pair analysis method,and the dynamic difference coefficient of different indexes is determined by the analysis and value method,that is,different-grade standard thresholds correspond to different difference coefficients.Then,connection value of each single index is calculated by combining the opposition coefficient and is weighted to obtain connection value of each subsystem and comprehensive connection value of sample.Finally,vulnerability grade value of regional agricultural drought system is determined by functional relationship between sample comprehensive connection value and evaluation grade value.Moreover,the model based on triangular fuzzy number and connection number coupling is applied to evaluate agricultural drought vulnerability in Bengbu City.The results show that:The results of comprehensive evaluation method based on triangular fuzzy number and connection number coupling were consistent with the comprehensive evaluation method based on grey relational analysis and connection number coupling,cloud similarity evaluation method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.Drought vulnerability in 2001—2003 was strong,close to 3.5,and that in 2004—2010 was moderate,around 3.On the whole,the vulnerability is improved,which show that the ability of Bengbu's agricultural system to resist drought vulnerability is gradually strengthening,and level of agricultural development is constantly improving.Therefore,it can provide a strong basis for the government to scientifically prevent and control drought risks and scientific researchers to conduct quantitative research.
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language zho
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
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spelling doaj-art-06d267c45b4a4bcda19459e454650c8b2025-01-15T02:28:59ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352021-01-014247647586Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number CouplingGUO FangCUI YiCHEN MengluVulnerability assessment of agricultural drought system is of great significance to agricultural drought risk management and risk control practice.In order to quantitatively evaluate the vulnerability of agricultural drought in Bengbu City,an evaluation model of agricultural drought vulnerability is established based on the coupling method of triangular fuzzy number and connection number.Firstly,connection number of single index is calculated by set pair analysis method,and the dynamic difference coefficient of different indexes is determined by the analysis and value method,that is,different-grade standard thresholds correspond to different difference coefficients.Then,connection value of each single index is calculated by combining the opposition coefficient and is weighted to obtain connection value of each subsystem and comprehensive connection value of sample.Finally,vulnerability grade value of regional agricultural drought system is determined by functional relationship between sample comprehensive connection value and evaluation grade value.Moreover,the model based on triangular fuzzy number and connection number coupling is applied to evaluate agricultural drought vulnerability in Bengbu City.The results show that:The results of comprehensive evaluation method based on triangular fuzzy number and connection number coupling were consistent with the comprehensive evaluation method based on grey relational analysis and connection number coupling,cloud similarity evaluation method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method.Drought vulnerability in 2001—2003 was strong,close to 3.5,and that in 2004—2010 was moderate,around 3.On the whole,the vulnerability is improved,which show that the ability of Bengbu's agricultural system to resist drought vulnerability is gradually strengthening,and level of agricultural development is constantly improving.Therefore,it can provide a strong basis for the government to scientifically prevent and control drought risks and scientific researchers to conduct quantitative research.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.06.011agricultural droughtvulnerability evaluationconnection numbertriangular fuzzy numberdifference coefficientBengbu City
spellingShingle GUO Fang
CUI Yi
CHEN Menglu
Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling
Renmin Zhujiang
agricultural drought
vulnerability evaluation
connection number
triangular fuzzy number
difference coefficient
Bengbu City
title Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling
title_full Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling
title_fullStr Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling
title_short Dynamic Evaluation of Regional Agricultural Drought Vulnerability Based on Triangular Fuzzy Number and Connection Number Coupling
title_sort dynamic evaluation of regional agricultural drought vulnerability based on triangular fuzzy number and connection number coupling
topic agricultural drought
vulnerability evaluation
connection number
triangular fuzzy number
difference coefficient
Bengbu City
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2021.06.011
work_keys_str_mv AT guofang dynamicevaluationofregionalagriculturaldroughtvulnerabilitybasedontriangularfuzzynumberandconnectionnumbercoupling
AT cuiyi dynamicevaluationofregionalagriculturaldroughtvulnerabilitybasedontriangularfuzzynumberandconnectionnumbercoupling
AT chenmenglu dynamicevaluationofregionalagriculturaldroughtvulnerabilitybasedontriangularfuzzynumberandconnectionnumbercoupling